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Recent advances in machine learning such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models and Transformers have been widely adopted in hydrological applications, demonstrating impressive performance amongst deep learning models and outperforming…

Forecasting electricity demand plays a critical role in ensuring reliable and cost-efficient operation of the electricity supply. With the global transition to distributed renewable energy sources and the electrification of heating and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Konstantin Hopf , Hannah Hartstang , Thorsten Staake

Time series forecasting is a fundamental task emerging from diverse data-driven applications. Many advanced autoregressive methods such as ARIMA were used to develop forecasting models. Recently, deep learning based methods such as DeepAr,…

Time series forecasting is a critical and practical problem in many real-world applications, especially for industrial scenarios, where load forecasting underpins the intelligent operation of modern systems like clouds, power grids and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Shaoyuan Huang , Tiancheng Zhang , Zhongtian Zhang , Xiaofei Wang , Lanjun Wang , Xin Wang

Meter-level load forecasting is crucial for efficient energy management and power system planning for Smart Grids (SGs), in tasks associated with regulation, dispatching, scheduling, and unit commitment of power grids. Although a variety of…

Accurate forecasting of renewable energy generation is fundamental to enhancing the dynamic performance of modern power grids, especially under high renewable penetration. This paper presents Channel-Time Patch Time-Series Transformer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Kuan Lu , Menghao Huo , Yuxiao Li , Qiang Zhu , Zhenrui Chen

Rapid progress in machine learning and deep learning has enabled a wide range of applications in the electricity load forecasting of power systems, for instance, univariate and multivariate short-term load forecasting. Though the strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Yuqi Jiang , Yan Li , Yize Chen

Accurate electrical load forecasting is of great importance for the efficient operation and control of modern power systems. In this work, a hybrid long short-term memory (LSTM)-based model with online correction is developed for day-ahead…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-07 Nan Lu , Quan Ouyang , Yang Li , Changfu Zou

As the energy landscape changes quickly, grid operators face several challenges, especially when integrating renewable energy sources with the grid. The most important challenge is to balance supply and demand because the solar and wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Kamal Sarkar

An intrinsic time-scale decomposition (ITD) based method for power transformer fault diagnosis is proposed. Dissolved gas analysis (DGA) parameters are ranked according to their skewness, and then ITD based features extraction is performed.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-25 Shoaib Meraj Sami , Mohammed Imamul Hassan Bhuiyan

In the context of increasing demands for long-term multi-energy load forecasting in real-world applications, this paper introduces Patchformer, a novel model that integrates patch embedding with encoder-decoder Transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Qiuyi Hong , Fanlin Meng , Felipe Maldonado

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

Accurate forecasting of electrical demand is essential for maintaining a stable and reliable power grid, optimizing the allocation of energy resources, and promoting efficient energy consumption practices. This study investigates the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Tugrul Cabir Hakyemez , Omer Adar

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

While the space of renewable energy forecasting has received significant attention in the last decade, literature has primarily focused on machine learning models that train on only one objective at a time. A host of classification (and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Aswin Kannan

Energy system models require a large amount of technical and economic data, the quality of which significantly influences the reliability of the results. Some of the variables on the important data source ENTSO-E transparency platform, such…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-23 Thomas Möbius , Mira Watermeyer , Oliver Grothe , Felix Müsgens

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) plays a critical role in power system operation and market decision making. While existing review studies have provided valuable insights into forecasting horizons, market mechanisms, and evaluation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-13 Runyao Yu , Derek W. Bunn , Julia Lin , Jochen Stiasny , Fabian Leimgruber , Tara Esterl , Yuchen Tao , Lianlian Qi , Yujie Chen , Wentao Wang , Jochen L. Cremer

This paper presents the real-world smart-meter dataset and offers an analysis of solutions derived from the Energy Prediction Technical Challenges, focusing primarily on two key competitions: the IEEE Computational Intelligence Society…

Power transformers are subjected to electrical currents and temperature fluctuations that, if not properly controlled, can lead to major deterioration of their insulation system. Therefore, monitoring the temperature of a power transformer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Francis Tembo , Federica Bragone , Tor Laneryd , Matthieu Barreau , Kateryna Morozovska

Net load forecasting is crucial for energy planning and facilitating informed decision-making regarding trade and load distributions. However, evaluating forecasting models' performance against benchmark models remains challenging, thereby…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Kaustav Bhattacharjee , Soumya Kundu , Indrasis Chakraborty , Aritra Dasgupta