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Designing neural network architectures is a challenging task and knowing which specific layers of a model must be adapted to improve the performance is almost a mystery. In this paper, we introduce a novel theory and metric to identify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 David Peer , Sebastian Stabinger , Antonio Rodriguez-Sanchez

Model selection is a critical step in time series forecasting, traditionally requiring extensive performance evaluations across various datasets. Meta-learning approaches aim to automate this process, but they typically depend on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Wang Wei , Tiankai Yang , Hongjie Chen , Ryan A. Rossi , Yue Zhao , Franck Dernoncourt , Hoda Eldardiry

The prediction of residential power usage is essential in assisting a smart grid to manage and preserve energy to ensure efficient use. An accurate energy forecasting at the customer level will reflect directly into efficiency improvements…

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive performance in time series analysis and seems to understand the time temporal relationship well than traditional transformer-based approaches. However, since LLMs are not designed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Liangwei Nathan Zheng , Chang George Dong , Wei Emma Zhang , Lin Yue , Miao Xu , Olaf Maennel , Weitong Chen

Linear autoregressive models serve as basic representations of discrete time stochastic processes. Different attempts have been made to provide non-linear versions of the basic autoregressive process, including different versions based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-17 Edgar A. Valencia , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Accurately forecasting the weather is a key requirement for climate change mitigation. Data-driven methods offer the ability to make more accurate forecasts, but lack interpretability and can be expensive to train and deploy if models are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 Dominic J. Skinner , Romit Maulik

In this paper the problem of forecasting high dimensional time series is considered. Such time series can be modeled as matrices where each column denotes a measurement. In addition, when missing values are present, low rank matrix…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-27 San Gultekin , John Paisley

Precise load forecasting in buildings could increase the bill savings potential and facilitate optimized strategies for power generation planning. With the rapid evolution of computer science, data-driven techniques, in particular the Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Menna Nawar , Moustafa Shomer , Samy Faddel , Huangjie Gong

Time Series Forecasting is at the core of many practical applications such as sales forecasting for business, rainfall forecasting for agriculture and many others. Though this problem has been extensively studied for years, it is still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Anirban Chatterjee , Subhadip Paul , Uddipto Dutta , Smaranya Dey

Learning dynamical models from data plays a vital role in engineering design, optimization, and predictions. Building models describing dynamics of complex processes (e.g., weather dynamics, or reactive flows) using empirical knowledge or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-21 Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

Implementing insect monitoring systems provides an excellent opportunity to create accurate interventions for insect control. However, selecting the appropriate time for an intervention is still an open question due to the inherent…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-29 Gabriel R. Palma , Rodrigo F. Mello , Wesley A. C. Godoy , Eduardo Engel , Douglas Lau , Charles Markham , Rafael A. Moral

Recommender systems are a long-standing research problem in data mining and machine learning. They are incremental in nature, as new user-item interaction logs arrive. In real-world applications, we need to periodically train a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Seoyoung Hong , Minju Jo , Seungji Kook , Jaeeun Jung , Hyowon Wi , Noseong Park , Sung-Bae Cho

End-to-end data-driven machine learning methods often have exuberant requirements in terms of quality and quantity of training data which are often impractical to fulfill in real-world applications. This is specifically true in time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Muhammad Ali Chattha , Ludger van Elst , Muhammad Imran Malik , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

Seasonal forecasting is a crucial task when it comes to detecting the extreme heat and colds that occur due to climate change. Confidence in the predictions should be reliable since a small increase in the temperatures in a year has a big…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Busra Asan , Abdullah Akgül , Alper Unal , Melih Kandemir , Gozde Unal

Network embedding methods aim at learning low-dimensional latent representation of nodes in a network. While achieving competitive performance on a variety of network inference tasks such as node classification and link prediction, these…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Haochen Chen , Xiaofei Sun , Yingtao Tian , Bryan Perozzi , Muhao Chen , Steven Skiena

Word embeddings are trained to predict word cooccurrence statistics, which leads them to possess different lexical properties (syntactic, semantic, etc.) depending on the notion of context defined at training time. These properties manifest…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Jingyi He , KC Tsiolis , Kian Kenyon-Dean , Jackie Chi Kit Cheung

Time-series forecasting plays a critical role in many real-world applications. Although increasingly powerful models have been developed and achieved superior results on benchmark datasets, through a fine-grained sample-level inspection, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Zhining Liu , Ze Yang , Xiao Lin , Ruizhong Qiu , Tianxin Wei , Yada Zhu , Hendrik Hamann , Jingrui He , Hanghang Tong

The use of pretrained embeddings has become widespread in modern e-commerce machine learning (ML) systems. In practice, however, we have encountered several key issues when using pretrained embedding in a real-world production system, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Da Xu , Bo Yang

Forecasting can estimate the statement of events according to the historical data and it is considerably important in many disciplines. At present, time series models have been utilized to solve forecasting problems in various domains. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-03-10 S. Chen , X. Lan , Y. Hu , Q. Liu , Y. Deng

Incorporating spatial information, particularly those influenced by climate, weather, and demographic factors, is crucial for improving underwriting precision and enhancing risk management in insurance. However, spatial data are often…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Freek Holvoet , Christopher Blier-Wong , Katrien Antonio
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