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Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables amortized Bayesian inference by first training a neural posterior estimator (NPE) on prior-simulator pairs, typically through low-dimensional summary statistics, which can then be cheaply reused for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Sherman Khoo , Dennis Prangle , Song Liu , Mark Beaumont

We introduce \textit{OneFlowSBI}, a unified framework for simulation-based inference that learns a single flow-matching generative model over the joint distribution of parameters and observations. Leveraging a query-aware masking…

This paper presents a novel framework for full-waveform seismic source inversion using simulation-based inference (SBI). Traditional probabilistic approaches often rely on simplifying assumptions about data errors, which we show can lead to…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-15 A. A. Saoulis , D. Piras , A. Spurio Mancini , B. Joachimi , A. M. G. Ferreira

The expressiveness of flow-based models combined with stochastic variational inference (SVI) has expanded the application of optimization-based Bayesian inference to highly complex problems. However, despite the importance of multi-model…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-17 Laurence Davies , Dan Mackinlay , Rafael Oliveira , Scott A. Sisson

Neural simulation-based inference is a powerful class of machine-learning-based methods for statistical inference that naturally handles high-dimensional parameter estimation without the need to bin data into low-dimensional summary…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-06-16 ATLAS Collaboration

Multi-fidelity models are becoming more prevalent in engineering, particularly in aerospace, as they combine both the computational efficiency of low-fidelity models with the high accuracy of higher-fidelity simulations. Various…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Andrea Vaiuso , Gabriele Immordino , Marcello Righi , Andrea Da Ronch

Accurate thermospheric density prediction is crucial for reliable satellite operations in Low Earth Orbits, especially at high solar and geomagnetic activity. Physics-based models such as TIE-GCM offer high fidelity but are computationally…

Space Physics · Physics 2026-03-30 Cedric Bös , Alessandro Bortotto , Mohamed Khalil Ben-Larbi

Bayesian QU-fitting is among the most accurate approaches for line-of-sight Faraday inference, but its per-pixel computational cost has made survey-scale application infeasible. QU-fitting is an alternative to Faraday synthesis with…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-28 Arpan Pal , Preshanth Jagannathan

Recent advances in probabilistic deep learning enable efficient amortized Bayesian inference in settings where the likelihood function is only implicitly defined by a simulation program (simulation-based inference; SBI). But how faithful is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Marvin Schmitt , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ullrich Köthe , Stefan T. Radev

We present methods for emulating the matter power spectrum by combining information from cosmological $N$-body simulations at different resolutions. An emulator allows estimation of simulation output by interpolating across the parameter…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-17 Ming-Feng Ho , Simeon Bird , Christian R. Shelton

A major challenge in sample-based inference (SBI) for Bayesian neural networks is the size and structure of the networks' parameter space. Our work shows that successful SBI is possible by embracing the characteristic relationship between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Emanuel Sommer , Lisa Wimmer , Theodore Papamarkou , Ludwig Bothmann , Bernd Bischl , David Rügamer

Many scientific models are composed of multiple discrete components, and scientists often make heuristic decisions about which components to include. Bayesian inference provides a mathematical framework for systematically selecting model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Cornelius Schröder , Jakob H. Macke

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is an established approach for performing Bayesian inference on scientific simulators. SBI so far works best on low-dimensional parametric models. However, it is difficult to infer function-valued…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Guy Moss , Leah Sophie Muhle , Reinhard Drews , Jakob H. Macke , Cornelius Schröder

Hydrodynamic simulations provide a powerful, but computationally expensive, approach to study the interplay of dark matter and baryons in cosmological structure formation. Here we introduce the EMulating Baryonic EnRichment (EMBER) Deep…

The reliability of atomistic simulations depends on the quality of the underlying energy models providing the source of physical information, for instance for the calculation of migration barriers in atomistic Kinetic Monte Carlo…

Multi-fidelity machine learning methods address the accuracy-efficiency trade-off by integrating scarce, resource-intensive high-fidelity data with abundant but less accurate low-fidelity data. We propose a practical multi-fidelity strategy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Jiaxiang Yi , Ji Cheng , Miguel A. Bessa

Simulation-based inference provides a powerful framework for cryo-electron microscopy, employing neural networks in methods like CryoSBI to infer biomolecular conformations via learned latent representations. This latent space represents a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-05 Luke Evans , Octavian-Vlad Murad , Lars Dingeldein , Pilar Cossio , Roberto Covino , Marina Meila

Determining the atomic configuration of an interface is one of the most important issues in materials science research. Although theoretical simulations are effective tools, an exhaustive search is computationally prohibitive due to the…

Materials Science · Physics 2018-11-28 Tomohiro Yonezu , Tomoyuki Tamura , Ichiro Takeuchi , Masayuki Karasuyama

We present GalSBI, a phenomenological model of the galaxy population for cosmological applications using simulation-based inference. The model is based on analytical parametrizations of galaxy luminosity functions, morphologies and spectral…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-09 Silvan Fischbacher , Tomasz Kacprzak , Luca Tortorelli , Beatrice Moser , Alexandre Refregier , Patrick Gebhardt , Daniel Gruen

Neural posterior estimation methods based on discrete normalizing flows have become established tools for simulation-based inference (SBI), but scaling them to high-dimensional problems can be challenging. Building on recent advances in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Maximilian Dax , Jonas Wildberger , Simon Buchholz , Stephen R. Green , Jakob H. Macke , Bernhard Schölkopf
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