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We present a new framework for the robust estimation of latent time series models which is fairly general and, for example, covers models going from ARMA to state-space models. This approach provides estimators which are (i) consistent and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-23 Stephane Guerrier , Roberto Molinari

We consider the problem of online active learning to collect data for regression modeling. Specifically, we consider a decision maker with a limited experimentation budget who must efficiently learn an underlying linear population model.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-22 Carlos Riquelme , Ramesh Johari , Baosen Zhang

Analyzing the distribution shift of data is a growing research direction in nowadays Machine Learning (ML), leading to emerging new benchmarks that focus on providing a suitable scenario for studying the generalization properties of ML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Marius Dragoi , Elena Burceanu , Emanuela Haller , Andrei Manolache , Florin Brad

While recent computer vision algorithms achieve impressive performance on many benchmarks, they lack robustness - presented with an image from a different distribution, (e.g. weather or lighting conditions not considered during training),…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Sebastian Cygert , Bartłomiej Wróblewski , Karol Woźniak , Radosław Słowiński , Andrzej Czyżewski

Temporal difference learning with linear function approximation is a popular method to obtain a low-dimensional approximation of the value function of a policy in a Markov Decision Process. We give a new interpretation of this method in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Rui Liu , Alex Olshevsky

Safety assurance is uncompromisable for safety-critical environments with the presence of drastic model uncertainties (e.g., distributional shift), especially with humans in the loop. However, incorporating uncertainty in safe learning will…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Alaa Eddine Chriat , Chuangchuang Sun

We revisit the fundamental problem of learning with distribution shift, in which a learner is given labeled samples from training distribution $D$, unlabeled samples from test distribution $D'$ and is asked to output a classifier with low…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Adam R. Klivans , Konstantinos Stavropoulos , Arsen Vasilyan

In this paper, we consider a remote state estimation problem in the presence of an eavesdropper. A smart sensor takes measurement of a discrete linear time-invariant (LTI) process and sends its local state estimate through a wireless…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-29 Lingying Huang , Alex S. Leong , Daniel E. Quevedo , Ling Shi

One of the key challenges of learning an online recommendation model is the temporal domain shift, which causes the mismatch between the training and testing data distribution and hence domain generalization error. To overcome, we propose…

Many time-series classification problems involve developing metrics that are invariant to temporal misalignment. In human activity analysis, temporal misalignment arises due to various reasons including differing initial phase, sensor…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-17 Suhas Lohit , Qiao Wang , Pavan Turaga

This work is intended as a contribution to a wavelet-based adaptive estimator of the memory parameter in the classical semi-parametric framework for Gaussian stationary processes. In particular we introduce and develop the choice of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-27 Jean-Marc Bardet , Hatem Bibi , Abdellatif Jouini

In this paper, we study the estimation of the threshold predictive regression model with hybrid stochastic local unit root predictors. We demonstrate the estimation procedure and derive the asymptotic distribution of the least square…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-16 Christis Katsouris

We introduce wavelet-based methodology for estimation of realized variance allowing its measurement in the time-frequency domain. Using smooth wavelets and Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform, we allow for the decomposition of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-20 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

Training models that perform well under distribution shifts is a central challenge in machine learning. In this paper, we introduce a modeling framework where, in addition to training data, we have partial structural knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Tobias Sutter , Andreas Krause , Daniel Kuhn

We consider the problem of online learning in the presence of distribution shifts that occur at an unknown rate and of unknown intensity. We derive a new Bayesian online inference approach to simultaneously infer these distribution shifts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Aodong Li , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth , Stephan Mandt

Outstanding achievements of graph neural networks for spatiotemporal time series analysis show that relational constraints introduce an effective inductive bias into neural forecasting architectures. Often, however, the relational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Andrea Cini , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

We consider the problem of parameter estimation using weakly supervised datasets, where a training sample consists of the input and a partially specified annotation, which we refer to as the output. The missing information in the annotation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 M. Pawan Kumar , Ben Packer , Daphne Koller

A data-driven block thresholding procedure for wavelet regression is proposed and its theoretical and numerical properties are investigated. The procedure empirically chooses the block size and threshold level at each resolution level by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-31 T. Tony Cai , Harrison H. Zhou

We propose a method for adapting neural networks to distribution shifts at test-time. In contrast to training-time robustness mechanisms that attempt to anticipate and counter the shift, we create a closed-loop system and make use of a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Teresa Yeo , Oğuzhan Fatih Kar , Zahra Sodagar , Amir Zamir

In this paper, we propose Test-Time Training, a general approach for improving the performance of predictive models when training and test data come from different distributions. We turn a single unlabeled test sample into a self-supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Yu Sun , Xiaolong Wang , Zhuang Liu , John Miller , Alexei A. Efros , Moritz Hardt
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