English
Related papers

Related papers: Advanced Long-term Earth System Forecasting

200 papers

Accurate and timely estimation of precipitation is critical for issuing hazard warnings (e.g., for flash floods or landslides). Current remotely sensed precipitation products have a few hours of latency, associated with the acquisition and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Mohammad Reza Ehsani , Ariyan Zarei , Hoshin V. Gupta , Kobus Barnard , Ali Behrangi

Soil moisture is critical component of crop health and monitoring it can enable further actions for increasing yield or preventing catastrophic die off. As climate change increases the likelihood of extreme weather events and reduces the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-28 Conrad James Foley , Sagar Vaze , Mohamed El Amine Seddiq , Alexey Unagaev , Natalia Efremova

Recent applications of unmanned aerial systems (UAS) to precision agriculture have shown increased ease and efficiency in data collection at precise remote locations. However, further enhancement of the field requires operation over long…

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

Time series forecasting underpins applications in finance, healthcare, and environmental monitoring. Despite the success of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs), existing approaches operate in a unimodal setting and rely on static prompts…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Sehyuk Park , Soyeon Caren Han , Eduard Hovy

Long-term, high-fidelity simulation of slow-changing physical systems, such as the ocean and climate, presents a fundamental challenge in scientific computing. Traditional autoregressive machine learning models often fail in these tasks as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Fan Xu , Yanfei Xiang , Ruijian Gou , Ruiqi Shu , Qingsong Wen , Xian Wu , Kun Wang , Xiaomeng Huang

In long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) tasks, an increasing number of models have acknowledged that discrete time series originate from continuous dynamic systems and have attempted to model their dynamical structures. Recognizing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Jiaxi Hu , Yuehong Hu , Wei Chen , Ming Jin , Shirui Pan , Qingsong Wen , Yuxuan Liang

The rapid accumulation of Earth observation data presents a formidable challenge for the processing capabilities of traditional remote sensing desktop software, particularly when it comes to analyzing expansive geographical areas and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Hao Xu , Yuanbin Man , Mingyang Yang , Jichao Wu , Qi Zhang , Jing Wang

Earth system forecasting has traditionally relied on complex physical models that are computationally expensive and require significant domain expertise. In the past decade, the unprecedented increase in spatiotemporal Earth observation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Zhihan Gao , Xingjian Shi , Boran Han , Hao Wang , Xiaoyong Jin , Danielle Maddix , Yi Zhu , Mu Li , Yuyang Wang

Time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in critical sectors such as finance, energy, transportation, and meteorology. However, Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) remains a significant challenge because real-world signals contain…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Xiang Ao

Deep Learning models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in medium-range weather prediction but often fail to maintain physically consistent rollouts beyond 14 days. In contrast, a few atmospheric models demonstrate stability over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Florian Gallusser , Simon Hentschel , Anna Krause , Andreas Hotho

Real time large scale streaming data pose major challenges to forecasting, in particular defying the presence of human experts to perform the corresponding analysis. We present here a class of models and methods used to develop an…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-14 Roi Naveiro , Simón Rodríguez , David Ríos Insua

Most decision-focused learning work has focused on single stage problems whereas many real-world decision problems are more appropriately modelled using multistage optimisation. In multistage problems contextual information is revealed over…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Egon Peršak , Miguel F. Anjos

Advancing the capabilities of earthquake nowcasting, the real-time forecasting of seismic activities remains a crucial and enduring objective aimed at reducing casualties. This multifaceted challenge has recently gained attention within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Alireza Jafari , Geoffrey Fox , John B. Rundle , Andrea Donnellan , Lisa Grant Ludwig

Precipitation nowcasting remains challenging due to the highly localized, rapidly evolving, and heterogeneous nature of atmospheric dynamics. Although recent methods increasingly adopt attention-based architectures in both unimodal and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Penghui Wen , Zexin Hu , Sen Zhang , Patrick Filippi , Xiaogang Zhu , Allen Benter , Thomas Bishop , Zhiyong Wang , Kun Hu

Mesoscale eddies dominate the spatiotemporal multiscale variability of the ocean, and their impact on the energy cascade of the global ocean cannot be ignored. Eddy-resolving ocean forecasting is providing more reliable protection for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-16 Qingyu Zheng , Qi Shao , Guijun Han , Wei Li , Hong Li , Xuan Wang

Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones (TCs) poses a great challenge due to their highly nonlinear dynamics and inherent uncertainties. Conventional statistical dynamics and artificial intelligence prediction models typically rely…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-10 Xuepeng Chen , Jing-Jia Luo , Qingqing Li , Fan Meng

Coupling constitutes a foundational mechanism in the Earth system, regulating the interconnected physical, chemical, and biological processes that link its spheres. This review examines how emerging artificial intelligence (AI) methods…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-07 Maria Kaselimi , Anna Belehaki

As artificial intelligence (AI) continues to rapidly evolve, the realm of Earth and atmospheric sciences is increasingly adopting data-driven models, powered by progressive developments in deep learning (DL). Specifically, DL techniques are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Dikai Liu , Chengqi Zhang

AI-based climate and weather models have rapidly gained popularity, providing faster forecasts with skill that can match or even surpass that of traditional dynamical models. Despite this success, these models face a key challenge:…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-20 Jacob B. Landsberg , Elizabeth A. Barnes