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When people pursue rewards in stochastic environments, they often match their choice frequencies to the observed target frequencies, even when this policy is demonstrably sub-optimal. We used a ``hide and seek'' task to evaluate this…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-11 Peter DiBerardino , Britt Anderson

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating uniformly well the mean values of several distributions given a finite budget of samples. If the variance of the distributions were known, one could design an optimal sampling strategy by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-17 Alexandra Carpentier , Alessandro Lazaric , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Rémi Munos , Peter Auer , András Antos

When the distributions of the training and test data do not coincide, the problem of understanding generalization becomes considerably more complex, prompting a variety of questions. Prior work has shown that, for some fixed learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Jordi Pérez-Guijarro

This paper studies how insurers can chose which claims to investigate for fraud. Given a prediction model, typically only claims with the highest predicted propability of being fraudulent are investigated. We argue that this can lead to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-24 Christos Revelas , Otilia Boldea , Bas J. M. Werker

A rich line of recent work has studied distributionally robust learning approaches that seek to learn a hypothesis that performs well, in the worst-case, on many different distributions over a population. We argue that although the most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Jabari Hastings , Christopher Jung , Charlotte Peale , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Historically, much of machine learning research has focused on the performance of the algorithm alone, but recently more attention has been focused on optimizing joint human-algorithm performance. Here, we analyze a specific type of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Kate Donahue , Sreenivas Gollapudi , Kostas Kollias

The greedy strategy is an approximation algorithm to solve optimization problems arising in decision making with multiple actions. How good is the greedy strategy compared to the optimal solution? In this survey, we mainly consider two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-10 Yajing Liu , Edwin K. P. Chong , Ali Pezeshki , Zhenliang Zhang

People tend to behave inconsistently over time due to an inherent present bias. As this may impair performance, social and economic settings need to be adapted accordingly. Common tools to reduce the impact of time-inconsistent behavior are…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-02-07 Susanne Albers , Dennis Kraft

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

In the last years we have witnessed the appearance of a variety of strategies to design optimal location privacy-preserving mechanisms, in terms of maximizing the adversary's expected error with respect to the users' whereabouts. In this…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-08-25 Simon Oya , Carmela Troncoso , Fernando Pérez-González

We study buyer-optimal procurement mechanisms when quality is contractible. When some costs are borne by every participant of a procurement auction regardless of winning, the classic analysis should be amended. We show that an optimal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-20 Pasha Andreyanov , Ilia Krasikov , Alex Suzdaltsev

Across science and policy, decision-makers often need to draw conclusions about the best candidate among competing alternatives. For instance, researchers may seek to infer the effectiveness of the most successful treatment or determine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-28 Tijana Zrnic , William Fithian

Selective labels are a common feature of consequential decision-making applications, referring to the lack of observed outcomes under one of the possible decisions. This paper reports work in progress on learning decision policies in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Dennis Wei

Some researchers speculate that intelligent reinforcement learning (RL) agents would be incentivized to seek resources and power in pursuit of their objectives. Other researchers point out that RL agents need not have human-like…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Alexander Matt Turner , Logan Smith , Rohin Shah , Andrew Critch , Prasad Tadepalli

F-measures are popular performance metrics, particularly for tasks with imbalanced data sets. Algorithms for learning to maximize F-measures follow two approaches: the empirical utility maximization (EUM) approach learns a classifier having…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Ye Nan , Kian Ming Chai , Wee Sun Lee , Hai Leong Chieu

This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum regret to evaluate the performance of treatment rules. The specific new contribution is to study as-if optimization…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-05 Charles F. Manski

Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao

Entropy regularized algorithms such as Soft Q-learning and Soft Actor-Critic, recently showed state-of-the-art performance on a number of challenging reinforcement learning (RL) tasks. The regularized formulation modifies the standard RL…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-15 Elena Smirnova , Elvis Dohmatob

Existing approaches to algorithmic fairness aim to ensure equitable outcomes if human decision-makers comply perfectly with algorithmic decisions. However, perfect compliance with the algorithm is rarely a reality or even a desirable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Haosen Ge , Hamsa Bastani , Osbert Bastani

Applications of machine learning inform human decision makers in a broad range of tasks. The resulting problem is usually formulated in terms of a single decision maker. We argue that it should rather be described as a two-player learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Sebastian Bordt , Ulrike von Luxburg
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