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Machine learning models have shown great success in predicting weather up to two weeks ahead, outperforming process-based benchmarks. However, existing approaches mostly focus on the prediction task, and do not incorporate the necessary…

A fundamental problem in collaborative sensing lies in providing an accurate prediction of critical events (e.g., hazardous environmental condition, urban abnormalities, economic trends). However, due to the resource constraints,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-11 Daniel Zhang , Yang Zhang , Dong Wang

With the rapid advances of data acquisition techniques, spatio-temporal data are becoming increasingly abundant in a diverse array of disciplines. Here we develop spatio-temporal regression methodology for analyzing large amounts of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-01 Ting Fung Ma , Fangfang Wang , Jun Zhu , Anthony R. Ives , Katarzyna E. Lewińska

The forecasting skill of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models critically depends on the accurate initial conditions, also known as analysis, provided by data assimilation (DA). Traditional DA methods often face a trade-off between…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-28 Yanfei Xiang , Weixin Jin , Haiyu Dong , Mingliang Bai , Zuliang Fang , Pengcheng Zhao , Hongyu Sun , Kit Thambiratnam , Qi Zhang , Xiaomeng Huang

Every day, weather forecasting centres around the world make use of noisy, incomplete observations of the atmosphere to update their weather forecasts. This process is known as data assimilation, data fusion or state estimation and is best…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Daniel Tang , Nick Malleson

Ensemble data assimilation techniques form an indispensable part of numerical weather prediction. As the ensemble size grows and model resolution increases, the amount of required storage becomes a major issue. Data compression schemes may…

Data assimilation has become a key technique for combining physical models with observational data to estimate state variables. However, classical assimilation algorithms often struggle with the high nonlinearity present in both physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Zhuoyuan Li , Bin Dong , Pingwen Zhang

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Uncertainties of snowpack models and of their meteorological forcings limit their use by avalanche hazard forecasters, or for glaciological and hydrological studies. The spatialized simulations currently available for avalanche hazard…

In this work, we introduce a novel approach for determining a joint sparse spectrum from several non-uniformly sampled data sets, where each data set is assumed to have its own, possibly disjoint, and only partially known, sampling times.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-07 David Svedberg , Filip Elvander , Andreas Jakobsson

Diffusion-based foundation models have recently garnered much attention in the field of generative modeling due to their ability to generate images of high quality and fidelity. Although not straightforward, their recent application to the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Nikos Kostagiolas , Pantelis Georgiades , Yannis Panagakis , Mihalis A. Nicolaou

Data Assimilation is the process in which we improve the representation of the state of a physical system by combining information coming from a numerical model, real-world observations, and some prior modelling. It is widely used to model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Victor Trappler , Arthur Vidard

Earth system models suffer from various structural and parametric errors in their representation of nonlinear, multi-scale processes, leading to uncertainties in their long-term projections. The effects of many of these errors (particularly…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-02-19 Rambod Mojgani , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Accurate acquisition of high-resolution surface meteorological conditions is critical for forecasting and simulating meteorological variables. Directly applying spatial interpolation methods to derive meteorological values at specific…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-19 Siwei Tu , Jingyi Xu , Weidong Yang , Lei Bai , Ben Fei

Statistical matching is a technique for integrating two or more data sets when information available for matching records for individual participants across data sets is incomplete. Statistical matching can be viewed as a missing data…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-14 Jae-kwang Kim , Emily Berg , Taesung Park

A deterministic multiscale toy model is studied in which a chaotic fast subsystem triggers rare transitions between slow regimes, akin to weather or climate regimes. Using homogenization techniques, a reduced stochastic parametrization…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-04-11 Lewis Mitchell , Georg A. Gottwald

Data imputation and data generation have important applications for many domains, like healthcare and finance, where incomplete or missing data can hinder accurate analysis and decision-making. Diffusion models have emerged as powerful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Mario Villaizán-Vallelado , Matteo Salvatori , Carlos Segura , Ioannis Arapakis

As our planet is entering into the "global boiling" era, understanding regional climate change becomes imperative. Effective downscaling methods that provide localized insights are crucial for this target. Traditional approaches, including…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-08 Fenghua Ling , Zeyu Lu , Jing-Jia Luo , Lei Bai , Swadhin K. Behera , Dachao Jin , Baoxiang Pan , Huidong Jiang , Toshio Yamagata

Diffusion models are a class of probabilistic generative models that have been widely used as a prior for image processing tasks like text conditional generation and inpainting. We demonstrate that these models can be adapted to make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Marc Finzi , Anudhyan Boral , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

Large-dimensional empirical data in science and engineering frequently have a low-rank structure and can be represented as a combination of just a few eigenmodes. Because of this structure, we can use just a few spatially localized sensor…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-16 Andrei A. Klishin , J. Nathan Kutz , Krithika Manohar
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