Related papers: Large deviations for light-tailed L\'evy bridges o…

Using a weak convergence approach, we establish a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for the solutions of fluid dynamic systems in two-dimensional bounded domains subjected to no-slip boundary conditions and perturbed by additive noise. Our…

In a high-frequency context, we investigate the efficient estimation of scaling and jump activity parameters for a stochastic differential equation driven by a L{\'e}vy process with both diffusion component and pure-jump component. We first…

The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

In this paper, we develop sample path large deviations for multivariate Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed mutual excitation rates. Our results address a broad class of rare events in Hawkes processes at the sample path level and, via the…

We study the upper tail behaviors of the local times of the additive stable processes. Let $X_1(t),...,X_p(t)$ be independent, d-dimensional symmetric stable processes with stable index $0<\alpha\le 2$ and consider the additive stable…

In this article, we consider slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions and fractional Brownian motions. We give a definition of the large deviation principle (LDP) on the product space related to…

In this article, we introduce an infinite-dimensional analogue of the $\alpha$-stable L\'evy motion, defined as a L\'evy process $Z=\{Z(t)\}_{t \geq 0}$ with values in the space $\mathbb{D}$ of c\`adl\`ag functions on $[0,1]$, equipped with…

We obtain asymptotic expansions for the large deviation principle (LDP) for continuous time stochastic processes with weakly dependent increments. As a key example, we show that additive functionals of solutions of stochastic differential…

Let us consider a real L\'evy process X whose transition probabilities are absolutely continuous and have bounded densities. Then the law of the past supremum of X before any deterministic time t is absolutely continuous on (0,\infty). We…

Moderate deviation principles for empirical measure processes associated with weakly interacting Markov processes are established. Two families of models are considered: the first corresponds to a system of interacting diffusions whereas…

In this paper, we study the large deviation principle (LDP) for obstacle problems governed by a T-monotone operator and small multiplicative stochastic reaction. Our approach relies on a combination of new sufficient condition to prove LDP…

We prove that when a sequence of L\'evy processes $X^{(n)}$ or a normed sequence of random walks $S^{(n)}$ converges a.s. on the Skorokhod space toward a L\'evy process $X$, the sequence $L^{(n)}$ of local times at the supremum of $X^{(n)}$…

Extreme events are by nature rare and difficult to predict, yet are often much more important than frequent, typical events. An interesting counterpoint to the prediction of such events is their retrodiction -- given a process in an outlier…

Conditional independence and graphical models are crucial concepts for sparsity and statistical modeling in higher dimensions. For L\'evy processes, a widely applied class of stochastic processes, these notions have not been studied. By the…

We consider temporal models of rapidly changing Markovian networks modulated by time-evolving spatially dependent kernels that define rates for edge formation and dissolution. Alternatively, these can be viewed as Markovian networks with…

We prove the small-noise large deviation principle (LDP) for stochastic evolution equations in an $L^2$-setting. As the coefficients are allowed to be non-coercive, our framework encompasses a much broader scope than variational settings.…

We study rare events in the extreme value statistics of stochastic symmetric jump processes with power tails in the distributions of the jumps, using the big-jump principle. The principle states that in the presence of stochastic processes…

In our companion work \cite{Stojnicl1RegPosasymldp} we revisited random under-determined linear systems with sparse solutions. The main emphasis was on the performance analysis of the $\ell_1$ heuristic in the so-called asymptotic regime,…

Markov jump processes (MJPs) are used to model a wide range of phenomena from disease progression to RNA path folding. However, maximum likelihood estimation of parametric models leads to degenerate trajectories and inferential performance…

We propose new jump-adapted weak approximation schemes for stochastic differential equations driven by pure-jump L\'evy processes. The idea is to replace the driving L\'evy process $Z$ with a finite intensity process which has the same…