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Self-exciting point processes are widely used to model the contagious effects of crime events living within continuous geographic space, using their occurrence time and locations. However, in urban environments, most events are naturally…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-01 Zheng Dong , Jorge Mateu , Yao Xie

Cascading chains of events are a salient feature of many real-world social, biological, and financial networks. In social networks, social reciprocity accounts for retaliations in gang interactions, proxy wars in nation-state conflicts, or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-05 Eric C. Hall , Rebecca M. Willett

In the last years, social media has gained an unprecedented amount of attention, playing a pivotal role in shaping the contemporary landscape of communication and connection. However, Coordinated Inhautentic Behaviour (CIB), defined as…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Niccolò Di Marco , Sara Brunetti , Matteo Cinelli , Walter Quattrociocchi

Influence Maximization (IM) is the task of determining k optimal influential nodes in a social network to maximize the influence spread using a propagation model. IM is a prominent problem for viral marketing, and helps significantly in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Inder Khatri , Arjun Choudhry , Aryaman Rao , Aryan Tyagi , Dinesh Kumar Vishwakarma , Mukesh Prasad

Events in an online social network can be categorized roughly into endogenous events, where users just respond to the actions of their neighbors within the network, or exogenous events, where users take actions due to drives external to the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-08-20 Mehrdad Farajtabar , Nan Du , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez , Isabel Valera , Hongyuan Zha , Le Song

We investigate spatio-temporal event analysis using point processes. Inferring the dynamics of event sequences spatiotemporally has many practical applications including crime prediction, social media analysis, and traffic forecasting. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Many societal challenges, such as climate change or disease outbreaks, require coordinated behavioral changes. For many behaviors, the tendency of individuals to adhere to social norms can reinforce the status quo. However, these same…

Rumor propagation in social networks undermines social stability and public trust, calling for interventions that are both effective and resource-efficient. We develop a node-level, time-varying optimal intervention framework that allocates…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Yan Zhu , Qingyang Liu , Chang Guo , Tianlong Fan , Linyuan Lü

We consider two optimization problems in which a planner aims to influence the average transient opinion in the Friedkin-Johnsen dynamics on a network by intervening on the agents' innate opinions. Solving these problems requires full…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-04 Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Asuman Ozdaglar , Francesca Parise

We consider the algorithmic problem of selecting a set of target nodes that cause the biggest activation cascade in a network. In case when the activation process obeys the diminishing returns property, a simple hill-climbing selection…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-05-08 Aram Galstyan , Vahe Musoyan , Paul Cohen

Analysis of gun violence in the United States has utilized various models based on spatiotemporal point processes. Previous studies have identified a contagion effect in gun violence, characterized by bursts of diffusion across urban…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-20 Zheng Dong , Yao Xie

Social networks have well documented effects at the individual and aggregate level. Consequently it is often useful to understand how an attempt to influence a network will change its structure and consequently achieve other goals. We…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-02-24 Jonathan Mellon , Jordan Yoder , Daniel Evans

Complex adaptive networks exhibit remarkable resilience, driven by the dynamic interplay of structure (interactions) and function (state). While static-network analyses offer valuable insights, understanding how structure and function…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-27 Casper van Elteren , Vítor V. Vasconcelos , Mike H. Lees

This paper develops a mathematical framework to study signal networks, in which nodes can be active or inactive, and their activation or deactivation is driven by external signals and the states of the nodes to which they are connected via…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Bernd Heidergott , Frank den Hollander , Ines Lindner , Azadeh Parvaneh

We study the problem of designing dynamic intervention policies for minimizing networked defaults in financial networks. Formally, we consider a dynamic version of the celebrated Eisenberg-Noe model of financial network liabilities and use…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Marios Papachristou , Siddhartha Banerjee , Jon Kleinberg

We consider optimal intervention in the Elliott-Golub-Jackson network model \cite{jackson14} and we show that it can be transformed into an influence maximization-like form, interpreted as the reverse of a default cascade. Our analysis of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Ariah Klages-Mundt , Andreea Minca

Hawkes process provides an effective statistical framework for analyzing the time-dependent interaction of neuronal spiking activities. Although utilized in many real applications, the classic Hawkes process is incapable of modelling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-23 Feng Zhou , Yixuan Zhang , Jun Zhu

Interventions are made in networks to change the network or its values in a desired way. The intervention strategies evaluated in the study described here use network sampling designs to find units to which interventions are applied. An…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-23 Steven K. Thompson

Recent advances in spatial and temporal networks have enabled researchers to more-accurately describe many real-world systems such as urban transport networks. In this paper, we study the response of real-world spatio-temporal networks to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-05 Matthew J. Williams , Mirco Musolesi

Most studies on influence maximization focus on one-shot propagation, i.e. the influence is propagated from seed users only once following a probabilistic diffusion model and users' activation are determined via single cascade. In reality…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Xiaohan Shan , Wei Chen , Qiang Li , Xiaoming Sun , Jialin Zhang
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