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Sustainable and economical generation of electrical power is an essential and mandatory component of infrastructure in today's world. Optimal generation (generator subset selection) of power requires a careful evaluation of various factors…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-09-11 Biswarup Bhattacharya , Abhishek Sinha

As the share of variable renewable energy sources increases in the electricity mix, new solutions are needed to build a flexible and reliable grid. Energy arbitrage with battery storage systems supports renewable energy integration into the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Alban Puech , Gorazd Dimitrov , Claudia D'Ambrosio

The recent research report of U.S. Department of Energy prompts us to re-examine the pricing theories applied in electricity market design. The theory of spot pricing is the basis of electricity market design in many countries, but it has…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-10-24 Haoyong Chen , Lijia Han

Financial markets are nonlinear with complexity, where different types of assets are traded between buyers and sellers, each having a view to maximize their Return on Investment (ROI). Forecasting market trends is a challenging task since…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Sahand Hassanizorgabad

The European Power Exchange has introduced day-ahead auctions and continuous trading spot markets to facilitate the insertion of renewable electricity. These markets are designed to balance excess or lack of power in short time periods,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-08 Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Dirk Witthaut , Pedro G. Lind , Wided Medjroubi

Aggregators are playing an increasingly crucial role in the integration of renewable generation in power systems. However, the intermittent nature of renewable generation makes market interactions of aggregators difficult to monitor and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-22 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Krishnamurthy Dvijotham , Niangjun Chen , Adam Wierman

Efficiently accommodating uncertain renewable resources in wholesale electricity markets is among the foremost priorities of market regulators in the US, UK and EU nations. However, existing deterministic market designs fail to internalize…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-19 Yury Dvorkin

Since the 1990s, widespread introduction of central (wholesale) electricity markets has been seen across multiple continents, driven by the search for efficient operation of the power grid through competition. The increase of renewables has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-15 Pål Forr Austnes , Matthieu Jacobs , Lu Wang , Mario Paolone

This study focuses on forecasting intraday trading volumes, a crucial component for portfolio implementation, especially in high-frequency (HF) trading environments. Given the current scarcity of flexible methods in this area, we employ a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-14 Mihai Cucuringu , Kang Li , Chao Zhang

This paper develops a machine learning-driven portfolio optimization framework for virtual bidding in electricity markets considering both risk constraint and price sensitivity. The algorithmic trading strategy is developed from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Yinglun Li , Nanpeng Yu , Wei Wang

Accurate day-ahead electricity price forecasting is essential for residential welfare, yet current methods often fall short in forecast accuracy. We observe that commonly used time series models struggle to utilize the prior correlation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Linian Wang , Jianghong Liu , Huibin Zhang , Leye Wang

In electricity markets, locational marginal price (LMP) forecasting is particularly important for market participants in making reasonable bidding strategies, managing potential trading risks, and supporting efficient system planning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Yuyun Yang , Zhenfei Tan , Haitao Yang , Guangchun Ruan , Haiwang Zhong

Coordination of distributed energy resources is critical for electricity grid management. Although nodal pricing schemes can mitigate congestion and voltage deviations, the resulting prices are not necessarily equitable. In this work, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Emmanuel Balogun , Sonia Martin , Anthony Degleris , Ram Rajagopal

We introduce a new and highly tractable structural model for spot and derivative prices in electricity markets. Using a stochastic model of the bid stack, we translate the demand for power and the prices of generating fuels into electricity…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Rene Carmona , Michael Coulon , Daniel Schwarz

Recently there has been significant research on power generation, distribution and transmission efficiency especially in the case of renewable resources. The main objective is reduction of energy losses and this requires improvements on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-17 Stefan Hosein , Patrick Hosein

The energy market relies on forecasting capabilities of both demand and power generation that need to be kept in dynamic balance. Today, when it comes to renewable energy generation, such decisions are increasingly made in a liberalized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Odin Foldvik Eikeland , Finn Dag Hovem , Tom Eirik Olsen , Matteo Chiesa , Filippo Maria Bianchi

We conduct the first rigorous study of electricity price volatility for the full panel of electricity prices across three European generation zones. By interpreting the observed day-ahead prices as local averages of a latent price process…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-14 Thomas K. Kloster , Fred Espen Benth

In two-stage electricity markets, renewable power producers enter the day-ahead market with a forecast of future power generation and then reconcile any forecast deviation in the real-time market at a penalty. The choice of the forecast…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-15 Vladimir Dvorkin

This paper develops learning-augmented algorithms for energy trading in volatile electricity markets. The basic problem is to sell (or buy) $k$ units of energy for the highest revenue (lowest cost) over uncertain time-varying prices, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Russell Lee , Bo Sun , Mohammad Hajiesmaili , John C. S. Lui

This paper proposes a novel energy storage price arbitrage algorithm combining supervised learning with dynamic programming. The proposed approach uses a neural network to directly predicts the opportunity cost at different energy storage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-22 Ningkun Zheng , Xiaoxiang Liu , Bolun Xu , Yuanyuan Shi