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Time series prediction, a crucial task across various domains, faces significant challenges due to the inherent complexities of time series data, including non-stationarity, multi-scale periodicity, and transient dynamics, particularly when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Qianru Zhang , Chenglei Yu , Haixin Wang , Yudong Yan , Yuansheng Cao , Siu-Ming Yiu , Tailin Wu , Hongzhi Yin

Accurate traffic prediction plays a vital role in intelligent transportation systems by enabling efficient routing, congestion mitigation, and proactive traffic control. However, forecasting is challenging due to the combined effects of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Mohamed Hamad , Mohamed Mabrok , Nizar Zorba

In multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF), existing strategies for processing sequences are typically categorized as channel-independent and channel-mixing. The former treats all temporal information of each variable as a token,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Bing Fan , Shusen Ma , Yun-Bo Zhao , Yu Kang

Time-series forecasting has seen significant advancements with the introduction of token prediction mechanisms such as multi-head attention. However, these methods often struggle to achieve the same performance as in language modeling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Panayiotis Christou , Shichu Chen , Xupeng Chen , Parijat Dube

Selecting the right set of hyperparameters is crucial in time series forecasting. The classical temporal cross-validation framework for hyperparameter optimization (HPO) often leads to poor test performance because of a possible mismatch…

A reliable long-term time-series forecaster is highly demanded in practice but comes across many challenges such as low computational and memory footprints as well as robustness against dynamic learning environments. This paper proposes…

State space models, such as Mamba, have recently garnered attention in time series forecasting due to their ability to capture sequence patterns. However, in electricity consumption benchmarks, Mamba forecasts exhibit a mean error of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-08 Pedro Pessoa , Paul Campitelli , Douglas P. Shepherd , S. Banu Ozkan , Steve Pressé

Training urban spatio-temporal foundation models that generalize well across diverse regions and cities is critical for deploying urban services in unseen or data-scarce regions. Recent studies have typically focused on fusing cross-domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Rui An , Yifeng Zhang , Ziran Liang , Wenqi Fan , Yuxuan Liang , Xuequn Shang , Qing Li

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in contemporary web technologies. In contrast to conventional methods that involve creating dedicated models for specific time series application domains, this research advocates for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Xu Liu , Junfeng Hu , Yuan Li , Shizhe Diao , Yuxuan Liang , Bryan Hooi , Roger Zimmermann

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Time series forecasting has recently achieved significant progress with multi-scale models to address the heterogeneity between long and short range patterns. Despite their state-of-the-art performance, we identify two potential areas for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Zihao Wu , Juncheng Dong , Haoming Yang , Vahid Tarokh

There has been a recent surge of interest in time series modeling using the Transformer architecture. However, forecasting multivariate time series with Transformer presents a unique challenge as it requires modeling both temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Yu-Hsiang Lan , Eric K. Oermann

Accurate long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) requires the capture of complex long-range dependencies and dynamic periodic patterns. Recent advances in frequency-domain analysis offer a global perspective for uncovering temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Xudong Jiang , Mingshan Loo , Hanchen Yang , Wengen Li , Mingrui Zhang , Yichao Zhang , Jihong Guan , Shuigeng Zhou

Visual tracking aims to automatically estimate the state of a target object in a video sequence, which is challenging especially in dynamic scenarios. Thus, numerous methods are proposed to introduce temporal cues to enhance tracking…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Yinchao Ma , Dengqing Yang , Zhangyu He , Wenfei Yang , Tianzhu Zhang

Time series forecasting aims to model temporal dependencies among variables for future state inference, holding significant importance and widespread applications in real-world scenarios. Although deep learning-based methods have achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Zesen Wang , Lijuan Lan , Yonggang Li

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Accurate precipitation nowcasting over extended horizons (0-3 hours) is essential for disaster mitigation and operational decision-making, yet remains a critical challenge in the field. Existing deterministic approaches are predominantly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Chunlei Shi , Cui Wu , Xiang Xu , Hao Li , Ni Fan , Xue Han , Yongchao Feng , Yufeng Zhu , Boyu Liu , Zengliang Zang , Hongbin Wang , Yanlan Yang , Dan Niu

The forecasting of irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) is crucial in key areas such as healthcare, biomechanics, climate science, and astronomy. However, achieving accurate and practical predictions is challenging due to two main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Xvyuan Liu , Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Zhengyu Li , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

Forecasting future outcomes from recent time series data is not easy, especially when the future data are different from the past (i.e. time series are under temporal drifts). Existing approaches show limited performances under data drifts,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Jaehoon Lee , Chan Kim , Gyumin Lee , Haksoo Lim , Jeongwhan Choi , Kookjin Lee , Dongeun Lee , Sanghyun Hong , Noseong Park