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The performance of prediction models is often based on "abstract metrics" that estimate the model's ability to limit residual errors between the observed and predicted values. However, meaningful evaluation and selection of prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 Saima Aman , Yogesh Simmhan , Viktor K. Prasanna

Distribution system end users are transforming from passive to active participants, marked by the push towards widespread adoption of edge-level Distributed Energy Resources (DERs). This paper addresses the challenges in distribution system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Arun Kumar Karngala , Chanan Singh , Le Xie

Managing supply and demand in the electricity grid is becoming more challenging due to the increasing penetration of variable renewable energy sources. As significant end-use consumers, and through better grid integration, buildings are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-14 Anjukan Kathirgamanathan , Mattia De Rosa , Eleni Mangina , Donal P. Finn

In the context of smart grids and load balancing, daily peak load forecasting has become a critical activity for stakeholders of the energy industry. An understanding of peak magnitude and timing is paramount for the implementation of smart…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Yvenn Amara-Ouali , Matteo Fasiolo , Yannig Goude , Hui Yan

Power systems operate under uncertainty originating from multiple factors that are impossible to account for deterministically. Distributional forecasting is used to control and mitigate risks associated with this uncertainty. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Slawek Smyl , Boris N. Oreshkin , Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

Power demand forecasting is a critical task for achieving efficiency and reliability in power grid operation. Accurate forecasting allows grid operators to better maintain the balance of supply and demand as well as to optimize operational…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Yao Cheng , Chang Xu , Daisuke Mashima , Vrizlynn L. L. Thing , Yongdong Wu

The application of large deep learning models in weather forecasting has led to significant advancements in the field, including higher-resolution forecasting and extended prediction periods exemplified by models such as Pangu and Fuxi.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Nian Ran , Peng Xiao , Yue Wang , Wesley Shi , Jianxin Lin , Qi Meng , Richard Allmendinger

Short-term forecasting of residential electricity demand is an important task for utilities. Yet, many small and medium-sized utilities still use simple forecasting approaches such as Synthesized Load Profiles, which treat residential…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Daniel R. Bayer , Felix Haag , Marco Pruckner , Konstantin Hopf

Heat pump and thermal energy storage (HPTES) systems, which are widely utilized in modern buildings for providing domestic hot water, contribute to a large share of household electricity consumption. With the increasing integration of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-26 Weihong Tang , Yun Li , Shalika Walker , Tamas Keviczky

With the increased amount of volatile renewable energy sources connected to the electricity grid, and the phase-out of fossil fuel based power plants, there is an increased need for frequency regulation. On the demand side, frequency…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Felix Bünning , Joseph Warrington , Philipp Heer , Roy S. Smith , John Lygeros

It is envisioned that building systems will become active participants in the smart grid operation by controlling their energy consumption to optimize complex criteria beyond ensuring local end-use comfort satisfaction. A forecast of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Soumya Kundu , Thiagarajan Ramachandran , Yan Chen , Draguna Vrabie

With the booming growth of advanced digital technologies, it has become possible for users as well as distributors of energy to obtain detailed and timely information about the electricity consumption of households. These technologies can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-16 Mohamed Aymane Ahajjam , Daniel Bonilla Licea , Mounir Ghogho , Abdellatif Kobbane

Utilizing solar energy to meet space heating and domestic hot water demand is very efficient (in terms of environmental footprint as well as cost), but in order to ensure that user demand is entirely covered throughout the year needs to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Tatiana Boura , Natalia Koliou , George Meramveliotakis , Stasinos Konstantopoulos , George Kosmadakis

Increasing penetration of renewable energy sources (RES) and electrification of energy systems necessitates the engagement of demand-side management (DSM) to help alleviate congestion in electricity grid. Heat pump and thermal energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-24 Weihong Tang , Yun Li , Shalika Walker , Tamas Keviczky

To reduce global carbon emissions and limit climate change, controlling energy consumption in buildings is an important piece of the puzzle. Here, we specifically focus on using a demand response (DR) algorithm to limit the energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-22 Fabio Pavirani , Gargya Gokhale , Bert Claessens , Chris Develder

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

A well-performing prediction model is vital for a recommendation system suggesting actions for energy-efficient consumer behavior. However, reliable and accurate predictions depend on informative features and a suitable model design to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Alona Zharova , Antonia Scherz

Internet of Things (IoT) devices in smart grids enable intelligent energy management for grid managers and personalized energy services for consumers. Investigating a smart grid with IoT devices requires a simulation framework with IoT…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-23 Bang Nguyen , Mayank Panwar , Rob Hovsapian , Yashodhan Agalgaonkar

Short-Term Electricity-Load Forecasting (STELF) refers to the prediction of the immediate demand (in the next few hours to several days) for the power system. Various external factors, such as weather changes and the emergence of new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Qi Dong , Rubing Huang , Chenhui Cui , Dave Towey , Ling Zhou , Jinyu Tian , Jianzhou Wang

Temperature monitoring during the life time of heat source components in engineering systems becomes essential to guarantee the normal work and the working life of these components. However, prior methods, which mainly use the interpolate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Zhiqiang Gong , Weien Zhou , Jun Zhang , Wei Peng , Wen Yao
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