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Uncertainty quantification is a key pillar of trustworthy machine learning. It enables safe reactions under unsafe inputs, like predicting only when the machine learning model detects sufficient evidence, discarding anomalous data, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Michael Kirchhof

This work presents a converged framework of Machine-Learning Assisted Turbulence Modeling (MLATM). Our objective is to develop a turbulence model directly learning from high fidelity data (DNS/LES) with eddy-viscosity hypothesis induced.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-07-09 Weishuo Liu , Jian Fang , Stefano Rolfo , Lipeng Lu

In recent years, machine learning methods represented by deep neural networks (DNN) have been a new paradigm of turbulence modeling. However, in the scenario of high Reynolds numbers, there are still some bottlenecks, including the lack of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-02 Z. Y. Wang , W. W. Zhang

We present a data-driven approach to Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes turbulence closure modelling in magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) flows. In these flows the magnetic field interacting with the conductive fluid induces unconventional turbulence…

Efficient tools for predicting the drag of rough walls in turbulent flows would have a tremendous impact. However, methods for drag prediction rely on experiments or numerical simulations which are costly and time-consuming. Data-driven…

This paper presents a neural network-based turbulence modeling approach for transonic flows based on the ensemble Kalman method. The approach adopts a tensor basis neural network for the Reynolds stress representation, with modified inputs…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-05-12 Yi Liu , Xin-Lei Zhang , Guowei He

OOD detection has become more pertinent with advances in network design and increased task complexity. Identifying which parts of the data a given network is misclassifying has become as valuable as the network's overall performance. We can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Rishi Singhal , Srinath Srinivasan

Aerospace design is increasingly incorporating Design Under Uncertainty based approaches to lead to more robust and reliable optimal designs. These approaches require dependable estimates of uncertainty in simulations for their success. The…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-02-28 Marcel Matha , Christian Morsbach

Trustworthiness in neural networks is crucial for their deployment in critical applications, where reliability, confidence, and uncertainty play pivotal roles in decision-making. Traditional performance metrics such as accuracy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Koffi Ismael Ouattara , Ioannis Krontiris , Theo Dimitrakos , Frank Kargl

In this study, ensembles of experimental data are presented and utilized to compare and validate two models used in the simulation of variable density, compressible turbulent mixing. Though models of this kind (Reynolds Averaged Navier…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-03-07 Benjamin Musci , Britton Olson , Samuel Petter , Gokul Pathikonda , Devesh Ranjan

Data-driven model identification strategies can be used to obtain phenomenological models that capture the temporal evolution of observable data. While it is usually straightforward to obtain such a model from time series data, for instance…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Mohamed Akrout , Dan Wilson

Experimental mean flows are commonly used to study wall-bounded turbulence. However, these measurements are often unable to resolve the near-wall region and thus introduce ambiguity in the velocity closest to the wall. This poses a source…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-04 Salvador Rey Gomez , Tomek Jaroslawski

This paper presents a novel CFD-driven machine learning framework to develop Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) models. The CFD-driven training is an extension of the gene expression programming method (Weatheritt and Sandberg, 2016),…

The use of Deep Neural Network (DNN) models in risk-based decision-making has attracted extensive attention with broad applications in medical, finance, manufacturing, and quality control. To mitigate prediction-related risks in decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-11 Maryam Kheirandish , Shengfan Zhang , Donald G. Catanzaro , Valeriu Crudu

This paper introduces a novel approach to quantify the uncertainties in fault diagnosis of motor drives using Bayesian neural networks (BNN). Conventional data-driven approaches used for fault diagnosis often rely on point-estimate neural…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-16 Subham Sahoo , Huai Wang , Frede Blaabjerg

Predictive simulation of many complex flows requires moving beyond Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) based models to representations resolving at least some scales of turbulence in at least some regions of the flow. To resolve…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-12-11 Sigfried Haering , Todd A. Oliver , Robert D. Moser

The statistics obtained from turbulent flow simulations are generally uncertain due to finite time averaging. The techniques available in the literature to accurately estimate these uncertainties typically only work in an offline mode, that…

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential in probabilistic machine learning models, particularly for assessing the reliability of predictions. In this paper, we present a systematic framework for estimating both epistemic and aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-11 Marzieh Ajirak , Anand Ravishankar , Petar M. Djuric

Researchers have proposed several approaches for neural network (NN) based uncertainty quantification (UQ). However, most of the approaches are developed considering strong assumptions. Uncertainty quantification algorithms often perform…

Standard eddy viscosity models, while robust, cannot represent backscatter and have severe difficulties with complex turbulence not at statistical equilibrium. This report gives a new derivation of eddy viscosity models from an equation for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-05 Nan Jiang , William Layton