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How can we explain the predictions of a machine learning model? When the data is structured as a multivariate time series, this question induces additional difficulties such as the necessity for the explanation to embody the time dependency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Jonathan Crabbé , Mihaela van der Schaar

Analyzing temporal developments is crucial for the accurate prognosis of many medical conditions. Temporal changes that occur over short time scales are key to assessing the health of physiological functions, such as the cardiac cycle.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Chengzhi Shen , Martin J. Menten , Hrvoje Bogunović , Ursula Schmidt-Erfurth , Hendrik Scholl , Sobha Sivaprasad , Andrew Lotery , Daniel Rueckert , Paul Hager , Robbie Holland

Spatiotemporal data analysis is pivotal across various domains, such as transportation, meteorology, and healthcare. The data collected in real-world scenarios are often incomplete due to device malfunctions and network errors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yakun Chen , Kaize Shi , Zhangkai Wu , Juan Chen , Xianzhi Wang , Julian McAuley , Guandong Xu , Shui Yu

Time series data is a prevalent form of data found in various fields. It consists of a series of measurements taken over time. Forecasting is a crucial application of time series models, where future values are predicted based on historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Sahar Koohfar , Wubeshet Woldemariam

Transformer-based methods have achieved impressive results in time series forecasting. However, existing Transformers still exhibit limitations in sequence modeling as they tend to overemphasize temporal dependencies. This incurs additional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Tan Wang , Yun Wei Dong , Qi Wang

In the transformative landscape of smart cities, the integration of the cutting-edge web technologies into time series forecasting presents a pivotal opportunity to enhance urban planning, sustainability, and economic growth. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

Spatial-temporal data modeling aims to mine the underlying spatial relationships and temporal dependencies of objects in a system. However, most existing methods focus on the modeling of spatial-temporal data in a single mode, lacking the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Zihang Liu , Le Yu , Tongyu Zhu , Leiei Sun

Accurate electricity demand forecasting is challenging due to the strong multi-periodicity of real-world demand series, which makes effective modeling of recurrent temporal patterns crucial. Decomposition techniques make such structure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Weibin Feng , Ran Tao , John Cartlidge , Jin Zheng

Forecasting complex time series is an important yet challenging problem that involves various industrial applications. Recently, masked time-series modeling has been proposed to effectively model temporal dependencies for forecasting by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Hyunwoo Seo , Chiehyeon Lim

High-dimensional multivariate spatial-temporal data arise frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few statistical methods that can simultaneously deal with spatial, temporal and variable-wise dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Elynn Y. Chen , Xin Yun , Rong Chen , Qiwei Yao

Spatiotemporal dynamics models are fundamental for various domains, from heat propagation in materials to oceanic and atmospheric flows. However, currently available neural network-based spatiotemporal modeling approaches fall short when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Valerii Iakovlev , Harri Lähdesmäki

Noise fundamentally limits the performance and predictive capabilities of classical and quantum dynamical systems by degrading stability and obscuring intrinsic dynamical characteristics. Characterizing such noise accurately is essential…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-07 Adva Baratz , Loris Maria Cangemi , Assaf Hamo , Sivan Refaely-Abramson , Amikam Levy

Recent advancements in deep learning have led to the development of various models for long-term multivariate time-series forecasting (LMTF), many of which have shown promising results. Generally, the focus has been on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Shiyi Qi , Zenglin Xu , Yiduo Li , Liangjian Wen , Qingsong Wen , Qifan Wang , Yuan Qi

Recent years, weather forecasting has gained significant attention. However, accurately predicting weather remains a challenge due to the rapid variability of meteorological data and potential teleconnections. Current spatiotemporal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Yuhao Du , Hui Liu , Haoxiang Peng , Xinyuan Cheng , Chengrong Wu , Jiankai Zhang

The majority of real-world processes are spatiotemporal, and the data generated by them exhibits both spatial and temporal evolution. Weather is one of the most essential processes in this domain, and weather forecasting has become a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Shakir Showkat Sofi , Ivan Oseledets

Making accurate forecasts for a complex system is a challenge in various practical applications. The major difficulty in solving such a problem concerns nonlinear spatiotemporal dynamics with time-varying characteristics. Takens' delay…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-09 Hao Peng , Wei Wang , Pei Chen , Rui Liu

Long-term traffic emission forecasting is crucial for the comprehensive management of urban air pollution. Traditional forecasting methods typically construct spatiotemporal graph models by mining spatiotemporal dependencies to predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Yan Wu , Lihong Pei , Yukai Han , Yang Cao , Yu Kang , Yanlong Zhao

Spatio-Temporal Multivariate time series Forecast (STMF) uses the time series of $n$ spatially distributed variables in a period of recent past to forecast their values in a period of near future. It has important applications in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Yupu Zhang , Zhengkun Xiao , Haibo Wang , Shigang Chen

This paper discusses the predictive capability of Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) in the context of orbital mechanics. The focus is specifically on the Hankel variant of DMD which uses a stacked set of time-delayed observations for system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-26 Sriram Narayanan , Mohamed Naveed Gul Mohamed , Indranil Nayak , Suman Chakravorty , Mrinal Kumar

Prognostics or early detection of incipient faults is an important industrial challenge for condition-based and preventive maintenance. Physics-based approaches to modeling fault progression are infeasible due to multiple interacting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-21 Abhay Harpale , Abhishek Srivastav
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