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Bayesian field theory denotes a nonparametric Bayesian approach for learning functions from observational data. Based on the principles of Bayesian statistics, a particular Bayesian field theory is defined by combining two models: a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Lemm

Simulation-based inference methods have been shown to be inaccurate in the data-poor regime, when training simulations are limited or expensive. Under these circumstances, the inference network is particularly prone to overfitting, and…

Reconstructing force fields (FFs) from atomistic simulation data is a challenge since accurate data can be highly expensive. Here, machine learning (ML) models can help to be data economic as they can be successfully constrained using the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-10-27 Niklas Frederik Schmitz , Klaus-Robert Müller , Stefan Chmiela

The inferential model (IM) framework provides valid prior-free probabilistic inference by focusing on predicting unobserved auxiliary variables. But, efficient IM-based inference can be challenging when the auxiliary variable is of higher…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

In complex large-scale systems such as climate, important effects are caused by a combination of confounding processes that are not fully observable. The identification of sources from observations of system state is vital for attribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-22 Joseph Hart , Mamikon Gulian , Indu Manickam , Laura Swiler

We introduce a computational efficient data-driven framework suitable for quantifying the uncertainty in physical parameters and model formulation of computer models, represented by differential equations. We construct physics-informed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-01 Michail Spitieris , Ingelin Steinsland

This position paper summarizes a recently developed research program focused on inference in the context of data centric science and engineering applications, and forecasts its trajectory forward over the next decade. Often one endeavours…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-06 Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Alexander Tarakanov , Fangyuan Yu

Recursive Bayesian inference, in which posterior beliefs are updated in light of accumulating data, is a tool for implementing Bayesian models in applications with streaming and/or very large data sets. As the posterior of one iteration…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Henry R. Scharf

Understanding of the pathophysiology of obstructive lung disease (OLD) is limited by available methods to examine the relationship between multi-omic molecular phenomena and clinical outcomes. Integrative factorization methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-01 Sarah Samorodnitsky , Chris H. Wendt , Eric F. Lock

Generative diffusion models have recently emerged as a powerful strategy to perform stochastic sampling in Bayesian inverse problems, delivering remarkably accurate solutions for a wide range of challenging applications. However, diffusion…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-15 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Marcelo Pereyra , Luke Shaw , Konstantinos Zygalakis

Recently, multi-fidelity Bayesian optimization (MFBO) has been successfully applied to many engineering design optimization problems, where the cost of high-fidelity simulations and experiments can be prohibitive. However, challenges remain…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Jingyi Wang , Nai-Yuan Chiang , Tucker Hartland , J. Luc Peterson , Jerome Solberg , Cosmin G. Petra

This paper proposes approaches for the analysis of multiple changepoint models when dependency in the data is modelled through a hierarchical Gaussian Markov random field. Integrated nested Laplace approximations are used to approximate…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-17 Jason Wyse , Nial Friel , Håvard Rue

Geoscientists often solve inverse problems to estimate values of parameters of interest given relevant data sets. Bayesian inference solves these problems by combining probability distributions that describe uncertainties in both…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-04-30 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis , Klaus Mosegaard

High-dimensional data are crucial in biomedical research. Integrating such data from multiple studies is a critical process that relies on the choice of advanced statistical models, enhancing statistical power, reproducibility, and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-24 Mavis Liang , Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Roberta De Vito

Likelihood-free methods, such as approximate Bayesian computation, are powerful tools for practical inference problems with intractable likelihood functions. Markov chain Monte Carlo and sequential Monte Carlo variants of approximate…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-26 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

This paper deals with the problem of simultaneously making many (M) binary decisions based on one realization of a random data matrix X. M is typically large and X will usually have M rows associated with each of the M decisions to make,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Wensong Wu , Edsel A. Peña

We propose simple inferential approaches for the fixed effects in complex functional mixed effects models. We estimate the fixed effects under the independence of functional residuals assumption and then bootstrap independent units (e.g.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-06 So Young Park , Ana-Maria Staicu , Luo Xiao , Ciprian Crainiceanu

Few-Shot Classification(FSC) aims to generalize from base classes to novel classes given very limited labeled samples, which is an important step on the path toward human-like machine learning. State-of-the-art solutions involve learning to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Xiongkun Linghu , Yan Bai , Yihang Lou , Shengsen Wu , Jinze Li , Jianzhong He , Tao Bai

In many inference problems, the evaluation of complex and costly models is often required. In this context, Bayesian methods have become very popular in several fields over the last years, in order to obtain parameter inversion, model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Luca Martino , Víctor Elvira , Javier López-Santiago , Gustau Camps-Valls

Despite major methodological developments, Bayesian inference for Gaussian graphical models remains challenging in high dimension due to the tremendous size of the model space. This article proposes a method to infer the marginal and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Gwenaël G. R. Leday , Sylvia Richardson