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Different disciplines pursue the aim to develop models which characterize certain phenomena as accurately as possible. Climatology is a prime example, where the temporal evolution of the climate is modeled. In order to compare and improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-03 T. M. Erhardt , C. Czado , T. L. Thorarinsdottir

For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

Long-term time series forecasting in centralized environments poses unique challenges regarding data privacy, communication overhead, and scalability. To address these challenges, we propose FedTime, a federated large language model (LLM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Raed Abdel-Sater , A. Ben Hamza

In many data-driven applications, collecting data from different sources is increasingly desirable for enhancing performance. In this paper, we are interested in the problem of probabilistic forecasting with multi-source time series. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Tian Guo

The availability of temporal geospatial data in multiple modalities has been extensively leveraged to enhance the performance of machine learning models. While efforts on the design of adequate model architectures are approaching a level of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Hiba Najjar , Marlon Nuske , Andreas Dengel

The recent rapid advancements in language models (LMs) have garnered attention in medical time series-text multimodal learning. However, existing contrastive learning-based and prompt-based LM approaches tend to be biased, often assigning a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Jiexia Ye , Weiqi Zhang , Ziyue Li , Jia Li , Meng Zhao , Fugee Tsung

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Rares Cristian , Pavithra Harsha , Clemente Ocejo , Georgia Perakis , Brian Quanz , Ioannis Spantidakis , Hamza Zerhouni

Time series data in real-world applications such as healthcare, climate modeling, and finance are often irregular, multimodal, and messy, with varying sampling rates, asynchronous modalities, and pervasive missingness. However, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Ching Chang , Jeehyun Hwang , Yidan Shi , Haixin Wang , Wen-Chih Peng , Tien-Fu Chen , Wei Wang

Utilization of multiple trajectories of a dynamical system model provides us with several benefits in approximation of time series. For short term predictions a high accuracy can be achieved via switches to new trajectory at any time.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Victoria Rayskin

Time series forecasts are often influenced by exogenous contextual features in addition to their corresponding history. For example, in financial settings, it is hard to accurately predict a stock price without considering public sentiments…

Human motion prediction is essential for the safe and smooth operation of mobile service robots and intelligent vehicles around people. Commonly used neural network-based approaches often require large amounts of complete trajectories to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Yufei Zhu , Andrey Rudenko , Tomasz P. Kucner , Achim J. Lilienthal , Martin Magnusson

In the current context of Big Data, the nature of many forecasting problems has changed from predicting isolated time series to predicting many time series from similar sources. This has opened up the opportunity to develop competitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Hansika Hewamalage , Christoph Bergmeir , Kasun Bandara

Nowadays, weather prediction is based on numerical weather prediction (NWP) models to produce an ensemble of forecasts. Despite of large improvements over the last few decades, they still tend to exhibit systematic bias and dispersion…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-02 David Jobst , Annette Möller , Jürgen Groß

In the context of an increasing popularity of data-driven models to represent dynamical systems, many machine learning-based implementations of the Koopman operator have recently been proposed. However, the vast majority of those works are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Anthony Frion , Lucas Drumetz , Guillaume Tochon , Mauro Dalla Mura , Albdeldjalil Aïssa El Bey

We propose a statistical space-time model for predicting atmospheric wind speed based on deterministic numerical weather predictions and historical measurements. We consider a Gaussian multivariate space-time framework that combines…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-21 Julie Bessac , Emil Mihai Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

The performance of transformers for time-series forecasting has improved significantly. Recent architectures learn complex temporal patterns by segmenting a time-series into patches and using the patches as tokens. The patch size controls…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yitian Zhang , Liheng Ma , Soumyasundar Pal , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Recent research in the field of multimodal machine translation (MMT) has indicated that the visual modality is either dispensable or offers only marginal advantages. However, most of these conclusions are drawn from the analysis of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Zi Long , Zhenhao Tang , Xianghua Fu , Jian Chen , Shilong Hou , Jinze Lyu

This paper introduces a novel spatiotemporal feature representation model designed to address the limitations of traditional methods in multidimensional time series (MTS) analysis. The proposed approach converts MTS into one-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Xu Yan , Yaoting Jiang , Wenyi Liu , Didi Yi , Jianjun Wei

We present sktime -- a new scikit-learn compatible Python library with a unified interface for machine learning with time series. Time series data gives rise to various distinct but closely related learning tasks, such as forecasting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-18 Markus Löning , Anthony Bagnall , Sajaysurya Ganesh , Viktor Kazakov , Jason Lines , Franz J. Király

Many socio-economical critical domains (such as sustainability, public health, and disasters) are characterized by highly complex and dynamic systems, requiring data and model-driven simulations to support decision-making. Due to a large…

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