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Utility-Based Shortfall Risk (UBSR) is a risk metric that is increasingly popular in financial applications, owing to certain desirable properties that it enjoys. We consider the problem of estimating UBSR in a recursive setting, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-28 Vishwajit Hegde , Arvind S. Menon , L. A. Prashanth , Krishna Jagannathan

We consider the problems of estimation and optimization of utility-based shortfall risk (UBSR), which is a popular risk measure in finance. In the context of UBSR estimation, we derive a non-asymptotic bound on the mean-squared error of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Sumedh Gupte , Prashanth L. A. , Sanjay P. Bhat

We consider the problems of estimation and optimization of two popular convex risk measures: utility-based shortfall risk (UBSR) and Optimized Certainty Equivalent (OCE) risk. We extend these risk measures to cover possibly unbounded random…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Sumedh Gupte , Prashanth L. A. , Sanjay P. Bhat

Utility-based shortfall risk (UBSR), a convex risk measure sensitive to tail losses, has gained popularity in recent years. However, research on computational methods for UBSR optimization remains relatively scarce. In this paper, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-23 Rufeng Xiao , Zhiping Li , Rujun Jiang

Weighted empirical risk minimization is a common approach to prediction under distribution drift. This article studies its out-of-sample prediction error under nonstationarity. We provide a general decomposition of the excess risk into a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Tobias Brock , Thomas Nagler

We consider optimization problems in which the objective requires an inner loop with many steps or is the limit of a sequence of increasingly costly approximations. Meta-learning, training recurrent neural networks, and optimization of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Alex Beatson , Ryan P. Adams

Bilevel optimization problems, which are problems where two optimization problems are nested, have more and more applications in machine learning. In many practical cases, the upper and the lower objectives correspond to empirical risk…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-03 Mathieu Dagréou , Thomas Moreau , Samuel Vaiter , Pierre Ablin

Spectral risk objectives - also called $L$-risks - allow for learning systems to interpolate between optimizing average-case performance (as in empirical risk minimization) and worst-case performance on a task. We develop stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Ronak Mehta , Vincent Roulet , Krishna Pillutla , Lang Liu , Zaid Harchaoui

This paper proposes a new robust optimization (RO) formulation namely the RO under objective functional uncertainty (ObRO). The ObRO adopts a min-max structure where the inner problem finds the worst-case objective function in a continuous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Yue Song , Yuxi Lu , Gang Li , Kairui Feng , Qi Liu

We consider a general statistical learning problem where an unknown fraction of the training data is corrupted. We develop a robust learning method that only requires specifying an upper bound on the corrupted data fraction. The method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-10 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Peter Stoica

Given a collection of feature maps indexed by a set $\mathcal{T}$, we study the performance of empirical risk minimization (ERM) on regression problems with square loss over the union of the linear classes induced by these feature maps.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 Ayoub El Hanchi , Chris J. Maddison , Murat A. Erdogdu

In a wide range of statistical learning problems such as ranking, clustering or metric learning among others, the risk is accurately estimated by $U$-statistics of degree $d\geq 1$, i.e. functionals of the training data with low variance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-25 Stéphan Clémençon , Aurélien Bellet , Igor Colin

Complex distributions of the healthcare expenditure pose challenges to statistical modeling via a single model. Super learning, an ensemble method that combines a range of candidate models, is a promising alternative for cost estimation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-17 Ziyue Wu , David Benkeser

In stochastic optimization, the population risk is generally approximated by the empirical risk. However, in the large-scale setting, minimization of the empirical risk may be computationally restrictive. In this paper, we design an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 Murat A. Erdogdu , Mohsen Bayati , Lee H. Dicker

We study the problem of designing minimax procedures in linear regression under the quantile risk. We start by considering the realizable setting with independent Gaussian noise, where for any given noise level and distribution of inputs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Ayoub El Hanchi , Chris J. Maddison , Murat A. Erdogdu

We study robust linear regression in high-dimension, when both the dimension $d$ and the number of data points $n$ diverge with a fixed ratio $\alpha=n/d$, and study a data model that includes outliers. We provide exact asymptotics for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-24 Matteo Vilucchio , Emanuele Troiani , Vittorio Erba , Florent Krzakala

We consider robust optimization problems, where the goal is to optimize in the worst case over a class of objective functions. We develop a reduction from robust improper optimization to Bayesian optimization: given an oracle that returns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-05 Robert Chen , Brendan Lucier , Yaron Singer , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Model selection is often performed by empirical risk minimization. The quality of selection in a given situation can be assessed by risk bounds, which require assumptions both on the margin and the tails of the losses used. Starting with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Charles Mitchell , Sara van de Geer

We introduce a procedure for conditional density estimation under logarithmic loss, which we call SMP (Sample Minmax Predictor). This estimator minimizes a new general excess risk bound for statistical learning. On standard examples, this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Jaouad Mourtada , Stéphane Gaïffas

A large class of stochastic programs involve optimizing an expectation taken with respect to an underlying distribution that is unknown in practice. One popular approach to addressing the distributional uncertainty, known as the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Di Wu , Helin Zhu , Enlu Zhou
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