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Extreme events and the heavy tail distributions driven by them are ubiquitous in various scientific, engineering and financial research. They are typically associated with stochastic instability caused by hidden unresolved processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

In recent years, there has been a growing interest in information measures that quantify inaccuracy and uncertainty in systems. In this paper, we introduce a novel concept called the Weighted Fractional Cumulative Residual Inaccuracy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Aman Pandey , Chanchal Kundu

Multivariate probability density functions of returns are constructed in order to model the empirical behavior of returns in a financial time series. They describe the well-established deviations from the Gaussian random walk, such as an…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-08-23 E. Alessio , V. Frappietro , M. I. Krivoruchenko , L. J. Streckert

We present a novel framework for variable selection in Fr\'echet regression with responses in general metric spaces, a setting increasingly relevant for analyzing non-Euclidean data such as probability distributions and covariance matrices.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Haoyi Yang , Satarupa Bhattacharjee , Lingzhou Xue , Bing Li

In this paper, we introduce weighted fractional generalized cumulative past entropy of a nonnegative absolutely continuous random variable with bounded support. Various properties of the proposed weighted fractional measure are studied.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Suchandan Kayal , N. Balakrishnan

Efforts to develop more efficient multiple hypothesis testing procedures for false discovery rate (FDR) control have focused on incorporating an estimate of the proportion of true null hypotheses (such procedures are called adaptive) or…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-13 Joshua D. Habiger

This work proposes an efficient numerical approach for compressing a high-dimensional discrete distribution function into a non-negative tensor train (NTT) format. The two settings we consider are variational inference and density…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Xun Tang , Rajat Dwaraknath , Lexing Ying

This paper is concerned with a special class of deep neural networks (DNNs) where the input and the output vectors have the same dimension. Such DNNs are widely used in applications, e.g., autoencoders. The training of such networks can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 L. Berlyand , O. Krupchytskyi , V. Slavin

Survival analysis holds a crucial role across diverse disciplines, such as economics, engineering and healthcare. It empowers researchers to analyze both time-invariant and time-varying data, encompassing phenomena like customer churn,…

Reduced rank regression (RRR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multiple responses through low-dimensional latent structures, offering both interpretability and strong predictive performance in high-dimensional settings. Classical RRR…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 The Tien Mai

Statistics in ranked lists is important in analyzing molecular biology measurement data, such as ChIP-seq, which yields ranked lists of genomic sequences. State of the art methods study fixed motifs in ranked lists. More flexible models…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-31 Limor Leibovich , Zohar Yakhini

We provide a new extension of Breiman's Theorem on computing tail probabilities of a product of random variables to a multivariate setting. In particular, we give a complete characterization of regular variation on cones in $[0,\infty)^d$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Claudia Klüppelberg

This paper considers the specification of covariance structures with tail estimates. We focus on two aspects: (i) the estimation of the VaR-CoVaR risk matrix in the case of larger number of time series observations than assets in a…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-25 Christis Katsouris

In Gatheral et al. 2018, first posted in 2014, volatility is characterized by fractional behavior with a Hurst exponent $H < 0.5$, challenging traditional views of volatility dynamics. Gatheral et al. demonstrated this using realized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-06 Saad Mouti

We present results of the numerical simulations and the scaling characteristics of one-dimensional random fluctuations with heavy tailed probability distribution functions. Assuming that the distribution function of the random fluctuations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-16 Mohsen Ghasemi Nezhadhaghighi

Value-at-Risk (VaR) estimation at high confidence levels is inherently a rare-event problem and is particularly sensitive to tail behavior and model misspecification. This paper studies the performance of two simulation-based VaR estimation…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Aditri

We introduce a novel class of non-stationary covariance functions for random fields on linear networks that allows both the variance and the correlation range of the random field to vary spatially. The proposed covariance functions are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Alfredo Alegría

We consider the probability that a weighted sum of $n$ i.i.d. random variables $X_j$, $j = 1, . . ., n$, with stretched exponential tails is larger than its expectation and determine the rate of its decay, under suitable conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Nina Gantert , Kavita Ramanan , Franz Rembart

The probability density function (PDF) of a random variable associated with the solution of a partial differential equation (PDE) with random parameters is approximated using a truncated series expansion. The random PDE is solved using two…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Giacomo Capodaglio , Max Gunzburger , Henry P. Wynn

In regression problems where covariates are naturally organized in a hierarchical tree structure, a central challenge is to select the resolution at which covariates enter the model. Determining this level of feature aggregation is of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Sithija Manage , Y. Samuel Wang , Martin T. Wells
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