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Let $(X_t)_{t = 0 }^{\infty}$ be an irreducible reversible discrete time Markov chain on a finite state space $\Omega $. Denote its transition matrix by $P$. To avoid periodicity issues (and thus ensuring convergence to equilibrium) one…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Jonathan Hermon , Yuval Peres

We investigate the problem of optimal dividend distribution for a company in the presence of regime shifts. We consider a company whose cumulative net revenues evolve as a Brownian motion with positive drift that is modulated by a finite…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-04-20 Zhengjun Jiang , Martijn Pistorius

Let {X_n,n\geq0} be a Markov chain on a general state space X with transition probability P and stationary probability \pi. Suppose an additive component S_n takes values in the real line R and is adjoined to the chain such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Cheng-Der Fuh

We consider continuous-space, discrete-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{R}^d$, that admit a finite number $N$ of metastable states. Our main motivation for investigating these processes is to analyse random Poincar\'e maps, which describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Nils Berglund

In this paper we are concerned with hitting times of a family of density-dependent Markov chains. A moderate deviation principle of the hitting time is given. The proof of the main theorem relies heavily on moderate deviations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Yuheng He , Xiaofeng Xue

We study the time that the simple exclusion process on the complete graph needs to reach equilibrium in terms of total variation distance. For the graph with n vertices and 1<<k<n/2 particles we show that the mixing time is of order…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-14 Hubert Lacoin , Remi Leblond

We consider the Markov random flight $\bold X(t)$ in the Euclidean space $\Bbb R^m, \; m\ge 2,$ starting from the origin $\bold 0\in\Bbb R^m$ that, at Poisson-paced times, changes its direction at random according to arbitrary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-23 Alexander D. Kolesnik

Focusing on hybrid diffusion dynamics involving continuous dynamics as well as discrete events, this article investigates the explicit approximations for nonlinear switching diffusion systems modulated by a Markov chain. Different kinds of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-08 Hongfu Yang , Xiaoyue Li

Motivated by queues with many servers, we study Brownian steady-state approximations for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs). Our approximations are based on diffusion models (rather than a diffusion limit) whose steady-state, we prove,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Itai Gurvich

A finite ergodic Markov chain exhibits cutoff if its distance to equilibrium remains close to its initial value over a certain number of iterations and then abruptly drops to near 0 on a much shorter time scale. Originally discovered in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Justin Salez

We establish existence of Markov chains of mean-field type with unbounded jump intensities by means of a fixed point argument using the Total Variation distance. We further show existence of nearly-optimal controls and, using a Markov chain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-29 Salah Eddine Choutri , Boualem Djehiche , Hamidou Tembine

Assume that one observes the $k$th, $2k$th$,\ldots,nk$th value of a Markov chain $X_{1,h},\ldots,X_{nk,h}$. That means we assume that a high frequency Markov chain runs in the background on a very fine time grid but that it is only observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-17 Valentin Konakov , Enno Mammen , Jeannette Woerner

We show, for a class of discrete Fleming-Viot (or Moran) type particle systems, that the convergence to the equilibrium is exponential for a suitable Wassertein coupling distance. The approach provides an explicit quantitative estimate on…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-29 Bertrand Cloez , Marie-Noémie Thai

We study a large class of reversible Markov chains with discrete state space and transition matrix $P_N$. We define the notion of a set of {\it metastable points} as a subset of the state space $\G_N$ such that (i) this set is reached from…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Bovier , M. Eckhoff , V. Gayrard , M. Klein

We consider importance sampling as well as other properly weighted samples with respect to a target distribution $\pi$ from a different point of view. By considering the associated weights as sojourn times until the next jump, we define…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. Malefaki , G. Iliopoulos

We study random walks on $\mathbb{Z}$ which have a linear (or almost linear) drift towards 0 in a range around 0. This drift leads to a metastable Gaussian distribution centered at zero. We give specific, fast growing, time windows where we…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-18 O. S. Awolude , E. Cator , H. Don

In this paper we discuss weak convergence of continuous-time Markov chains to a non-symmetric pure jump process. We approach this problem using Dirichlet forms as well as semimartingales. As an application, we discuss how to approximate a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-23 Ante Mimica , Nikola Sandrić , René L. Schilling

A fundamental problem of non-equilibrium statistical mechanics is the derivation of macroscopic transport equations in the hydrodynamic limit. The rigorous study of such limits requires detailed information about rates of convergence to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 Alexander Grigo , Konstantin Khanin , Domokos Szasz

We consider a class of stochastic dynamical systems, called piecewise deterministic Markov processes, with states $(x, \s)\in \O\times \G$, $\O$ being a region in $\bbR^d$ or the $d$--dimensional torus, $\G$ being a finite set. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-25 Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli , Marco Ribezzi Crivellari

In this paper we consider the field of local times of a discrete-time Markov chain on a general state space, and obtain uniform (in time) upper bounds on the total variation distance between this field and the one of a sequence of $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Diego F. de Bernardini , Christophe Gallesco , Serguei Popov
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