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Deep neural networks have become the default choice for many of the machine learning tasks such as classification and regression. Dropout, a method commonly used to improve the convergence of deep neural networks, generates an ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-11 Tal Kachman , Michal Moshkovitz , Michal Rosen-Zvi

INTRODUCTION: Alzheimer's disease (AD) is genetically complex, complicating robust classification from genomic data. METHODS: We developed a transformer-based ensemble model (TrUE-Net) using Monte Carlo Dropout for uncertainty estimation in…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-03 Taeho Jo , Eun Hye Lee , Alzheimer's Disease Sequencing Project

Probabilistic prediction of sequences from images and other high-dimensional data is a key challenge, particularly in risk-sensitive applications. In these settings, it is often desirable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Qidong Yang , Weicheng Zhu , Joseph Keslin , Laure Zanna , Tim G. J. Rudner , Carlos Fernandez-Granda

Deep neural networks have achieved significant success in the last decades, but they are not well-calibrated and often produce unreliable predictions. A large number of literature relies on uncertainty quantification to evaluate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Russell Alan Hart , Linlin Yu , Yifei Lou , Feng Chen

Quantifying the uncertainty in model parameters and output is a critical component in model-driven decision support systems for groundwater management. This paper presents a novel algorithmic approach which fuses Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-26 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Tim J. Dodwell , David Moxey

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods offer a principled approach to Bayesian uncertainty quantification but are traditionally limited by the need for full-batch gradient evaluations. We introduce a scalable variant by incorporating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Andrew Millard , Zheng Zhao , Joshua Murphy , Simon Maskell

Uncertainty estimation (UE) techniques -- such as the Gaussian process (GP), Bayesian neural networks (BNN), Monte Carlo dropout (MCDropout) -- aim to improve the interpretability of machine learning models by assigning an estimated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Yehao Liu , Matteo Pagliardini , Tatjana Chavdarova , Sebastian U. Stich

Computer vision leveraging deep learning has achieved significant success in the last decade. Despite the promising performance of the existing deep models in the recent literature, the extent of models' reliability remains unknown.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-13 Seyed Omid Sajedi , Xiao Liang

There is a rising need for computational models that can complementarily leverage data of different modalities while investigating associations between subjects for population-based disease analysis. Despite the success of convolutional…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-08 Yongxiang Huang , Albert C. S. Chung

Estimating uncertainty from deep neural networks is a widely used approach for detecting out-of-distribution (OoD) samples, which typically exhibit high predictive uncertainty. However, conventional methods such as Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-25 JinYoung Kim , DaeUng Jo , Kimin Yun , Jeonghyo Song , Youngjoon Yoo

Many problems in science and engineering require uncertainty quantification that accounts for observed data. For example, in computational neuroscience, Neural Population Models (NPMs) are mechanistic models that describe brain physiology…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-04 Philip Maybank , Patrick Peltzer , Uwe Naumann , Ingo Bojak

Robustness analysis is very important in biology and neuroscience, to unravel behavioural patterns of systems that are conserved despite large parametric uncertainties. To make studies of probabilistic robustness more efficient and scalable…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-08 Uros Sutulovic , Daniele Proverbio , Rami Katz , Giulia Giordano

The integration of artificial intelligence into clinical workflows requires reliable and robust models. Among the main features of robustness is repeatability. Much attention is given to classification performance without assessing the…

Biopharmaceutical products, particularly monoclonal antibodies (mAbs), have gained prominence in the pharmaceutical market due to their high specificity and efficacy. As these products are projected to constitute a substantial portion of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-05 Thanh Tung Khuat , Robert Bassett , Ellen Otte , Bogdan Gabrys

Measuring uncertainty is a promising technique for detecting adversarial examples, crafted inputs on which the model predicts an incorrect class with high confidence. But many measures of uncertainty exist, including predictive en- tropy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-26 Lewis Smith , Yarin Gal

Neural Differential Equations (NDEs) excel at modeling continuous-time dynamics, effectively handling challenges such as irregular observations, missing values, and noise. Despite their advantages, NDEs face a fundamental challenge in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-19 Jonghun Lee , YongKyung Oh , Sungil Kim , Dong-Young Lim

PURPOSE: To apply deep CNN to the segmentation task in myocardial arterial spin labeled (ASL) perfusion imaging and to develop methods that measure uncertainty and that adapt the CNN model to a specific false positive vs. false negative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Hung P. Do , Yi Guo , Andrew J. Yoon , Krishna S. Nayak

We cast visual retrieval as a regression problem by posing triplet loss as a regression loss. This enables epistemic uncertainty estimation using dropout as a Bayesian approximation framework in retrieval. Accordingly, Monte Carlo (MC)…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Ahmed Taha , Yi-Ting Chen , Xitong Yang , Teruhisa Misu , Larry Davis

In this work we consider a class of uncertainty quantification problems where the system performance or reliability is characterized by a scalar parameter $y$. The performance parameter $y$ is random due to the presence of various sources…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Keyi Wu , Jinglai Li

As deep learning applications are becoming more and more pervasive in robotics, the question of evaluating the reliability of inferences becomes a central question in the robotics community. This domain, known as predictive uncertainty, has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-21 Michel Moukari , Loïc Simon , Sylvaine Picard , Frédéric Jurie
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