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Statistical model checking is a class of sequential algorithms that can verify specifications of interest on an ensemble of cyber-physical systems (e.g., whether 99% of cars from a batch meet a requirement on their energy efficiency). These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Yu Wang , Hussein Sibai , Mark Yen , Sayan Mitra , Geir E. Dullerud

This paper extends difference-in-differences to settings with continuous treatments. Specifically, the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) at any level of treatment intensity is identified under a conditional parallel trends…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-05 Lucas Z. Zhang

Performance uncertainty quantification is essential for reliable validation and eventual clinical translation of medical imaging artificial intelligence (AI). Confidence intervals (CIs) play a central role in this process by indicating how…

Synthetic control is a causal inference tool used to estimate the treatment effects of an intervention by creating synthetic counterfactual data. This approach combines measurements from other similar observations (i.e., donor pool ) to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Saeyoung Rho , Rachel Cummings , Vishal Misra

Using real-world study data usually requires contractual agreements where research results may only be published in anonymized form. Requiring formal privacy guarantees, such as differential privacy, could be helpful for data-driven…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Jonas Allmann , Saskia Nuñez von Voigt , Florian Tschorsch

In this paper, we introduce a unified estimator to analyze various treatment effects in causal inference, including but not limited to the average treatment effect (ATE) and the quantile treatment effect (QTE). The proposed estimator is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Kuan-Hsun Wu , Li-Pang Chen

Fairness auditing of AI systems can identify and quantify biases. However, traditional auditing using real-world data raises security and privacy concerns. It exposes auditors to security risks as they become custodians of sensitive…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Chih-Cheng Rex Yuan , Bow-Yaw Wang

In real-world settings involving consequential decision-making, the deployment of machine learning systems generally requires both reliable uncertainty quantification and protection of individuals' privacy. We present a framework that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Tijana Zrnic , Michael I. Jordan

This article proposes a meta-learning method for estimating the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) from a few observational data. The proposed method learns how to estimate CATEs from multiple tasks and uses the knowledge for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-22 Tomoharu Iwata , Yoichi Chikahara

Accurately predicting conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) is crucial in personalized medicine and digital platform analytics. Since the treatments of interest often cannot be directly randomized, observational data is leveraged to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Miruna Oprescu , Nathan Kallus

Differential privacy (DP) is the prevailing technique for protecting user data in machine learning models. However, deficits to this framework include a lack of clarity for selecting the privacy budget $\epsilon$ and a lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-29 Tyler LeBlond , Joseph Munoz , Fred Lu , Maya Fuchs , Elliott Zaresky-Williams , Edward Raff , Brian Testa

In differential privacy, random noise is introduced to privatize summary statistics of a sensitive dataset before releasing them. The noise level determines the privacy loss, which quantifies how easily an adversary can detect a target…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Youngjoo Yun , Rishabh Dudeja

Conventional causal estimands, such as the average treatment effect (ATE), capture how the mean outcome in a population or subpopulation would change if all units were assigned to treatment versus control. Real-world policy changes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Xiang Zhou , Aleksei Opacic

Developing robust and effective artificial intelligence (AI) models in medicine requires access to large amounts of patient data. The use of AI models solely trained on large multi-institutional datasets can help with this, yet the…

The difference-in-differences (DID) method identifies the average treatment effects on the treated (ATT) under mainly the so-called parallel trends (PT) assumption. The most common and widely used approach to justify the PT assumption is…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-23 Kyunghoon Ban , Désiré Kédagni

The average treatment effect (ATE) is commonly used to quantify the main effect of a binary treatment on an outcome. Extensions to continuous treatments are usually based on the dose-response curve or shift interventions, but both require…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Oliver J. Hines , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

Machine learning models in health care are often deployed in settings where it is important to protect patient privacy. In such settings, methods for differentially private (DP) learning provide a general-purpose approach to learn models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Vinith M. Suriyakumar , Nicolas Papernot , Anna Goldenberg , Marzyeh Ghassemi

Differential Privacy (DP) is a well-established framework to quantify privacy loss incurred by any algorithm. Traditional formulations impose a uniform privacy requirement for all users, which is often inconsistent with real-world scenarios…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Syomantak Chaudhuri , Konstantin Miagkov , Thomas A. Courtade

It is valuable for any decision maker to know the impact of decisions (treatments) on average and for subgroups. The causal machine learning literature has recently provided tools for estimating group average treatment effects (GATE) to…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-10 Nora Bearth , Michael Lechner

Differential privacy (DP) is a rigorous notion of data privacy, used for private statistics. The canonical algorithm for differentially private mean estimation is to first clip the samples to a bounded range and then add noise to their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Gautam Kamath , Argyris Mouzakis , Matthew Regehr , Vikrant Singhal , Thomas Steinke , Jonathan Ullman
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