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Designing effective models for learning time series representations is foundational for time series analysis. Many previous works have explored time series representation modeling approaches and have made progress in this area. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Mingyue Cheng , Jiqian Yang , Tingyue Pan , Qi Liu , Zhi Li

We present a new method for causal discovery in linear structural vector autoregressive models. We adapt an idea designed for independent observations to the case of time series while retaining its favorable properties, i.e., explicit error…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Christoph Schultheiss , Markus Ulmer , Peter Bühlmann

Network-theoretic tools contribute to understanding real-world system dynamics, e.g., in wildlife conservation, epidemics, and power outages. Network visualization helps illustrate structural heterogeneity; however, details about…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-09-28 Kehinde R. Salau , Jacopo A. Baggio , Marco A. Janssen , Joshua K. Abbott , Eli P. Fenichel

Black box variational inference allows researchers to easily prototype and evaluate an array of models. Recent advances allow such algorithms to scale to high dimensions. However, a central question remains: How to specify an expressive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-01 Rajesh Ranganath , Dustin Tran , David M. Blei

Networks have become indispensable and ubiquitous structures in many fields to model the interactions among different entities, such as friendship in social networks or protein interactions in biological graphs. A major challenge is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-26 Abdulkadir Çelikkanat , Nikolaos Nakis , Morten Mørup

We study the problem of graph structure identification, i.e., of recovering the graph of dependencies among time series. We model these time series data as components of the state of linear stochastic networked dynamical systems. We assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-29 Sérgio Machado , Anirudh Sridhar , Paulo Gil , Jorge Henriques , José M. F. Moura , Augusto Santos

Learning causal relationships between variables is a well-studied problem in statistics, with many important applications in science. However, modeling real-world systems remain challenging, as most existing algorithms assume that the…

Dynamic networks models describe temporal interactions between social actors, and as such have been used to describe financial fraudulent transactions, dispersion of destructive invasive species across the globe, and the spread of fake…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-06 Melania Lembo , Ester Riccardi , Veronica Vinciotti , Ernst C. Wit

While the modeling of pair-wise relations has been widely studied in multi-agent interacting systems, its ability to capture higher-level and larger-scale group-wise activities is limited. In this paper, we propose a group-aware relational…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Jiachen Li , Chuanbo Hua , Jinkyoo Park , Hengbo Ma , Victoria Dax , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Graphical models can represent a multivariate distribution in a convenient and accessible form as a graph. Causal models can be viewed as a special class of graphical models that not only represent the distribution of the observed system…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Christina Heinze-Deml , Marloes H. Maathuis , Nicolai Meinshausen

We posit that autoregressive flow models are well-suited to performing a range of causal inference tasks - ranging from causal discovery to making interventional and counterfactual predictions. In particular, we exploit the fact that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-28 Ricardo Pio Monti , Ilyes Khemakhem , Aapo Hyvarinen

We introduce the Overlap-Weighted Hierarchical Normalized Persistence Velocity (OW-HNPV), a novel topological data analysis method for detecting anomalies in time-varying networks. Unlike existing methods that measure cumulative topological…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Omid Khormali

Developing robust and interpretable vision systems is a crucial step towards trustworthy artificial intelligence. In this regard, a promising paradigm considers embedding task-required invariant structures, e.g., geometric invariance, in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Shuren Qi , Yushu Zhang , Chao Wang , Zhihua Xia , Xiaochun Cao , Jian Weng

Biological networks are pivotal in deciphering the complexity and functionality of biological systems. Causal inference, which focuses on determining the directionality and strength of interactions between variables rather than merely…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-05 Hongyang Jiang , Yuezhu Wang , Ke Feng , Chaoyi Yin , Yi Chang , Huiyan Sun

Causal models seek to unravel the cause-effect relationships among variables from observed data, as opposed to mere mappings among them, as traditional regression models do. This paper introduces a novel causal discovery algorithm designed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Saeed Mohseni-Sehdeh , Walid Saad

A causal vector autoregressive (CVAR) model is introduced for weakly stationary multivariate processes, combining a recursive directed graphical model for the contemporaneous components and a vector autoregressive model longitudinally.…

Causal Bayesian networks are 'causal' models since they make predictions about interventional distributions. To connect such causal model predictions to real-world outcomes, we must determine which actions in the world correspond to which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-04 Frederik Hytting Jørgensen , Luigi Gresele , Sebastian Weichwald

Many large, real-world complex networks have rich community structure that a network scientist seeks to understand. These communities may overlap or have intricate internal structure. Extracting communities with particular topological…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-20 Christine Klymko , Geoffrey Sanders

Causal inference has traditionally focused on interventions at the unit level. In many applications, however, the central question concerns the causal effects of connections between units, such as transportation links, social relationships,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Shuli Chen , Jie Hu , Zhichao Jiang

Hierarchical organization -- the recursive composition of sub-modules -- is ubiquitous in biological networks, including neural, metabolic, ecological, and genetic regulatory networks, and in human-made systems, such as large organizations…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Henok Mengistu , Joost Huizinga , Jean-Baptiste Mouret , Jeff Clune