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A model-based approach to forecasting chaotic dynamical systems utilizes knowledge of the physical processes governing the dynamics to build an approximate mathematical model of the system. In contrast, machine learning techniques have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Jaideep Pathak , Alexander Wikner , Rebeckah Fussell , Sarthak Chandra , Brian Hunt , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott

PPMLR-MHD is a new magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model used to simulate the interactions of the solar wind with the magnetosphere, which has been proved to be the key element of the space weather cause-and-effect chain process from the Sun to…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-07-11 Xiangyu Guo , Binbin Tang , Jian Tao , Zhaohui Huang , Zhihui Du

Machine learning (ML)-based models have demonstrated high skill and computational efficiency, often outperforming conventional physics-based models in weather and subseasonal predictions. While prior studies have assessed their fidelity in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-13 Ziming Chen , L. Ruby Leung , Wenyu Zhou , Jian Lu , Sandro W. Lubis , Ye Liu , Chuan-Chieh Chang , Bryce E. Harrop , Ya Wang , Mingshi Yang , Gan Zhang , Yun Qian

Current climate models often struggle with accuracy because they lack sufficient resolution, a limitation caused by computational constraints. This reduces the precision of weather forecasts and long-term climate predictions. To address…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-03 Adib Bazgir , Yuwen Zhang

Marine biogeochemistry models are critical for forecasting, as well as estimating ecosystem responses to climate change and human activities. Data assimilation (DA) improves these models by aligning them with real-world observations, but…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-08 Ieuan Higgs , Ross Bannister , Jozef Skákala , Alberto Carrassi , Stefano Ciavatta

A machine learning (ML) method is generalizable if it can make predictions on inputs which differ from the training dataset. For predictions of wave-induced ship responses, generalizability is an important consideration if ML methods are to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-15 Kyle E. Marlantes , Piotr J. Bandyk , Kevin J. Maki

Persistent systematic errors in Earth system models (ESMs) arise from difficulties in representing the full diversity of subgrid, multiscale atmospheric convection and turbulence. Machine learning (ML) parameterizations trained on short…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-18 Helge Heuer , Tom Beucler , Mierk Schwabe , Julien Savre , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

Hybrid modeling combining data-driven techniques and numerical methods is an emerging and promising research direction for efficient climate simulation. However, previous works lack practical platforms, making developing hybrid modeling a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-20 Xin Wang , Wei Xue , Yilun Han , Guangwen Yang

To understand and predict the performance of scientific applications, several analytical and machine learning approaches have been proposed, each having its advantages and disadvantages. In this paper, we propose and validate a hybrid…

Performance · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Huda Ibeid , Siping Meng , Oliver Dobon , Luke Olson , William Gropp

Ensembles of climate models are commonly used to improve climate predictions and assess the uncertainties associated with them. Weighting the models according to their performances holds the promise of further improving their predictions.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-05-25 Ehud Strobach , Golan Bel

As in many other areas of engineering and applied science, Machine Learning (ML) is having a profound impact in the domain of Weather and Climate Prediction. A very recent development in this area has been the emergence of fully data-driven…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-06 Massimo Bonavita

This article explores a novel approach to time series forecasting applied to the context of Chennai's climate data. Our methodology comprises two distinct established time series models, leveraging their strengths in handling seasonality…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-11 Tanmay Kayal , Abhishek Das , U Saranya

Machine learning weather models trained on observed atmospheric conditions can outperform conventional physics-based models at short- to medium-range (1-14 day) forecast timescales. Here we take the machine learning weather model ACE2,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-01 Chris Kent , Adam A. Scaife , Nick J. Dunstone , Doug Smith , Steven C. Hardiman , Tom Dunstan , Oliver Watt-Meyer

Thermal analysis provides deeper insights into electronic chips behavior under different temperature scenarios and enables faster design exploration. However, obtaining detailed and accurate thermal profile on chip is very time-consuming…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Rishikesh Ranade , Haiyang He , Jay Pathak , Norman Chang , Akhilesh Kumar , Jimin Wen

Precise and reliable climate projections are required for climate adaptation and mitigation, but Earth system models still exhibit great uncertainties. Several approaches have been developed to reduce the spread of climate projections and…

Machine learning (ML) methods are becoming popular tools for the prediction and design of novel materials. In particular, neural network (NN) is a promising ML method, which can be used to identify hidden trends in the data. However, these…

Machine learning (ML) is often viewed as a black-box regression technique that is unable to provide considerable scientific insight. ML models are universal function approximators and - if used correctly - can provide scientific information…

The forecast accuracy of machine learning (ML) weather prediction models is improving rapidly, leading many to speak of a "second revolution in weather forecasting". With numerous methods being developed and limited physical guarantees…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-24 Olivier C. Pasche , Jonathan Wider , Zhongwei Zhang , Jakob Zscheischler , Sebastian Engelke

Sea surface height observations provided by satellite altimetry since 1993 show a rising rate (3.4 mm/year) for global mean sea level. While on average, sea level has risen 10 cm over the last 30 years, there is considerable regional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Saumya Sinha , John Fasullo , R. Steven Nerem , Claire Monteleoni

The idea of using machine learning (ML) methods to reconstruct the dynamics of a system is the topic of recent studies in the geosciences, in which the key output is a surrogate model meant to emulate the dynamical model. In order to treat…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-22 Alban Farchi , Patrick Laloyaux , Massimo Bonavita , Marc Bocquet
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