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We study approximate maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) for the parameters of the widely used Heston stock and volatility stochastic differential equations (SDEs). We compute explicit closed form estimators maximizing the discretized…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Robert Azencott , Yutheeka Gadhyan

This paper studies phase transitions for the existence of unregularized M-estimators under proportional asymptotics where the sample size $n$ and feature dimension $p$ grow proportionally with $n/p \to \delta \in (1, \infty)$. We study the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Takuya Koriyama , Pierre C. Bellec

We prove the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in time-varying transition probability (TVTP) regime-switching models. This class of models extends the constant regime transition probability in Markov-switching…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-06 Chaojun Li , Yan Liu

This paper develops a quasi-maximum likelihood estimator for genuinely unbalanced dynamic network panel data models with individual fixed effects. We propose a model that accommodates contemporaneous and lagged network spillovers, temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Zhijian Wang , Xingbai Xu , Tuo Liu

We develop a uniform inference theory for high-dimensional slope parameters in threshold regression models, allowing for either cross-sectional or time series data. We first establish oracle inequalities for prediction errors, and L1…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Jiatong Li , Hongqiang Yan

High-dimensional data often exhibit variation that can be captured by lower dimensional factors. For high-dimensional data from multiple studies or environments, one goal is to understand which underlying factors are common to all studies,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 Gemma E. Moran , Anandi Krishnan

We consider hidden Markov models indexed by a binary tree where the hidden state space is a general metric space. We study the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters based only on the observed variables. In both…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-20 Julien Weibel

We study the problem of maximum likelihood estimation of densities that are log-concave and lie in the graphical model corresponding to a given undirected graph $G$. We show that the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) is the product of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Kaie Kubjas , Olga Kuznetsova , Elina Robeva , Pardis Semnani , Luca Sodomaco

We introduce a new family of one factor distributions for high-dimensional binary data. The model provides an explicit probability for each event, thus avoiding the numeric approximations often made by existing methods. Model interpretation…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-05 Matthieu Marbac , Mohammed Sedki

The Laplace approximation (LA) has been proposed as a method for approximating the marginal likelihood of statistical models with latent variables. However, the approximate maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) based on the LA are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee

Nonlinear mixed effects models have received a great deal of attention in the statistical literature in recent years because of their flexibility in handling longitudinal studies, including human immunodeficiency virus viral dynamics,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Fernanda L. Schumacher , Dipak K. Dey , Victor H. Lachos

Delattre et al. (2013) considered n independent stochastic differential equations (SDEs), where in each case the drift term is associated with a random effect, the distribution of which depends upon unknown parameters. Assuming the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-12 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

This paper proposes a class of parametric multiple-index time series models that involve linear combinations of time trends, stationary variables and unit root processes as regressors. The inclusion of the three different types of time…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-04 Chaohua Dong , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Yundong Tu

We consider continuous-time models with a large panel of moment conditions, where the structural parameter depends on a set of characteristics, whose effects are of interest. The leading example is the linear factor model in financial…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-04 Yuan Liao , Xiye Yang

We find limiting distributions of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a log-concave density, that is, a density of the form $f_0=\exp\varphi_0$ where $\varphi_0$ is a concave function on $\mathbb{R}$. The pointwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-17 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Kaspar Rufibach , Jon A. Wellner

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a non-stationary Hawkes process with time-dependent reproduction rate and baseline intensity. Our approach relies on the standard maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), coinciding with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

We introduce a general covariate-assisted statistical ranking model within the Plackett--Luce framework. Unlike previous studies focusing on individual effects with fixed covariates, our model allows covariates to vary across comparisons.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Pinjun Dong , Ruijian Han , Binyan Jiang , Yiming Xu

This paper concerns the nonparametric estimation problem of the distribution-state dependent drift vector field in an interacting $N$-particle system. Observing single-trajectory data for each particle, we derive the mean-field rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Rentian Yao , Xiaohui Chen , Yun Yang

Moving from univariate to bivariate jointly dependent long-memory time series introduces a phase parameter $(\gamma)$, at the frequency of principal interest, zero; for short-memory series $\gamma=0$ automatically. The latter case has also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-07 P. M. Robinson

We propose a covariate-dependent discrete graphical model for capturing dynamic networks among discrete random variables, allowing the dependence structure among vertices to vary with covariates. This discrete dynamic network encompasses…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Lyndsay Roach , Qiong Li , Nanwei Wang , Xin Gao