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In the gravitational-wave analysis of pulsar-timing-array datasets, parameter estimation is usually performed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to explore posterior probability densities. We introduce an alternative procedure that…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-05-16 Michele Vallisneri , Marco Crisostomi , Aaron D. Johnson , Patrick M. Meyers

Gaussian Process Networks (GPNs) are a class of directed graphical models which employ Gaussian processes as priors for the conditional expectation of each variable given its parents in the network. The model allows the description of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Enrico Giudice , Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

In this study, we introduce a novel analytical Gaussian Process (GP) cosmography methodology, leveraging the differentiable properties of GPs to derive key cosmological quantities analytically. Our approach combines cosmic chronometer (CC)…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-19 Bikash R. Dinda

Atmospheric retrievals are essential tools for interpreting exoplanet transmission and eclipse spectra, enabling quantitative constraints on the chemical composition, aerosol properties, and thermal structure of planetary atmospheres. The…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-19 Yoav Rotman , Luis Welbanks , Michael R. Line , Peter McGill , Michael Radica , Matthew C. Nixon

New photometric space missions to detect and characterise transiting exoplanets are focusing on bright stars to obtain high cadence, high signal-to-noise light curves. Since these missions will be sensitive to stellar oscillations and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-12 S. C. C. Barros , O. Demangeon , R. F. Díaz , J. Cabrera , N. C. Santos , J. P. Faria , F. Pereira

Gaussian processes (GPs) produce good probabilistic models of functions, but most GP kernels require $O((n+m)n^2)$ time, where $n$ is the number of data points and $m$ the number of predictive locations. We present a new kernel that allows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Michael K. Cohen , Samuel Daulton , Michael A. Osborne

For many survey-based spatial modelling problems, responses are observed as spatially aggregated over survey regions due to limited resources. Covariates, from weather models and satellite imageries, can be observed at many different…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-04 Harrison Zhu , Adam Howes , Owen van Eer , Maxime Rischard , Yingzhen Li , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling complex signals, but scale cubically with data, assume static targets, and are brittle to outliers, limiting their applicability in large-scale problems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Fernando Llorente , Daniel Waxman , Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Susan E. Minkoff

In this paper, we propose a novel learning scheme called epoch-evolving Gaussian Process Guided Learning (GPGL), which aims at characterizing the correlation information between the batch-level distribution and the global data distribution.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Jiabao Cui , Xuewei Li , Bin Li , Hanbin Zhao , Bourahla Omar , Xi Li

Modern cosmological surveys such as the Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) survey produce a huge volume of low-resolution images of both distant galaxies and dim stars in our own galaxy. Being able to automatically classify these images is a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-14 Imène R. Goumiri , Amanda L. Muyskens , Michael D. Schneider , Benjamin W. Priest , Robert E. Armstrong

The ability of Gaussian processes (GPs) to predict the behavior of dynamical systems as a more sample-efficient alternative to parametric models seems promising for real-world robotics research. However, the computational complexity of GPs…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Abdolreza Taheri , Joni Pajarinen , Reza Ghabcheloo

The use of Gaussian processes (GPs) is a common approach to account for correlated noise in exoplanet time series, particularly for transmission and emission spectroscopy. This analysis has typically been performed for each wavelength…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-05 Mark Fortune , Neale P. Gibson , Daniel Foreman-Mackey , Thomas M. Evans-Soma , Cathal Maguire , Swaetha Ramkumar

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are highly expressive, probabilistic models. A major limitation is their computational complexity. Naively, exact GP inference requires $\mathcal{O}(N^3)$ computations with $N$ denoting the number of modeled points.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Gordian Edenhofer , Reimar H. Leike , Philipp Frank , Torsten A. Enßlin

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a powerful nonparametric Bayesian framework, but its performance depends critically on the choice of covariance kernel. Selecting an appropriate kernel is therefore central to model quality, yet remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Md Shafiqul Islam , Shakti Prasad Padhy , Douglas Allaire , Raymundo Arróyave

Understanding the properties of transient gravitational waves and their sources is of broad interest in physics and astronomy. Bayesian inference is the standard framework for astro-physical measurement in transient gravitational-wave…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-10-07 Rory Smith , Gregory Ashton , Avi Vajpeyi , Colm Talbot

Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-23 Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots

Gaussian processes (GPs) are crucial in machine learning for quantifying uncertainty in predictions. However, their associated covariance matrices, defined by kernel functions, are typically dense and large-scale, posing significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Theresa Wagner , Tianshi Xu , Franziska Nestler , Yuanzhe Xi , Martin Stoll

With the development of new remote sensing technology, large or even massive spatial datasets covering the globe become available. Statistical analysis of such data is challenging. This article proposes a semiparametric approach to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-24 Pulong Ma , Emily L. Kang

To date, the radial velocity (RV) method has been one of the most productive techniques for detecting and confirming extrasolar planetary candidates. Unfortunately, stellar activity can induce RV variations which can drown out or even mimic…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-08-06 Vinesh Rajpaul , Suzanne Aigrain , Michael A. Osborne , Steven Reece , Stephen J. Roberts

Variability in the light curves of spotted, rotating stars is often non-sinusoidal and quasi-periodic --- spots move on the stellar surface and have finite lifetimes, causing stellar flux variations to slowly shift in phase. A strictly…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-27 Ruth Angus , Timothy Morton , Suzanne Aigrain , Daniel Foreman-Mackey , Vinesh Rajpaul
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