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There is a need for the development of models that are able to account for discreteness in data, along with its time series properties and correlation. Our focus falls on INteger-valued AutoRegressive (INAR) type models. The INAR type…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-31 Tyler Roick , Dimitris Karlis , Paul D. McNicholas

Clustering time series into similar groups can improve models by combining information across like time series. While there is a well developed body of literature for clustering of time series, these approaches tend to generate clusters…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Benny Ren , Ian Barnett

This paper introduces an algorithm-agnostic approach to feature-based time series clustering via amortized neural inference. By training neural networks to approximate the optimal partitioning rule from simulated data, the proposed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ángel López-Oriona , Ying Sun

We present an approach to clustering time series data using a model-based generalization of the K-Means algorithm which we call K-Models. We prove the convergence of this general algorithm and relate it to the hard-EM algorithm for mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Derek O. Hoare , David S. Matteson , Martin T. Wells

Linear dynamical systems are a fundamental and powerful parametric model class. However, identifying the parameters of a linear dynamical system is a venerable task, permitting provably efficient solutions only in special cases. This work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Chloe Ching-Yun Hsu , Michaela Hardt , Moritz Hardt

Time series clustering is a challenging task due to the specific nature of the data. Classical approaches do not perform well and need to be adapted either through a new distance measure or a data transformation. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-12 Guillaume Richard , Benoît Grossin , Guillaume Germaine , Georges Hébrail , Anne de Moliner

We propose a statistical method for clustering of multivariate longitudinal data into homogeneous groups. This method relies on a time-varying extension on the classical K-means algorithm, where a multivariate vector autoregressive model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-25 Antonello Maruotti , Maurizio Vichi

This paper introduces a novel model-based clustering approach for clustering time series which present changes in regime. It consists of a mixture of polynomial regressions governed by hidden Markov chains. The underlying hidden process for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Patrice Aknin , Gérard Govaert

Time series clustering is the process of grouping time series with respect to their similarity or characteristics. Previous approaches usually combine a specific distance measure for time series and a standard clustering method. However,…

The task of clustering unlabeled time series and sequences entails a particular set of challenges, namely to adequately model temporal relations and variable sequence lengths. If these challenges are not properly handled, the resulting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-19 Daniel J. Trosten , Andreas S. Strauman , Michael Kampffmeyer , Robert Jenssen

In this paper, a novel method to perform model-based clustering of time series is proposed. The procedure relies on two iterative steps: (i) K global forecasting models are fitted via pooling by considering the series pertaining to each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Ángel López Oriona , Pablo Montero Manso , José Antonio Vilar Fernández

Subsequence clustering of multivariate time series is a useful tool for discovering repeated patterns in temporal data. Once these patterns have been discovered, seemingly complicated datasets can be interpreted as a temporal sequence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-16 David Hallac , Sagar Vare , Stephen Boyd , Jure Leskovec

Machine learning and in particular deep learning algorithms are the emerging approaches to data analysis. These techniques have transformed traditional data mining-based analysis radically into a learning-based model in which existing data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-17 Neda Tavakoli , Sima Siami-Namini , Mahdi Adl Khanghah , Fahimeh Mirza Soltani , Akbar Siami Namin

Mixture model-based clustering, usually applied to multidimensional data, has become a popular approach in many data analysis problems, both for its good statistical properties and for the simplicity of implementation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Allou Samé , Faicel Chamroukhi , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

This note outlines a method for clustering time series based on a statistical model in which volatility shifts at unobserved change-points. The model accommodates some classical stylized features of returns and its relation to GARCH is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-26 Nick Whiteley

In this paper, we propose a technique for time series clustering using community detection in complex networks. Firstly, we present a method to transform a set of time series into a network using different distance functions, where each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-20 Leonardo N. Ferreira , Liang Zhao

We propose a new unsupervised learning method for clustering a large number of time series based on a latent factor structure. Each cluster is characterized by its own cluster-specific factors in addition to some common factors which impact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-09 Bo Zhang , Guangming Pan , Qiwei Yao , Wang Zhou

A novel unsupervised learning method is proposed in this paper for biclustering large-dimensional matrix-valued time series based on an entirely new latent two-way factor structure. Each block cluster is characterized by its own row and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Yong He , Xiaoyang Ma , Xingheng Wang , Yalin Wang

Many clustering methods, including k-means, require the user to specify the number of clusters as an input parameter. A variety of methods have been devised to choose the number of clusters automatically, but they often rely on strong…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-10 Wei Fu , Patrick O. Perry

Convex clustering is a modern method with both hierarchical and $k$-means clustering characteristics. Although convex clustering can capture complex clustering structures hidden in data, the existing convex clustering algorithms are not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-22 Daniel J. W. Touw , Patrick J. F. Groenen , Yoshikazu Terada
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