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Data in modern economic and financial applications often arrive as a stream, requiring models and inference to be updated in real time -- yet most semiparametric methods remain batch-based and computationally impractical in large-scale…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Xiaohong Chen , Elie Tamer , Qingsong Yao

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani

Local Fourier analysis is a useful tool for predicting and analyzing the performance of many efficient algorithms for the solution of discretized PDEs, such as multigrid and domain decomposition methods. The crucial aspect of local Fourier…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-29 Jed Brown , Yunhui He , Scott MacLachlan , Matt Menickelly , Stefan M. Wild

Consider each node of a graph to be generating a data stream that is synchronized and observed at near real-time. At a change-point $\tau$, a change occurs at a subset of nodes $C$, which affects the probability distribution of their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-13 Alejandro de la Concha , Argyris Kalogeratos , Nicolas Vayatis

Random Fourier Features (RFF) demonstrate wellappreciated performance in kernel approximation for largescale situations but restrict kernels to be stationary and positive definite. And for non-stationary kernels, the corresponding RFF could…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-15 Qin Luo , Kun Fang , Jie Yang , Xiaolin Huang

We consider nonparametric sequential hypothesis testing problem when the distribution under the null hypothesis is fully known but the alternate hypothesis corresponds to some other unknown distribution with some loose constraints. We…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-11-15 Shouvik Ganguly , K Sahasranand , Vinod Sharma

One of the main strengths of online algorithms is their ability to adapt to arbitrary data sequences. This is especially important in nonparametric settings, where performance is measured against rich classes of comparator functions that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Ilja Kuzborskij , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

Change point detection in time series has attracted substantial interest, but most of the existing results have been focused on detecting change points in the time domain. This paper considers the situation where nonlinear time series have…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-22 Yan Cui , Jun Yang , Zhou Zhou

A vision system that can assess its own performance and take appropriate actions online to maximize its effectiveness would be a step towards achieving the long-cherished goal of imitating humans. This paper proposes a method for performing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-10-20 Shoaib Ehsan , Adrian F. Clark , Klaus D. McDonald-Maier

Many offline unsupervised change point detection algorithms rely on minimizing a penalized sum of segment-wise costs. We extend this framework by proposing to minimize a sum of discrepancies between segments. In particular, we propose to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Aurélien Serre , Didier Chételat , Andrea Lodi

In this paper, I propose a general procedure for multivariate distribution-free nonparametric testing derived from the concept of ranks that are based upon measure transportation in the context of multiple change point analysis. I will use…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-08-30 Amanda Ng

The problem of sequential change diagnosis is considered, where observations are obtained on-line, an abrupt change occurs in their distribution, and the goal is to quickly detect the change and accurately identify the post-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Austin Warner , Georgios Fellouris

We present a new framework for online Least Squares algorithms for nonlinear modeling in RKH spaces (RKHS). Instead of implicitly mapping the data to a RKHS (e.g., kernel trick), we map the data to a finite dimensional Euclidean space,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-14 Pantelis Bouboulis , Spyridon Pougkakiotis , Sergios Theodoridis

Kernel methods are powerful and flexible approach to solve many problems in machine learning. Due to the pairwise evaluations in kernel methods, the complexity of kernel computation grows as the data size increases; thus the applicability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Bharath Bhushan Damodaran , Nicolas Courty , Philippe-Henri Gosselin

We study online conformal prediction for non-stationary data streams subject to unknown distribution drift. While most prior work studied this problem under adversarial settings and/or assessed performance in terms of gaps of time-averaged…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jiadong Liang , Zhimei Ren , Yuxin Chen

Change-point analysis has been successfully applied to the detect changes in multivariate data streams over time. In many applications, when data are observed over a graph/network, change does not occur simultaneously but instead spread…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Hanqing Cai , Tengyao Wang

We present a new non-parametric statistic, called the weighed $\ell_2$ divergence, based on empirical distributions for sequential change detection. We start by constructing the weighed $\ell_2$ divergence as a fundamental building block…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Liyan Xie , Yao Xie

Many modern applications of online changepoint detection require the ability to process high-frequency observations, sometimes with limited available computational resources. Online algorithms for detecting a change in mean often involve…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-12 Gaetano Romano , Idris Eckley , Paul Fearnhead , Guillem Rigaill

The aim of online monitoring is to issue an alarm as soon as there is significant evidence in the collected observations to suggest that the underlying data generating mechanism has changed. This work is concerned with open-end,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Mark Holmes , Ivan Kojadinovic

Sequential change-point detection for graphs is a fundamental problem for streaming network data types and has wide applications in social networks and power systems. Given fixed vertices and a sequence of random graphs, the objective is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-12 Liyan Xie , Yao Xie
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