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Federated learning faces huge challenges from model overfitting due to the lack of data and statistical diversity among clients. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a novel personalized federated learning method via Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Xu Zhang , Yinchuan Li , Wenpeng Li , Kaiyang Guo , Yunfeng Shao

Spatially 3-dimensional seismic full waveform inversion (3D FWI) is a highly nonlinear and computationally demanding inverse problem that constructs 3D subsurface seismic velocity structures using seismic waveform data. To characterise…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-04-21 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

Inverse analysis, such as model calibration, often suffers from a lack of informative data in complex real-world scenarios. The standard remedy, designing new experimental setups, is often costly and time-consuming, while readily available…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Lea J. Haeusel , Jonas Nitzler , Lea J. Köglmeier , Wolfgang A. Wall

High-resolution simulation models are essential for representing complex physical systems, yet their substantial computational cost severely limits the number of feasible high-fidelity (HF) evaluations. This problem is often addressed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Hossein Mohammadi

Comparing competing mathematical models of complex natural processes is a shared goal among many branches of science. The Bayesian probabilistic framework offers a principled way to perform model comparison and extract useful metrics for…

Physics-informed neural networks have emerged as an alternative method for solving partial differential equations. However, for complex problems, the training of such networks can still require high-fidelity data which can be expensive to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Wenqian Chen , Panos Stinis

In likelihood-free settings where likelihood evaluations are intractable, approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) addresses the formidable inference task to discover plausible parameters of simulation programs that explain the observations.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-05 Kelvin Hsu , Fabio Ramos

A multi-fidelity simulator is a numerical model, in which one of the inputs controls a trade-off between the realism and the computational cost of the simulation. Our goal is to estimate the probability of exceeding a given threshold on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-31 Rémi Stroh , Julien Bect , Séverine Demeyer , Nicolas Fischer , Emmanuel Vazquez

Machine learned force fields typically require manual construction of training sets consisting of thousands of first principles calculations, which can result in low training efficiency and unpredictable errors when applied to structures…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-11-21 Jonathan Vandermause , Steven B. Torrisi , Simon Batzner , Yu Xie , Lixin Sun , Alexie M. Kolpak , Boris Kozinsky

We propose to use L\'evy {\alpha}-stable distributions for constructing priors for Bayesian inverse problems. The construction is based on Markov fields with stable-distributed increments. Special cases include the Cauchy and Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-26 Jarkko Suuronen , Tomás Soto , Neil K. Chada , Lassi Roininen

Performing stochastic inversion on a computationally expensive forward simulation model with a high-dimensional uncertain parameter space (e.g. a spatial random field) is computationally prohibitive even with gradient information provided.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-19 Charanraj A. Thimmisetty , Wenju Zhao , Xiao Chen , Charles H. Tong , Joshua A. White

Various frameworks have been proposed to predict mechanical system responses by combining data from different fidelities for design optimization and uncertainty quantification as reviewed by Fern\'andez-Godino et al. and Peherstorfer et…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-05-09 Yiming Zhang , Nam-Ho Kim , Chanyoung Park , Raphael T. Haftka

Bayesian inference usually requires running potentially costly inference procedures separately for every new observation. In contrast, the idea of amortized Bayesian inference is to initially invest computational cost in training an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Manuel Glöckler , Michael Deistler , Jakob H. Macke

Classical influence functions face significant challenges when applied to deep neural networks, primarily due to non-invertible Hessians and high-dimensional parameter spaces. We propose the local Bayesian influence function (BIF), an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Philipp Alexander Kreer , Wilson Wu , Maxwell Adam , Zach Furman , Jesse Hoogland

Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) are a standard tool in data analysis. However, they face problems when applied to high-dimensional data (e.g., images) due to the size of the required full covariance matrices (CMs), whereas the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Alexander Gepperth

Bayesian calibration is widely used for inverse analysis and uncertainty analysis for complex systems in the presence of both computer models and observation data. In the present work, we focus on large-scale fluid-structure interaction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Shunxiang Cao , Daniel Zhengyu Huang

Bayesian inverse problems use data to update a prior probability distribution on uncertain parameter values to a posterior distribution. Such problems arise in many structural engineering applications, but computational solution of Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Jakob Scheffels , Elizabeth Qian , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

We propose a posterior for Bayesian Likelihood-Free Inference (LFI) based on generalized Bayesian inference. To define the posterior, we use Scoring Rules (SRs), which evaluate probabilistic models given an observation. In LFI, we can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Lorenzo Pacchiardi , Sherman Khoo , Ritabrata Dutta

Full waveform inversion (FWI) can be expressed in a Bayesian framework, where the associated uncertainties are captured by the posterior probability distribution (PPD). In practice, solving Bayesian FWI with sampling-based methods such as…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-11-05 Shuhua Hu , Mrinal K Sen , Zeyu Zhao , Abdelrahman Elmeliegy , Shuo Zhang

Identifying a low-dimensional informed parameter subspace offers a viable path to alleviating the dimensionality challenge in the sampled-based solution to large-scale Bayesian inverse problems. This paper introduces a novel gradient-based…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-07 Tiangang Cui , Olivier Zahm