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Although conventional machine learning algorithms have been widely adopted for stock-price predictions in recent years, the massive volume of specific labeled data required are not always available. In contrast, meta-learning technology…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Shin-Hung Chang , Cheng-Wen Hsu , Hsing-Ying Li , Wei-Sheng Zeng , Jan-Ming Ho

Building predictive models for robust and accurate prediction of stock prices and stock price movement is a challenging research problem to solve. The well-known efficient market hypothesis believes in the impossibility of accurate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

We propose a microscopic model to describe the dynamics of the fundamental events in the limit order book (LOB): order arrivals and cancellations. It is based on an operator algebra for individual orders and describes their effect on the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-06 Johannes Bleher , Michael Bleher , Thomas Dimpfl

The limit order book (LOB) depicts the fine-grained demand and supply relationship for financial assets and is widely used in market microstructure studies. Nevertheless, the availability and high cost of LOB data restrict its wider…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-02 Zijian Shi , John Cartlidge

Financial markets have a vital role in the development of modern society. They allow the deployment of economic resources. Changes in stock prices reflect changes in the market. In this study, we focus on predicting stock prices by deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-27 Jialin Liu , Fei Chao , Yu-Chen Lin , Chih-Min Lin

Accurate human motion prediction (HMP) is critical for seamless human-robot collaboration, particularly in handover tasks that require real-time adaptability. Despite the high accuracy of state-of-the-art models, their computational…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Gerard Gómez-Izquierdo , Javier Laplaza , Alberto Sanfeliu , Anaís Garrell

An ever increasing volume of data is nowadays becoming available in a streaming manner in many application areas, such as, in critical infrastructure systems, finance and banking, security and crime and web analytics. To meet this new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Kleanthis Malialis , Christos G. Panayiotou , Marios M. Polycarpou

We propose a limit order book (LOB) model with dynamics that account for both the impact of the most recent order and the shape of the LOB. We present an empirical analysis showing that the type of the last order significantly alters the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-31 Federico Gonzalez , Mark Schervish

Deep learning offers new tools for portfolio optimization. We present an end-to-end framework that directly learns portfolio weights by combining Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to model temporal patterns, Graph Attention Networks…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-27 Yun Lin , Jiawei Lou , Jinghe Zhang

We conduct modeling of the price dynamics following order flow imbalance in market microstructure and apply the model to the analysis of Chinese CSI 300 Index Futures. There are three findings. The first is that the order flow imbalance is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-26 Chen Hu , Kouxiao Zhang

Recently, combining stock features with inter-stock correlations has become a common and effective approach for stock movement prediction. However, financial data presents significant challenges due to its low signal-to-noise ratio and the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Yifan Hu , Peiyuan Liu , Yuante Li , Dawei Cheng , Naiqi Li , Tao Dai , Jigang Bao , Shu-Tao Xia

Accurately forecasting the direction of financial returns poses a formidable challenge, given the inherent unpredictability of financial time series. The task becomes even more arduous when applied to cryptocurrency returns, given the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-29 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Filippo Barchi , Riccardo Busetto , Daniele Marazzina , Simone Formentin

This paper poses a few fundamental questions regarding the attributes of the volume profile of a Limit Order Books stochastic structure by taking into consideration aspects of intraday and interday statistical features, the impact of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-23 Kylie-Anne Richards , Gareth W. Peters , William Dunsmuir

This research extends the conventional concepts of the bid--ask spread (BAS) and mid-price to include the total market order book bid--ask spread (TMOBBAS) and the global mid-price (GMP). Using high-frequency trading data, we investigate…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Yifan He , Abootaleb Shirvani , Barret Shao , Svetlozar Rachev , Frank Fabozzi

Latency (i.e., time delay) in electronic markets affects the efficacy of liquidity taking strategies. During the time liquidity takers process information and send marketable limit orders (MLOs) to the exchange, the limit order book (LOB)…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-12 Álvaro Cartea , Sebastian Jaimungal , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

One of the pillars to build a country's economy is the stock market. Over the years, people are investing in stock markets to earn as much profit as possible from the amount of money that they possess. Hence, it is vital to have a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-17 Ishu Gupta , Tarun Kumar Madan , Sukhman Singh , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

Midterm stock price prediction is crucial for value investments in the stock market. However, most deep learning models are essentially short-term and applying them to midterm predictions encounters large cumulative errors because they…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-06 Xinyi Li , Yinchuan Li , Xiao-Yang Liu , Christina Dan Wang

The deployment of autonomous AI agents in derivatives markets has widened a practical gap between static model calibration and realized hedging outcomes. We introduce two reinforcement learning frameworks, a novel Replication Learning of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Minxuan Hu , Ziheng Chen , Jiayu Yi , Wenxi Sun

We extend the Q-learner in Black-Scholes (QLBS) framework by incorporating risk aversion and trading costs, and propose a novel Replication Learning of Option Pricing (RLOP) approach. Both methods are fully compatible with standard…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-06 Ziheng Chen , Minxuan Hu , Jiayu Yi , Wenxi Sun

We study the multi-level order-flow imbalance (MLOFI), which is a vector quantity that measures the net flow of buy and sell orders at different price levels in a limit order book (LOB). Using a recent, high-quality data set for 6 liquid…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-29 Ke Xu , Martin D. Gould , Sam D. Howison