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We present a method to quantify uncertainty in the predictions made by simulations of mathematical models that can be applied to a broad class of stochastic, discrete, and differential equation models. Quantifying uncertainty is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-05 Kyle S. Hickmann , James M. Hyman , Sara Y. Del Valle

We develop an R package SPQR that implements the semi-parametric quantile regression (SPQR) method in Xu and Reich (2021). The method begins by fitting a flexible density regression model using monotonic splines whose weights are modeled as…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Steven G. Xu , Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich

This paper proposes a novel '$\nu$-support vector quantile regression' ($\nu$-SVQR) model for the quantile estimation. It can facilitate the automatic control over accuracy by creating a suitable asymmetric $\epsilon$-insensitive zone…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Pritam Anand , Reshma Rastogi , Suresh Chandra

While quantum computers provide exciting opportunities for information processing, they currently suffer from noise during computation that is not fully understood. Incomplete noise models have led to discrepancies between quantum program…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-27 Fang Qi , Kaitlin N. Smith , Travis LeCompte , Nianfeng Tzeng , Xu Yuan , Frederic T. Chong , Lu Peng

This paper presents a novel probabilistic forecasting method called ensemble conformalized quantile regression (EnCQR). EnCQR constructs distribution-free and approximately marginally valid prediction intervals (PIs), which are suitable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Vilde Jensen , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Stian Norman Anfinsen

Continuous value prediction plays a crucial role in industrial-scale recommendation systems, including tasks such as predicting users' watch-time and estimating the gross merchandise value (GMV) in e-commerce transactions. However, it…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Runpeng Cui , Zhipeng Sun , Chi Lu , Peng Jiang

Machine learning and quantum computing are being progressively explored to shed light on possible computational approaches to deal with hitherto unsolvable problems. Classical methods for machine learning are ubiquitous in pattern…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-07-10 Papri Saha

Data following an interval structure are increasingly prevalent in many scientific applications. In medicine, clinical events are often monitored between two clinical visits, making the exact time of the event unknown and generating…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , Michael R. Kosorok , Marcos Matabuena

This work endeavors to juxtapose the efficacy of machine learning algorithms within classical and quantum computational paradigms. Particularly, by emphasizing on Support Vector Machines (SVM), we scrutinize the classification prowess of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Davut Emre Tasar , Kutan Koruyan , Ceren Ocal Tasar

We develop a weakly intrusive framework to simulate the propagation of uncertainty in solutions of generic hyperbolic partial differential equation systems on graph-connected domains with nodal coupling and boundary conditions. The method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Svetlana Tokareva , Anatoly Zlotnik , Vitaliy Gyrya

Support vector machine (SVM) is a particularly powerful and flexible supervised learning model that analyzes data for both classification and regression, whose usual algorithm complexity scales polynomially with the dimension of data space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Chen Ding , Tian-Yi Bao , He-Liang Huang

Accurate uncertainty quantification (UQ) in Large Language Models (LLMs) is critical for trustworthy deployment. While real-world language is inherently ambiguous, reflecting aleatoric uncertainty, existing UQ methods are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Tim Tomov , Dominik Fuchsgruber , Tom Wollschläger , Stephan Günnemann

A semidefinite program (SDP) is a particular kind of convex optimization problem with applications in operations research, combinatorial optimization, quantum information science, and beyond. In this work, we propose variational quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 Dhrumil Patel , Patrick J. Coles , Mark M. Wilde

This paper presents and analyzes a fast, robust, efficient, and optimally accurate fully discrete splitting algorithm for the Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) of parameterized Stochastic Navier-Stokes Equations (SNSEs) flow problems those…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Neethu Suma Raveendran , Md. Abdul Aziz , Sivaguru S. Ravindran , Muhammad Mohebujjaman

Treating uncertainties in models is essential in many fields of science and engineering. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) on complex and computationally costly numerical models necessitates a combination of efficient model solvers, advanced…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Linus Seelinger , Anne Reinarz , Jean Benezech , Mikkel Bue Lykkegaard , Lorenzo Tamellini , Robert Scheichl

The quantification of uncertainty in prediction models is crucial for reliable decision-making, yet remains a significant challenge. Interval time series forecasting offers a principled solution to this problem by providing prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Miaoxuan Zhu , Yi Yu , Yuyang Li , Wei Li , Guangcan Liu

This paper addresses the pattern classification problem arising when available target data include some uncertainty information. Target data considered here is either qualitative (a class label) or quantitative (an estimation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-06-20 Emilie Niaf , Rémi Flamary , Carole Lartizien , Stéphane Canu

Uncertainty quantification is a critical yet unsolved challenge for deep learning, especially for the time series imputation with irregularly sampled measurements. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel framework based on the principles…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Shweta Dahale , Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

Classifiers and rating scores are prone to implicitly codifying biases, which may be present in the training data, against protected classes (i.e., age, gender, or race). So it is important to understand how to design classifiers and scores…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-17 Matt Olfat , Anil Aswani

Spatiotemporal prediction plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications such as urban planning, transportation optimization, disaster response, and pandemic control. In recent years, researchers have made significant progress by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Dahai Yu , Dingyi Zhuang , Lin Jiang , Rongchao Xu , Xinyue Ye , Yuheng Bu , Shenhao Wang , Guang Wang