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This paper examines the performance of Random Forest models in forecasting short-term monthly inflation in Argentina, based on a database of monthly indicators since 1962. It is found that these models achieve forecast accuracy that is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-03 Federico Daniel Forte

Understanding differences between sub-stellar spectral data and models has proven to be a major challenge, especially for self-consistent model grids that are necessary for a thorough investigation of brown dwarf atmospheres. Using the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-07 Anna Lueber , Daniel Kitzmann , Chloe E. Fisher , Brendan P. Bowler , Adam J. Burgasser , Mark Marley , Kevin Heng

In this paper an approach based on expectation maximization (EM) clustering to find the climate regions and a support vector machine to build a predictive model for each of these regions is proposed. To minimize the biases in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-24 Naresh Kumar Mallenahalli

We introduce a method for decomposition of trend, cycle and seasonal components in spatio-temporal models and apply it to investigate the existence of climate changes in temperature and rainfall series. The method incorporates critical…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Marcio Poletti Laurini

Urban heat islands, defined as specific zones exhibiting substantially higher temperatures than their immediate environs, pose significant threats to environmental sustainability and public health. This study introduces a novel…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Lorenzo Innocenti , Giacomo Blanco , Luca Barco , Claudio Rossi

Since model bias and associated initialization shock are serious shortcomings that reduce prediction skills in state-of-the-art decadal climate prediction efforts, we pursue a complementary machine-learning-based approach to climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Xihaier Luo , Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Yihui Ren , Ji Hwan Park , Wei Xu , Shinjae Yoo

Seasonal climate forecasts are commonly based on model runs from fully coupled forecasting systems that use Earth system models to represent interactions between the atmosphere, ocean, land and other Earth-system components. Recently,…

In this work, ML models were used to predict the plasma temperature using the dataset obtained by implementing the CR-model for Na-like Krypton. The models included in the study are: Linear Regression, Lasso Regression, Support Vector…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-05-05 Ashwini Malviya

Historical observations of severe weather and simulated severe weather environments (i.e., features) from the Global Ensemble Forecast System v12 (GEFSv12) Reforecast Dataset (GEFS/R) are used in conjunction to train and test random forest…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-19 Aaron J. Hill , Russ S. Schumacher , Israel Jirak

Climate change projections for boreal winter precipitation in Tropical America has beenaddressed by statistical downscaling (SD) using the principal component regression with sea-level pressure (SLP) as the predictor variable. The SD model…

The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a public health problem once according to the World Health Organization up to June 10th, 2020, more than 7.1 million people were infected, and more than 400 thousand have died worldwide. In the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-22 Ramon Gomes da Silva , Matheus Henrique Dal Molin Ribeiro , Viviana Cocco Mariani , Leandro dos Santos Coelho

Multi-year-to-decadal climate prediction is a key tool in understanding the range of potential regional and global climate futures. Here, we present a framework that combines machine learning and analog forecasting for predictions on these…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-26 M. A. Fernandez , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Determining changes in global temperature and precipitation that may indicate climate change is complicated by annual variations. One approach for finding potential climate change indicators is to train a model that predicts the year from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-09 Charles Anderson , Jason Stock

The midlatitude climate and weather are shaped by storms, yet the factors governing their predictability remain insufficiently understood. Here, we use a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to predict and quantify uncertainty in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Wuqiushi Yao , Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

We propose a new statistical reduced complexity climate model. The centerpiece of the model consists of a set of physical equations for the global climate system which we show how to cast in non-linear state space form. The parameters in…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-08 Mikkel Bennedsen , Eric Hillebrand , Siem Jan Koopman

Supervised machine learning models and public surveillance data has been employed for infectious disease forecasting in many settings. These models leverage various data sources capturing drivers of disease spread, such as climate…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-20 Luiza Lober , Kirstin O. Roster , Francisco A. Rodrigues

It is important to calculate and analyze temperature and humidity prediction accuracies among quantitative meteorological forecasting. This study manipulates the extant neural network methods to foster the predictive accuracy. To achieve…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-26 Ki Hong Shin , Jae Won Jung , Sung Kyu Seo , Cheol Hwan You , Dong In Lee , Jisun Lee , Ki Ho Chang , Woon Seon Jung , Kyungsik Kim

In 2020, Brazil was the leading country in COVID-19 cases in Latin America, and capital cities were the most severely affected by the outbreak. Climates vary in Brazil due to the territorial extension of the country, its relief, geography,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Tiago Tiburcio da Silva , Rodrigo Francisquini , Mariá C. V. Nascimento

Multiple studies have now demonstrated that machine learning (ML) can give improved skill for predicting or simulating fairly typical weather events, for tasks such as short-term and seasonal weather forecasting, downscaling simulations to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-30 Peter AG Watson

Many machine learning (ML) approaches are widely used to generate bioclimatic models for prediction of geographic range of organism as a function of climate. Applications such as prediction of range shift in organism, range of invasive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-13 Maumita Bhattacharya