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Storm surge forecasting plays a crucial role in coastal disaster preparedness, yet existing machine learning approaches often suffer from limited spatial resolution, reliance on coastal station data, and poor generalization. Moreover, many…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Jinpai Zhao , Albert Cerrone , Eirik Valseth , Leendert Westerink , Clint Dawson

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) focuses on predicting key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation in the 2-week to 2-month time scales. Skillful SSF would have immense societal value, in areas such as agricultural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Timothy DelSole , Pradeep Ravikumar , Arindam Banerjee

The state of the art for physical hazard prediction from weather and climate requires expensive km-scale numerical simulations driven by coarser resolution global inputs. Here, a generative diffusion architecture is explored for downscaling…

Poor air quality can have a significant impact on human health. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) air quality forecasting guidance is challenged by the increasing presence of extreme air quality events due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Sophia Hamer , Jennifer Sleeman , Ivanka Stajner

Unmanned Surface Vehicles (USVs) are pivotal in marine exploration, but their sensors' accuracy is compromised by the dynamic marine environment. Traditional calibration methods fall short in these conditions. This paper introduces a deep…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Yi Shen , Hao Liu , Chang Zhou , Wentao Wang , Zijun Gao , Qi Wang

Accurate renewable energy production forecasting has become a priority as the share of intermittent energy sources on the grid increases. Recent work has shown that convolutional deep learning models can successfully be applied to forecast…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-24 Sebastian Bosma , Negar Nazari

Heat waves are projected to increase in frequency and severity with global warming. Improved warning systems would help reduce the associated loss of lives, wildfires, power disruptions, and reduction in crop yields. In this work, we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-13 Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Amy McGovern , Shreya Agrawal , Jason Hickey

A number of industrial applications, such as smart grids, power plant operation, hybrid system management or energy trading, could benefit from improved short-term solar forecasting, addressing the intermittent energy production from solar…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Quentin Paletta , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

Deep learning offers promising capabilities for the statistical downscaling of climate and weather forecasts, with generative approaches showing particular success in capturing fine-scale precipitation patterns. However, most existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Paula Harder , Christian Lessig , Matthew Chantry , Francis Pelletier , David Rolnick

Remote sensing of the Earth's surface water is critical in a wide range of environmental studies, from evaluating the societal impacts of seasonal droughts and floods to the large-scale implications of climate change. Consequently, a large…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Joachim Moortgat , Ziwei Li , Michael Durand , Ian Howat , Bidhyananda Yadav , Chunli Dai

Current deep learning models for dynamics forecasting struggle with generalization. They can only forecast in a specific domain and fail when applied to systems with different parameters, external forces, or boundary conditions. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Rui Wang , Robin Walters , Rose Yu

Forecasts by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF; EC for short) can provide a basis for the establishment of maritime-disaster warning systems, but they contain some systematic biases.The fifth-generation EC…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-04 Wei Zhang , Yueyue Jiang , Junyu Dong , Xiaojiang Song , Renbo Pang , Boyu Guoan , Hui Yu

This paper proposes a novel framework for enhancing the prediction accuracy and lead time of El Ni\~no events, crucial for mitigating their global climatic, economic, and societal impacts. Traditional prediction models often rely on oceanic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Viet Trinh , Ha-Vy Luu , Quoc-Khiem Nguyen-Pham , Hung Tong , Thanh-Huyen Tran , Hoai-Nam Nguyen Dang

Global artificial intelligence (AI) models are rapidly advancing and beginning to outperform traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models across metrics, yet predicting regional extreme weather such as tropical cyclone (TC)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-15 Chanh Kieu , Khanh Luong , Tri Nguyen

The prediction of streamflows and other environmental variables in unmonitored basins is a grand challenge in hydrology. Recent machine learning (ML) models can harness vast datasets for accurate predictions at large spatial scales.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Jared D. Willard , Fabio Ciulla , Helen Weierbach , Vipin Kumar , Charuleka Varadharajan

With broad applications in various public services like aviation management and urban disaster warning, numerical precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in weather forecast. However, constrained by the limitation of observation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-18 Xiaoyang Xu , Yiqun Liu , Hanqing Chao , Youcheng Luo , Hai Chu , Lei Chen , Junping Zhang , Leiming Ma

Sea ice at the North Pole is vital to global climate dynamics. However, accurately forecasting sea ice poses a significant challenge due to the intricate interaction among multiple variables. Leveraging the capability to integrate multiple…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Jaesung Park , Sungchul Hong , Yoonseo Cho , Jong-June Jeon

Accurate predictions of ship trajectories in crowded environments are essential to ensure safety in inland waterways traffic. Recent advances in deep learning promise increased accuracy even for complex scenarios. While the challenge of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Tom Legel , Dirk Söffker , Roland Schätzle , Kathrin Donandt

This research presents a novel application of computer vision (CV) and deep learning methods for real-time sea state recognition, aiming to contribute to improving the operational safety and energy efficiency of seagoing vessels, key…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Aleksandar Vorkapic , Miran Pobar , Marina Ivasic-Kos

Lightning plays a crucial role in the Earth's climate system, yet existing parameterizations for use in forecasting and earth system models show room for improvement in capturing spatial and temporal variations in its frequency. This study…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-15 Randall Jones , Joel A. Thornton , Chris J. Wright , Robert Holzworth