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Research in neural networks in the field of computer vision has achieved remarkable accuracy for point estimation. However, the uncertainty in the estimation is rarely addressed. Uncertainty quantification accompanied by point estimation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Min-hwan Oh , Peder A. Olsen , Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy

Researchers have proposed several approaches for neural network (NN) based uncertainty quantification (UQ). However, most of the approaches are developed considering strong assumptions. Uncertainty quantification algorithms often perform…

Optical-model potentials (OMPs) continue to play a key role in nuclear reaction calculations. However, the uncertainty of phenomenological OMPs in widespread use -- inherent to any parametric model trained on data -- has not been fully…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-01-06 C. D. Pruitt , J. E. Escher , R. Rahman

Representing and quantifying uncertainty in physical parameterisations is a central challenge in weather and climate modelling, and approaches are often developed separately for different timescales. Here, we introduce a unified framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Laura A. Mansfield , Hannah M. Christensen

Photoplethysmography (PPG) is a widely adopted, non-invasive technique for monitoring cardiovascular health and physiological parameters in both consumer and clinical settings. While motion artifacts in dynamic environments have been…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Manh Pham Hung , Matthew Yiwen Ho , Yiming Zhang , Dimitris Spathis , Aaqib Saeed , Dong Ma

Neural network (NN) interatomic potentials provide fast prediction of potential energy surfaces, closely matching the accuracy of the electronic structure methods used to produce the training data. However, NN predictions are only reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Daniel Schwalbe-Koda , Aik Rui Tan , Rafael Gómez-Bombarelli

Uncertainty quantification is a key aspect in many tasks such as model selection/regularization, or quantifying prediction uncertainties to perform active learning or OOD detection. Within credal approaches that consider modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Tuan-Anh Vu , Sébastien Destercke , Frédéric Pichon

Wearable devices enable theoretically continuous, longitudinal monitoring of physiological measurements like step count, energy expenditure, and heart rate. Although the classification of abnormal cardiac rhythms such as atrial fibrillation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-28 Jessica Torres Soto , Euan Ashley

Estimating predictive uncertainty is crucial for many computer vision tasks, from image classification to autonomous driving systems. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an sampling method for performing Bayesian inference. On the other hand,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Diego Vergara , Sergio Hernández , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Felipe Jorquera

In this paper, we approach the problem of uncertainty quantification in deep learning through a predictive framework, which captures uncertainty in model parameters by specifying our assumptions about the predictive distribution of unseen…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-20 Luhuan Wu , Sinead Williamson

Classifiers based on neural networks (NN) often lack a measure of uncertainty in the predicted class. We propose a method to estimate the probability mass function (PMF) of the different classes, as well as the covariance of the estimated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Magnus Malmström , Isaac Skog , Daniel Axehill , Fredrik Gustafsson

Countless research works of deep neural networks (DNNs) in the task of credit card fraud detection have focused on improving the accuracy of point predictions and mitigating unwanted biases by building different network architectures or…

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) enable atomistic simulations with near first-principles accuracy at substantially reduced computational cost, making them powerful tools for large-scale materials modeling. The accuracy of…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-08-11 Yonatan Kurniawan , Mingjian Wen , Ellad B. Tadmor , Mark K. Transtrum

Machine learning models have emerged as a very effective strategy to sidestep time-consuming electronic-structure calculations, enabling accurate simulations of greater size, time scale and complexity. Given the interpolative nature of…

Proper quantification of predictive uncertainty is essential for the use of machine learning in safety-critical applications. Various uncertainty measures have been proposed for this purpose, typically claiming superiority over other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

As AI-generated images become increasingly photorealistic, distinguishing them from natural images poses a growing challenge. This paper presents a robust detection framework that leverages multiple uncertainty measures to decide whether to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Rahul Yumlembam , Biju Issac , Nauman Aslam , Eaby Kollonoor Babu , Josh Collyer , Fraser Kennedy

Emerging deep-learning (DL)-based techniques have significant potential to revolutionize biomedical imaging. However, one outstanding challenge is the lack of reliability assessment in the DL predictions, whose errors are commonly revealed…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-07 Yujia Xue , Shiyi Cheng , Yunzhe Li , Lei Tian

Recent studies showed that Photoplethysmography (PPG) sensors embedded in wearable devices can estimate heart rate (HR) with high accuracy. However, despite of prior research efforts, applying PPG sensor based HR estimation to embedded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Yuntong Zhang , Jingye Xu , Mimi Xie , Wei Wang , Keying Ye , Jing Wang , Dakai Zhu

A model's ability to express its own predictive uncertainty is an essential attribute for maintaining clinical user confidence as computational biomarkers are deployed into real-world medical settings. In the domain of cancer digital…

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia and associated with a high risk for serious conditions like stroke. The use of wearable devices embedded with automatic and timely AF assessment from electrocardiograms (ECGs)…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Leonie Basso , Zhao Ren , Wolfgang Nejdl
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