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Background: Emergency department (ED) overcrowding remains a major challenge, causing delays in care and increased operational strain. Hospital management often reacts to congestion after it occurs. Machine learning predictive modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Orhun Vural , Bunyamin Ozaydin , Khalid Y. Aram , James Booth , Brittany F. Lindsey , Abdulaziz Ahmed

Overcrowding in emergency departments (ED) remains a persistent operational challenge worldwide, causing delays in care delivery and downstream congestion. ED boarding time, defined as the duration admitted patients remain in the ED while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Orhun Vural , Abdulaziz Ahmed , Ferhat Zengul , James Booth , Bunyamin Ozaydin

Emergency department (ED) crowding is a significant threat to patient safety and it has been repeatedly associated with increased mortality. Forecasting future service demand has the potential patient outcomes. Despite active research on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-01 Jalmari Tuominen , Eetu Pulkkinen , Jaakko Peltonen , Juho Kanniainen , Niku Oksala , Ari Palomäki , Antti Roine

Problem definition: Emergency department (ED) boarding refers to the practice of holding patients in the ED after they have been admitted to hospital wards, usually resulting from insufficient inpatient resources. Boarded patients may…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-17 Shasha Han , Shuangchi He , Hong Choon Oh

One of the most urgent problems is the overcrowding in emergency departments (EDs), caused by an aging population and rising healthcare costs. Patient dispositions have become more complex as a result of the strain on hospital…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Nafisa Binte Feroz , Chandrima Sarker , Tanzima Ahsan , K M Arefeen Sultan , Raqeebir Rab

Emergency Departments (EDs) are a fundamental element of the Portuguese National Health Service, serving as an entry point for users with diverse and very serious medical problems. Due to the inherent characteristics of the ED; forecasting…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Francisco M. Caldas , Cláudia Soares

There were 25.6 million attendances at Emergency Departments (EDs) in England in 2019 corresponding to an increase of 12 million attendances over the past ten years. The steadily rising demand at EDs creates a constant challenge to provide…

This work proposes a framework for optimizing machine learning algorithms. The practicality of the framework is illustrated using an important case study from the healthcare domain, which is predicting the admission status of emergency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-21 Abdulaziz Ahmed , Omar Ashour , Haneen Ali , Mohammad Firouz

Over the past several years, across the globe, there has been an increase in people seeking care in emergency departments (EDs). ED resources, including nurse staffing, are strained by such increases in patient volume. Accurate forecasting…

Study Objective: To analyze the factors influencing Emergency Department (ED) overcrowding by examining the impacts of operational, environmental, and external variables, including weather conditions and football games. Methods: This study…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Abdulaziz Ahmed , Khalid Y Aram , Mohammed Alzeen , Orhun Vural , James Booth , Brittany F. Lindsey , Bunyamin Ozaydin

Emergency department's (ED) boarding (defined as ED waiting time greater than four hours) has been linked to poor patient outcomes and health system performance. Yet, effective forecasting models is rare before COVID-19, lacking during the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Eman Leung , Jingjing Guan , Kin On Kwok , CT Hung , CC. Ching , CK. Chung , Hector Tsang , EK Yeoh , Albert Lee

Emergency department (ED) crowding is a well-recognized threat to patient safety and it has been repeatedly associated with increased mortality. Accurate forecasts of future service demand could lead to better resource management and has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-24 Jalmari Tuominen , Teemu Koivistoinen , Juho Kanniainen , Niku Oksala , Ari Palomäki , Antti Roine

Over an extensive duration, administrators and clinicians have endeavoured to predict Emergency Department (ED) visits with precision, aiming to optimise resource distribution. Despite the proliferation of diverse AI-driven models tailored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Mehdi Neshat , Michael Phipps , Nikhil Jha , Danial Khojasteh , Michael Tong , Amir Gandomi

Optimization of patient throughput and wait time in emergency departments (ED) is an important task for hospital systems. For that reason, Emergency Severity Index (ESI) system for patient triage was introduced to help guide manual…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-11 Djordje Gligorijevic , Jelena Stojanovic , Wayne Satz , Ivan Stojkovic , Kathrin Schreyer , Daniel Del Portal , Zoran Obradovic

Introduction: One of the most important tasks in the Emergency Department (ED) is to promptly identify the patients who will benefit from hospital admission. Machine Learning (ML) techniques show promise as diagnostic aids in healthcare.…

Recently, the combination of machine learning (ML) and simulation is gaining a lot of attention. This paper presents a novel application of ML within the simulation to improve patient flow within an emergency department (ED). An ML model…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Emad Alenany , Abdessamad Ait El Cadi

This paper investigates the prediction of vessels' arrival time to the pilotage area using multi-data fusion and deep learning approaches. Firstly, the vessel arrival contour is extracted based on Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Xiaocai Zhang , Xiuju Fu , Zhe Xiao , Haiyan Xu , Xiaoyang Wei , Jimmy Koh , Daichi Ogawa , Zheng Qin

Most of the studies dealing with the increasing and well-known problem of Emergency Department (ED) overcrowding usually mainly focus on modeling the patient flow within a single ED, without considering the possibilities offered by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Christian Piermarini , Massimo Roma

Emergency department (ED) crowding is a global public health issue that has been repeatedly associated with increased mortality. Predicting future service demand would enable preventative measures aiming to eliminate crowding along with…

Deep learning architectures have an extremely high-capacity for modeling complex data in a wide variety of domains. However, these architectures have been limited in their ability to support complex prediction problems using insurance…

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