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We present a novel Bayesian spatial disaggregation model for count data, providing fast and flexible inference at high resolution. First, it incorporates non-linear covariate effects using penalized splines, a flexible approach that is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Sara Rutten , Thomas Neyens , Elisa Duarte , Christel Faes

This paper proposes a hierarchical Bayesian multitask learning model that is applicable to the general multi-task binary classification learning problem where the model assumes a shared sparsity structure across different tasks. We derive a…

Environmental research increasingly uses high-dimensional remote sensing and numerical model output to help fill space-time gaps between traditional observations. Such output is often a noisy proxy for the process of interest. Thus one…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-30 Christopher J. Paciorek

Evaluating the causal health effects of multivariate, continuous exposures, such as air pollution mixtures, is a critical public health challenge. A primary obstacle is the frequent violation of the positivity assumption, which renders the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Zhuochao Huang , Kejin Dong , Tuo Lin , Joseph Antonelli

Spatial regression of random fields based on potentially biased sensing information is proposed in this paper. One major concern in such applications is that since it is not known a-priori what the accuracy of the collected data from each…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-04 Qikun Xiang , Ido Nevat , Gareth W. Peters

Epidemiological evidence supports an association between exposure to air pollution during pregnancy and birth and child health outcomes. Typically, such associations are estimated by regressing an outcome on daily or weekly measures of…

Compositional observations are an increasingly prevalent data source in spatial statistics. Analysis of such data is typically done on log-ratio transformations or via Dirichlet regression. However, these approaches often make unnecessarily…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Michael R. Schwob , Mevin B. Hooten , Nicholas M. Calzada , Timothy H. Keitt

Air quality has become one of the main issues in public health and urban planning management, due to the proven adverse effects of high pollutant concentrations. Considering the mitigation measures that cities all over the world are taking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Rodrigo de Medrano , Víctor de Buen Remiro , José L. Aznarte

Fine particulate matter and aerosol optical thickness are of interest to atmospheric scientists for understanding air quality and its various health/environmental impacts. The available data are extremely large, making uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Madelyn Clinch , Jonathan R. Bradley

Spatial epidemiology identifies the drivers of elevated population-level disease risks, using disease counts, exposures and known confounders at the areal unit level. Poisson regression models are typically used for inference, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Duncan Lee , Vinny Davies

Pollutant exposure during gestation is a known and adverse factor for birth and health outcomes. However, the links between prenatal air pollution exposures and educational outcomes are less clear, in particular the critical windows of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-11 Yunan Gao , Daniel R. Kowal

Accurate estimation of the change in crime over time is a critical first step towards better understanding of public safety in large urban environments. Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a natural way to study spatial variation in urban…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Cecilia Balocchi , Sameer K. Deshpande , Edward I. George , Shane T. Jensen

Spatial statistical models are commonly used in geographical scenarios to ensure spatial variation is captured effectively. However, spatial models and cluster algorithms can be complicated and expensive. This paper pursues three main…

Estimating the causal effects of a spatially-varying intervention on a spatially-varying outcome may be subject to non-local confounding (NLC), a phenomenon that can bias estimates when the treatments and outcomes of a given unit are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Mauricio Tec , James Scott , Corwin Zigler

Statistical methods are required to evaluate and quantify the uncertainty in environmental processes, such as land and sea surface temperature, in a changing climate. Typically, annual harmonics are used to characterize the variation in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-17 Joshua S. North , Erin M. Schliep , Christopher K. Wikle

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

A wealth of epidemiological data suggests an association between mortality/morbidity from pulmonary and cardiovascular adverse events and air pollution, but uncertainty remains as to the extent implied by those associations although the…

Applications · Statistics 2008-06-16 Massimo Bilancia , Girolamo Stea

Post-earthquake hazard and impact estimation are critical for effective disaster response, yet current approaches face significant limitations. Traditional models employ fixed parameters regardless of geographical context, misrepresenting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-08 Xuechun Li , Shan Gao , Runyu Gao , Susu Xu

Spatiotemporal forecasting is critical for real-world applications like traffic management, yet capturing reliable interactions remains challenging under noisy and non-stationary conditions. Existing methods primarily rely on historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Yinghao Ai , Yukai Zhou , Ruoxi Jiang , Junyi An , Chao Qu , Zhijian Zhou , Shiyu Wang , Fenglei Cao , Zenglin Xu , Furao Shen , Yuan Qi

Demographic studies of cosmic populations must contend with measurement errors and selection effects. We survey some of the key ideas astronomers have developed to deal with these complications, in the context of galaxy surveys and the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-11-28 Thomas J. Loredo , Martin A. Hendry
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