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We present a novel and efficient method for fitting dynamical models of stellar kinematic data in dwarf spheroidal galaxies (dSph). Our approach is based on Gaussian-process emulation (GPE), which is a sophisticated form of curve fitting…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2019-04-10 Amery Gration , Mark I. Wilkinson

In many areas of the observational and experimental sciences data is scarce. Data observation in high-energy astrophysics is disrupted by celestial occlusions and limited telescope time while data derived from laboratory experiments in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-28 Ryan-Rhys Griffiths

Gaussian processes (GPs) furnish accurate nonlinear predictions with well-calibrated uncertainty. However, the typical GP setup has a built-in stationarity assumption, making it ill-suited for modeling data from processes with sudden…

Gaussian process (GP) regression with 1D inputs can often be performed in linear time via a stochastic differential equation formulation. However, for non-Gaussian likelihoods, this requires application of approximate inference methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Paul E. Chang , William J. Wilkinson , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Arno Solin

Existing methods for structure discovery in time series data construct interpretable, compositional kernels for Gaussian process regression models. While the learned Gaussian process model provides posterior mean and variance estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 David Janz , Brooks Paige , Tom Rainforth , Jan-Willem van de Meent , Frank Wood

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are flexible, nonparametric Bayesian models widely used for regression and classification because of their ability to capture complex data patterns and quantify predictive uncertainty. However, the O(n^3)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Hua Huang , Tianshi Xu , Yuanzhe Xi , Edmond Chow

Gaussian Processes (GPs), as a nonparametric learning method, offer flexible modeling capabilities and calibrated uncertainty quantification for function approximations. Additionally, GPs support online learning by efficiently incorporating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Zewen Yang , Dongfa Zhang , Xiaobing Dai , Fengyi Yu , Chi Zhang , Bingkun Huang , Hamid Sadeghian , Sami Haddadin

We introduce a novel image decomposition package, GALPHAT, that provides robust estimates of galaxy surface brightness profiles using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo. The GALPHAT-determined posterior distribution of parameters enables us…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2009-02-06 Ilsang Yoon , Martin Weinberg , Neal Katz

The radial velocity method is one of the most successful techniques for the discovery and characterization of exoplanets. Modern spectrographs promise measurement precision of ~0.2-0.5 m/s for an ideal target star. However, the intrinsic…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-01-19 Christian Gilbertson , Eric B. Ford , David E. Jones , David C. Stenning

In this paper, we revisit batch state estimation through the lens of Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider continuous-discrete estimation problems wherein a trajectory is viewed as a one-dimensional GP, with time as the independent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Sean Anderson , Timothy D. Barfoot , Chi Hay Tong , Simo Särkkä

In this work, a Gaussian process regression(GPR) model incorporated with given physical information in partial differential equations(PDEs) is developed: physics-assisted Gaussian processes(PAGP). The targets of this model can be divided…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-07 Jiahao Zhang , Shiqi Zhang , Guang Lin

Gaussian processes (GPs) are highly flexible function estimators used for geospatial analysis, nonparametric regression, and machine learning, but they are computationally infeasible for large datasets. Vecchia approximations of GPs have…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Joseph Guinness , Wenlong Gong , Daniel Zilber

Stellar photospheric activity is known to limit the detection and characterisation of extra-solar planets. In particular, the study of Earth-like planets around Sun-like stars requires data analysis methods that can accurately model the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-06 J. D. Camacho , J. P. Faria , P. T. P. Viana

Despite a large corpus of recent work on scaling up Gaussian processes, a stubborn trade-off between computational speed, prediction and uncertainty quantification accuracy, and customizability persists. This is because the vast majority of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Marcus M. Noack , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Vardaan Tekriwal , Ronald J. Pandolfi

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely recognized as powerful non-parametric models for regression and classification. Traditional GP frameworks predominantly operate under the assumption that the inputs are either accurately known or subject…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Zachary I. Bell , Wanjiku A. Makumi , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Interferometric gravitational-wave observatories have opened a new era in astronomy. The rich data produced by an international network enables detailed analysis of the curved space-time around black holes. With nearly one hundred signals…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-03-07 Gregory Ashton

We introduce new Gaussian Process (GP) high-order approximations to linear operations that are frequently used in various numerical methods. Our method employs the kernel-based GP regression modeling, a non-parametric Bayesian approach to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-09 Christopher DeGrendele , Dongwook Lee

This paper introduces a new sparse spatio-temporal structured Gaussian process regression framework for online and offline Bayesian inference. This is the first framework that gives a time-evolving representation of the interdependencies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Scalable Gaussian process (GP) inference is essential for sequential decision-making tasks, yet improving GP scalability remains a challenging problem with many open avenues of research. This paper focuses on iterative GPs, where iterative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Alan Yufei Dong , Jihao Andreas Lin , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

In decision-making systems, it is important to have classifiers that have calibrated uncertainties, with an optimisation objective that can be used for automated model selection and training. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-05 Vincent Dutordoir , Mark van der Wilk , Artem Artemev , James Hensman