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Multiple lines of evidence strongly suggest that infection hotspots, where a single individual infects many others, play a key role in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. However, most of the existing epidemiological models fail to…

As a highly infectious respiratory disease, COVID-19 has become a pandemic that threatens global health. Without an effective treatment, non-pharmaceutical interventions, such as travel restrictions, have been widely promoted to mitigate…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Qianqian Sun , Yixuan Pan , Weiyi Zhou , Chenfeng Xiong , Lei Zhang

One of the major issues in the theoretical modeling of epidemic spreading is the development of methods to control the transmission of an infectious agent. Human behavior plays a fundamental role in the spreading dynamics and can be used to…

In this work, we address the connection between population density centers in urban areas, and the nature of human flows between such centers, in shaping the vulnerability to the onset of contagious diseases. A study of 163 cities, chosen…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-02 Surendra Hazarie , David Soriano-Paños , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes , Gourab Ghoshal

The dynamic spatial redistribution of individuals is a key driving force of various spatiotemporal phenomena on geographical scales. It can synchronise populations of interacting species, stabilise them, and diversify gene pools [1-3].…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 D. Brockmann , L. Hufnagel , T. Geisel

Classical compartmental models in epidemiology often assume a homogeneous population for simplicity, which neglects the inherent heterogeneity among individuals. This assumption frequently leads to inaccurate predictions when applied to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-09 Ning Jiang , Weiqi Chu , Yao Li

In the new paradigm of health-centric governance, policy makers are in a constant need for appropriate metrics and estimates in order to determine the best policies in a non-arbitrary fashion. Thus, in this paper, a compartmentalized model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-20 Suryadeepto Nag , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

We study the impact of contact heterogeneity on epidemic dynamics. A system characterized by multiple susceptible populations is considered. The description of the spread of an infectious disease is obtained through the study of a system of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-11 Andrea Medaglia , Mattia Zanella

Socioeconomic inequalities significantly influence infectious disease outcomes, as seen with COVID-19, but the pathways through which socioeconomic conditions affect transmission dynamics remain unclear. To address this, we conducted a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-31 Michele Tizzani , Laetitia Gauvin

Understanding influencing factors is essential for the surveillance and prevention of infectious diseases, and the factors are likely to vary spatially and temporally as the disease progresses. Taking daily cases and deaths data during the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-28 Lu Ling , Xinwu Qian , Satish V. Ukkusuri , Shuocheng Guo

Disease transmission is studied through disciplines like epidemiology, applied mathematics, and statistics. Mathematical simulation models for transmission have implications in solving public and personal health challenges. The SIR model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-04 R. Jayatilaka , R. Patel , M. Brar , Y. Tang , N. M. Jisrawi , F. Chishtie , J. Drozd , S. R. Valluri

Given the growth of urbanization and emerging pandemic threats, more sophisticated models are required to understand disease propagation and investigate the impacts of intervention strategies across various city types. We introduce a fully…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-03 Nishant Kumar , Jimi B. Oke , Bat-hen Nahmias-Biran

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has caused significant mortality and morbidity worldwide, sparing almost no community. As the disease will likely remain a threat for years to come, an understanding of the precise influences of human demographics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-02 Niayesh Afshordi , Benjamin Holder , Mohammad Bahrami , Daniel Lichtblau

Networks of person-person contacts form the substrate along which infectious diseases spread. Most network-based studies of the spread focus on the impact of variations in degree (the number of contacts an individual has). However, other…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-15 Joel C. Miller

Many real networks are embedded in a metric space: the interactions among individuals depend on their spatial distances and usually take place among their nearest neighbors. In this paper, we introduce a modified…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-26 Xin-Jian Xu , Wen-Xu Wang , Tao Zhou , Guanrong Chen

We develop a mathematical framework to study the economic impact of infectious diseases by integrating epidemiological dynamics with a kinetic model of wealth exchange. The multi-agent description leads to study the evolution over time of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-12 G. Dimarco , L. Pareschi , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

Models of disease spreading are critical for predicting infection growth in a population and evaluating public health policies. However, standard models typically represent the dynamics of disease transmission between individuals using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-07 Christopher A. Browne , Daniel B. Amchin , Joanna Schneider , Sujit S. Datta

The spread of the coronavirus (COVID-19), starting in late 2019, has determined in Italy several interventions aimed to prevent saturation of the health system. We have examined the effects of such measures by proposing a mean-field model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-18 Corrado Spinella , Antonio Massimiliano Mio

The COVID-19 pandemic has changed human life. To mitigate the pandemic's impacts, different regions implemented various policies to contain COVID-19 and residents showed diverse responses. These human responses in turn shaped the uneven…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-17 Binbin Lin , Lei Zou , Mingzheng Yang , Bing Zhou , Debayan Mandal , Joynal Abedin , Heng Cai , Ning Ning

The spread of disease through a physical-contact network and the spread of information about the disease on a communication network are two intimately related dynamical processes. We investigate the asymmetrical interplay between the two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-09 Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Hui Yang , Younghae Do , Ying-Cheng Lai , GyuWon Lee
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