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Cancer has become one of the most widespread diseases in the world. Specifically, breast cancer is diagnosed more often than any other type of cancer. However, breast cancer patients and their individual tumors are often unique. Identifying…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-06 Chenzhe Qian

This paper studies a two-stage model of experimentation, where the researcher first samples representative units from an eligible pool, then assigns each sampled unit to treatment or control. To implement balanced sampling and assignment,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-22 Max Cytrynbaum

Pathological complete response (pCR) is a key prognostic factor in breast cancer patients undergoing neoadjuvant therapy, strongly associated with long-term survival and treatment personalization. However, accurate pre-treatment pCR…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Alice Natalina Caragliano , Valerio Guarrasi , Michela Gravina , Carlo Sansone , Paolo Soda

Immunotherapies have revolutionized cancer treatment. Unlike chemotherapies, immune agents often take longer time to show benefit, and the complex and unique mechanism of action of these agents renders the use of multiple endpoints more…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-02 Ruitao Lin , Robert L Coleman , Ying Yuan

Bayesian adaptive designs enable flexible clinical trials by adapting features based on accumulating data. Among these, Bayesian Response-Adaptive Randomization (BRAR) skews patient allocation towards more promising treatments based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-05 Daniel Kaddaj , Stef Baas , Edwin Y. N. Tang , David S. Robertson , Lukas Pin , Sofía S. Villar

A small n, sequential, multiple assignment, randomized trial (snSMART) is a small sample, two-stage design where participants receive up to two treatments sequentially, but the second treatment depends on response to the first treatment.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-14 Yan-Cheng Chao , Thomas M. Braun , Roy N. Tamura , Kelley M. Kidwell

Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) are sequences of decision rules that recommend treatments based on patients' time-varying clinical conditions. The sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) is an experimental design that can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Xinru Wang , Nina Deliu , Yusuke Narita , Bibhas Chakraborty

Multi-arm trials are gaining interest in practice given the statistical and logistical advantages they can offer. The standard approach uses a fixed allocation ratio, but there is a call for making it adaptive and skewing the allocation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Gianmarco Caruso , Pavel Mozgunov

Cancer pathology is unique to a given individual, and developing personalized diagnostic and treatment protocols are a primary concern. Mathematical modeling and simulation is a promising approach to personalized cancer medicine. Yet, the…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-03 Alvaro Köhn-Luque , Xiaoran Lai , Arnoldo Frigessi

Large observational datasets, including those derived from electronic health records, are a valuable resource for medical research but are often affected by missingness, measurement error, and misclassification. Two-phase sampling with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Jasper B. Yang , Bryan E. Shepherd , Thomas Lumley , Pamela A. Shaw

This paper considers multiple binary hypothesis tests with adaptive allocation of sensing resources from a shared budget over a small number of stages. A Bayesian formulation is provided for the multistage allocation problem of minimizing…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-05 Dennis Wei

We propose a frequentist adaptive phase 2 trial design to evaluate the safety and efficacy of three treatment regimens (doses) compared to placebo for four types of helminth (worm) infections. This trial will be carried out in four…

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

Although response-adaptive randomisation (RAR) has gained substantial attention in the literature, it still has limited use in clinical trials. Amongst other reasons, the implementation of RAR in real world trials raises important practical…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-16 Rajenki Das , Nina Deliu , Mark Toshner , Sofía S Villar

Unblinded sample size re-estimation (SSR) is often planned in a clinical trial when there is large uncertainty about the true treatment effect. For Proof-of Concept (PoC) in a Phase II dose finding study, contrast test can be adopted to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-11 Qingyang Liu , Guanyu Hu , Binqi Ye , Susan Wang , Yaoshi Wu

This paper proposes an adaptive randomization procedure for two-stage randomized controlled trials. The method uses data from a first-wave experiment in order to determine how to stratify in a second wave of the experiment, where the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-06 Max Tabord-Meehan

We propose a novel adaptive design for clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes and covariates (which may consist of or include biomarkers). Our method is based on the expected entropy of the posterior distribution of a proportional…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-29 James E. Barrett

Sequential Multiple Assignment Randomized Trials (SMARTs) are considered the gold standard for estimation and evaluation of treatment regimes. SMARTs are typically sized to ensure sufficient power for a simple comparison, e.g., the…

In this article, we propose a phase I-II design in two stages for the combination of molecularly targeted therapies. The design is motivated by a published case study that combines a MEK and a PIK3CA inhibitors; a setting in which higher…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-21 José L. Jiménez , Mourad Tighiouart

A framework for online robust adaptive radiation therapy (ART) is presented. This framework is designed to (i) handle interfractional geometric variations following a probability distribution different from the a priori hypothesis, (ii)…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-09-09 Michelle Böck