Related papers: Bayesian Non-Parametric Inference for L\'evy Measu…
Given discrete time observations over a growing time interval, we consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the L\'evy density of a L\'evy process belonging to a flexible class of infinite activity subordinators. Posterior…
Modelling extreme events and heavy-tailed phenomena is central to building reliable predictive systems in domains such as finance, climate science, and safety-critical AI. While L\'evy processes provide a natural mathematical framework for…
The L\'evy walk is a non-Brownian random walk model that has been found to describe anomalous dynamic phenomena in diverse fields ranging from biology over quantum physics to ecology. Recurrently occurring problems are to examine whether…
This article deals with adaptive nonparametric estimation for L\'evy processes observed at low frequency. For general linear functionals of the L\'evy measure, we construct kernel estimators, provide upper risk bounds and derive rates of…
We consider the problem of static Bayesian inference for partially observed Levy-process models. We develop a methodology which allows one to infer static parameters and some states of the process, without a bias from the…
In this paper nonparametric methods to assess the multivariate L\'{e}vy measure are introduced. Starting from high-frequency observations of a L\'{e}vy process $\mathbf{X}$, we construct estimators for its tail integrals and the…
Calibrating a L\'evy process usually requires characterizing its jump distribution. Traditionally this problem can be solved with nonparametric estimation using the empirical characteristic functions (ECF), assuming certain regularity, and…
Many complex dynamical phenomena can be effectively modeled by a system that switches among a set of conditionally linear dynamical modes. We consider two such models: the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) and the switching vector…
In this paper we introduce a new class of state space models based on shot-noise simulation representations of non-Gaussian L\'evy-driven linear systems, represented as stochastic differential equations. In particular a conditionally…
State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…
We consider nonparametric statistical inference for L\'evy processes sampled irregularly, at low frequency. The estimation of the jump dynamics as well as the estimation of the distributional density are investigated. Non-asymptotic risk…
In this article, the problem of semi-parametric inference on the parameters of a multidimensional L\'{e}vy process $L_t$ with independent components based on the low-frequency observations of the corresponding time-changed L\'{e}vy process…
Given a sample from a discretely observed L\'evy process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ of the finite jump activity, the problem of nonparametric estimation of the L\'evy density $\rho$ corresponding to the process $X$ is studied. An estimator of…
In this paper we study the problem of statistical inference for a continuous-time moving average L\'evy process of the form $$Z_{t} = \int_{\mathbb{R}}\mathcal{K}(t-s)\, dL_{s},\quad t\in\mathbb{R}$$ with a deterministic kernel (\K\) and a…
The main purpose of this chapter is to present some theoretical aspects of parametric estimation of L\'evy processes based on high-frequency sampling, with a focus on infinite activity pure-jump models. Asymptotics for several classes of…
This study examines a nonparametric inference on a stationary L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process $X = (X_{t})_{t \geq 0}$ with a compound Poisson subordinator. We propose a new spectral estimator for the L\'evy measure of the…
Modeling uncertainty in heavy-tailed time series remains a critical challenge for deep probabilistic forecasting models, which often struggle to capture abrupt, extreme events. While L\'evy stable distributions offer a natural framework for…
This paper aims at semi-parametrically estimating the input process to a L\'evy-driven queue by sampling the workload process at Poisson times. We construct a method-of-moments based estimator for the L\'evy process' characteristic…
Using Kalman techniques, it is possible to perform optimal estimation in linear Gaussian state-space models. We address here the case where the noise probability density functions are of unknown functional form. A flexible Bayesian…
Nonparametric methods for the estimation of the Levy density of a Levy process are developed. Estimators that can be written in terms of the ``jumps'' of the process are introduced, and so are discrete-data based approximations. A model…