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Neural network-based methods for (un)conditional density estimation have recently gained substantial attention, as various neural density estimators have outperformed classical approaches in real-data experiments. Despite these empirical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-02 Dehao Dai , Jianqing Fan , Yihong Gu , Debarghya Mukherjee

With insurers benefiting from ever-larger amounts of data of increasing complexity, we explore a data-driven method to model dependence within multilevel claims in this paper. More specifically, we start from a non-parametric estimator for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Marie Michaelides , Hélène Cossette , Mathieu Pigeon

Copula models are widely employed in multivariate time series analysis because they permit flexible modelling of marginal distributions independently of the dependence structure, which is fully characterised by the copula function. However,…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-24 Daniel Fynn , David Gunawan , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

The performance of known and new parametric estimators for Archimedean copulas is investigated, with special focus on large dimensions and numerical difficulties. In particular, method-of-moments-like estimators based on pairwise Kendall's…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-05 Marius Hofert , Martin Maechler , Alexander J. McNeil

Handling class imbalance remains a central challenge in machine learning, particularly in pattern recognition tasks where identifying rare but critical anomalies is of paramount importance. Traditional generative models often decouple data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Hanbeot Park , Yunjeong Cho , Hunhee Kim

Effective uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly attractive for enhancing the reliability of neural networks. This work presents a novel approach, termed Credal-Set Interval Neural Networks (CreINNs), for classification. CreINNs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Kaizheng Wang , Keivan Shariatmadar , Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal , Fabio Cuzzolin , David Moens , Hans Hallez

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

Deep neural networks exhibit remarkable performance, yet their black-box nature limits their utility in fields like healthcare where interpretability is crucial. Existing explainability approaches often sacrifice accuracy and lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Linhui Huang , Sayeri Lala , Niraj K. Jha

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are widely used deep learning models that learn meaningful representations from graph-structured data. Due to the finite nature of the underlying recurrent structure, current GNN methods may struggle to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Fangda Gu , Heng Chang , Wenwu Zhu , Somayeh Sojoudi , Laurent El Ghaoui

We develop adaptive estimation and inference methods for high-dimensional Gaussian copula regression that achieve the same performance without the knowledge of the marginal transformations as that for high-dimensional linear regression.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-09 T. Tony Cai , Linjun Zhang

Bayesian Neural Networks (BayNNs) naturally provide uncertainty in their predictions, making them a suitable choice in safety-critical applications. Additionally, their realization using memristor-based in-memory computing (IMC)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Soyed Tuhin Ahmed , Kamal Danouchi , Guillaume Prenat , Lorena Anghel , Mehdi B. Tahoori

Popular debiased estimation methods for causal inference -- such as augmented inverse propensity weighting and targeted maximum likelihood estimation -- enjoy desirable asymptotic properties like statistical efficiency and double robustness…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-16 Tiffany Tianhui Cai , Yuri Fonseca , Kaiwen Hou , Hongseok Namkoong

No existing nested Archimedean copula tool handles all three of (a) arbitrary per-variable (right-)censoring in survival analysis, (b) arbitrary nesting trees, and (c) exact parameter gradients. Existing implementations handle only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Cambridge Yang , Dongdong Li

An important challenge in statistical analysis lies in controlling the estimation bias when handling the ever-increasing data size and model complexity of modern data settings. In this paper, we propose a reliable estimation and inference…

A central problem in machine learning and statistics is to model joint densities of random variables from data. Copulas are joint cumulative distribution functions with uniform marginal distributions and are used to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Chun Kai Ling , Fei Fang , J. Zico Kolter

Many statistical estimators are defined as the fixed point of a data-dependent operator, with estimators based on minimizing a cost function being an important special case. The limiting performance of such estimators depends on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan , Bin Yu

While deep neural networks (DNNs) are used for prediction, inference on DNN-estimated subject-specific means for categorical or exponential family outcomes remains underexplored. We address this by proposing a DNN estimator under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-18 Xuran Meng , Yi Li

In this paper, we propose a novel approach for estimating Archimedean copula generators in a conditional setting, incorporating endogenous variables. Our method allows for the evaluation of the impact of the different levels of covariates…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-12 Marie Michaelides , Hélène Cossette , Mathieu Pigeon

Context: New spectroscopic surveys will increase the number of astronomical objects requiring characterization by over tenfold.. Machine learning tools are required to address this data deluge in a fast and accurate fashion. Most machine…

This paper investigates the cumulative Integer-Valued Autoregressive model of infinite order, denoted as INAR($\infty$), a class of processes crucial for modeling count time series and equivalent to discrete-time Hawkes processes. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-12 Yingli Wang , Xiaohong Duan , Ping He
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