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Model calibration aims to align confidence with prediction correctness. The Cross-Entropy (CE) loss is widely used for calibrator training, which enforces the model to increase confidence on the ground truth class. However, we find the CE…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Yuchi Liu , Lei Wang , Yuli Zou , James Zou , Liang Zheng

Deep neural networks have been shown to be highly miscalibrated. often they tend to be overconfident in their predictions. It poses a significant challenge for safety-critical systems to utilise deep neural networks (DNNs), reliably. Many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Aditya Singh , Alessandro Bay , Biswa Sengupta , Andrea Mirabile

Consider the problem of finding the best matching in a weighted graph where we only have access to predictions of the actual stochastic weights, based on an underlying context. If the predictor is the Bayes optimal one, then computing the…

When model predictions inform downstream decision making, a natural question is under what conditions can the decision-makers simply respond to the predictions as if they were the true outcomes. Calibration suffices to guarantee that simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Jingwu Tang , Jiayun Wu , Zhiwei Steven Wu , Jiahao Zhang

While improving prediction accuracy has been the focus of machine learning in recent years, this alone does not suffice for reliable decision-making. Deploying learning systems in consequential settings also requires calibrating and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-06 Stephen Bates , Anastasios Angelopoulos , Lihua Lei , Jitendra Malik , Michael I. Jordan

Multi-class classification methods that produce sets of probabilistic classifiers, such as ensemble learning methods, are able to model aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty. Aleatoric uncertainty is then typically quantified via the Bayes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-20 Thomas Mortier , Viktor Bengs , Eyke Hüllermeier , Stijn Luca , Willem Waegeman

Currently, machine learning plays an important role in the lives and individual activities of numerous people. Accordingly, it has become necessary to design machine learning algorithms to ensure that discrimination, biased views, or unfair…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-09 Kazuto Fukuchi , Jun Sakuma

We introduce the technique of adaptive discretization to design an efficient model-based episodic reinforcement learning algorithm in large (potentially continuous) state-action spaces. Our algorithm is based on optimistic one-step value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Sean R. Sinclair , Tianyu Wang , Gauri Jain , Siddhartha Banerjee , Christina Lee Yu

Multiple rotation averaging plays a crucial role in computer vision and robotics domains. The conventional optimization-based methods optimize a nonlinear cost function based on certain noise assumptions, while most previous learning-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Shiqi Li , Jihua Zhu , Yifan Xie , Naiwen Hu , Mingchen Zhu , Zhongyu Li , Di Wang

Envelope methods perform dimension reduction of predictors or responses in multivariate regression, exploiting the relationship between them to improve estimation efficiency. While most research on envelopes has focused on their estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Tate Jacobson , Oh-Ran Kwon

Being cautious is crucial for enhancing the trustworthiness of machine learning systems integrated into decision-making pipelines. Although calibrated probabilities help in optimal decision-making, perfect calibration remains unattainable,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Mari-Liis Allikivi , Joonas Järve , Meelis Kull

This work studies the distributed empirical risk minimization (ERM) problem under differential privacy (DP) constraint. Standard distributed algorithms achieve DP typically by perturbing all local subgradients with noise, leading to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Changxin Liu , Karl H. Johansson , Yang Shi

We consider robust empirical risk minimization (ERM), where model parameters are chosen to minimize the worst-case empirical loss when each data point varies over a given convex uncertainty set. In some simple cases, such problems can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Eric Luxenberg , Dhruv Malik , Yuanzhi Li , Aarti Singh , Stephen Boyd

Calibrating the confidence of supervised learning models is important for a variety of contexts where the certainty over predictions should be reliable. However, it has been reported that deep neural network models are often too poorly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Changjian Shui , Azadeh Sadat Mozafari , Jonathan Marek , Ihsen Hedhli , Christian Gagné

This paper advocates a new paradigm Personalized Empirical Risk Minimization (PERM) to facilitate learning from heterogeneous data sources without imposing stringent constraints on computational resources shared by participating devices. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Yuyang Deng , Mohammad Mahdi Kamani , Pouria Mahdavinia , Mehrdad Mahdavi

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) is typically designed to perform well on the average loss, which can result in estimators that are sensitive to outliers, generalize poorly, or treat subgroups unfairly. While many methods aim to address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-18 Tian Li , Ahmad Beirami , Maziar Sanjabi , Virginia Smith

Machine learning classifiers often produce probabilistic predictions that are critical for accurate and interpretable decision-making in various domains. The quality of these predictions is generally evaluated with proper losses, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Eugène Berta , David Holzmüller , Michael I. Jordan , Francis Bach

The $\ell_0$-constrained empirical risk minimization ($\ell_0$-ERM) is a promising tool for high-dimensional statistical estimation. The existing analysis of $\ell_0$-ERM estimator is mostly on parameter estimation and support recovery…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Xiao-Tong Yuan , Ping Li

We study the excess risk evaluation of classical penalized empirical risk minimization (ERM) with Bregman losses. We show that by leveraging the idea of wild refitting, one can efficiently upper bound the excess risk through the so-called…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Haichen Hu , David Simchi-Levi

In many estimation problems, e.g. linear and logistic regression, we wish to minimize an unknown objective given only unbiased samples of the objective function. Furthermore, we aim to achieve this using as few samples as possible. In the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-26 Roy Frostig , Rong Ge , Sham M. Kakade , Aaron Sidford