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Vector autoregressive (VAR) models assume linearity between the endogenous variables and their lags. This assumption might be overly restrictive and could have a deleterious impact on forecasting accuracy. As a solution, we propose…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-10 Florian Huber , Luca Rossini

In this article, we propose the mutual influence regression model (MIR) to establish the relationship between the mutual influence matrix of actors and a set of similarity matrices induced by their associated attributes. This model is able…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Xinyan Fan , Wei Lan , Tao Zou , Chih-Ling Tsai

Masked autoregressive models (MAR) have emerged as a powerful paradigm for image and video generation, combining the flexibility of masked modeling with the expressiveness of continuous tokenizers. However, when sampling individual frames,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Zian Li , Muhan Zhang

We consider the problem of estimating the spectral norm of a matrix using only matrix-vector products. We propose a new Counterbalance estimator that provides upper bounds on the norm and derive probabilistic guarantees on its…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Alexey Naumov , Maxim Rakhuba , Denis Ryapolov , Sergey Samsonov

This paper presents an innovative extension of spatial autoregressive (SAR) models, introducing spatial coefficients specific to each spatial region that evolve over time. The proposed estimation methodology covers both homoscedastic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 N. A. Cruz , D. A. Romero , O. O. Melo

In this paper, we propose a novel method for matrix completion under general non-uniform missing structures. By controlling an upper bound of a novel balancing error, we construct weights that can actively adjust for the non-uniformity in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-11 Jiayi Wang , Raymond K. W. Wong , Xiaojun Mao , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

While matrix variate regression models have been studied in many existing works, classical statistical and computational methods for the analysis of the regression coefficient estimation are highly affected by high dimensional and noisy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-17 Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Feng Yu , Xing Fan , Teng Zhang

This paper develops a matrix-variate adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methodology for Bayesian Cointegrated Vector Auto Regressions (CVAR). We replace the popular approach to sampling Bayesian CVAR models, involving griddy Gibbs,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-23 Gareth W. Peters , Balakrishnan Kannan , Ben Lasscock , Chris Mellen

Nonstationary time series data exist in various scientific disciplines, including environmental science, biology, signal processing, econometrics, among others. Many Bayesian models have been developed to handle nonstationary time series.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-27 Yuelei Sui , Scott H. Holan , Wen-Hsi Yang

We introduce a Modewise Additive Factor Model (MAFM) for matrix-valued time series that captures row-specific and column-specific latent effects through an additive structure, offering greater flexibility than multiplicative frameworks such…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Elynn Chen , Yuefeng Han , Jiayu Li , Ke Xu

We propose an l1-regularized likelihood method for estimating the inverse covariance matrix in the high-dimensional multivariate normal model in presence of missing data. Our method is based on the assumption that the data are missing at…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-28 Nicolas Städler , Peter Bühlmann

This paper addresses classification problems with matrix-valued data, which commonly arise in applications such as neuroimaging and signal processing. Building on the assumption that the data from each class follows a matrix normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Seungyeon Oh , Seongoh Park , Hoyoung Park

Undirected graphical models are powerful tools for uncovering complex relationships among high-dimensional variables. This paper aims to fully recover the structure of an undirected graphical model when the data naturally take matrix form,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Minsub Shin , Johan Lim , Seongoh Park

Maximum likelihood estimation of large Markov-switching vector autoregressions (MS-VARs) can be challenging or infeasible due to parameter proliferation. To accommodate situations where dimensionality may be of comparable order to or…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-28 Kenwin Maung

Matrix factor model is drawing growing attention for simultaneous two-way dimension reduction of well-structured matrix-valued observations. This paper focuses on robust statistical inference for matrix factor model in the ``diverging…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-07 Yong He , Xin-Bing Kong , Dong Liu , Ran Zhao

Most time-series models assume that the data come from observations that are equally spaced in time. However, this assumption does not hold in many diverse scientific fields, such as astronomy, finance, and climatology, among others. There…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-17 Felipe Elorrieta , Susana Eyheramendy , Wilfredo Palma

While seasonality inherent to raw macroeconomic data is commonly removed by seasonal adjustment techniques before it is used for structural inference, this may distort valuable information in the data. As an alternative method to commonly…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-12 Daniel Dzikowski , Carsten Jentsch

A general framework based on Gaussian models and a MAP-EM algorithm is introduced in this paper for solving matrix/table completion problems. The numerical experiments with the standard and challenging movie ratings data show that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-10-21 Flavien Léger , Guoshen Yu , Guillermo Sapiro

Network modeling of high-dimensional time series data is a key learning task due to its widespread use in a number of application areas, including macroeconomics, finance and neuroscience. While the problem of sparse modeling based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Sumanta Basu , Xianqi Li , George Michailidis