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Related papers: Risk theory in a finite customer-pool setting

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In this paper, we study finite-time ruin probabilities for the compound Markov binomial risk model - a discrete-time model where claim sizes are modulated by a finite-state ergodic Markov chain. In the classic (non-modulated) case, the risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-23 Zbigniew Palmowski , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

The ruin probability in the classical Brownian risk model can be explicitly calculated for both finite and infinite-time horizon. This is not the case for the simultaneous ruin probability in two-dimensional Brownian risk model. Resorting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Zbigniew Michna

Random shifting typically appears in credibility models whereas random scaling is often encountered in stochastic models for claim sizes reflecting the time-value property of money. In this article we discuss some aspects of random shifting…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-08 Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

The Laplace transform is a widely used tool in the study of probability distributions, often allowing for a probability density functions and distribution functions simpler determination and being a moments generating function. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-29 Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira

Numerical evaluation of ruin probabilities in the classical risk model is an important problem. If claim sizes are heavy-tailed, then such evaluations are challenging. To overcome this, an attractive way is to approximate the claim sizes…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-25 Eleni Vatamidou , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

We deal with a generalization of the classical risk model when an insurance company gets additional funds whenever a claim arrives and consider some practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability. In particular, we get an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yuliya Mishura , Olena Ragulina , Oleksandr Stroyev

Insurance data can be asymmetric with heavy tails, causing inadequate adjustments of the usually applied models. To deal with this issue, hierarchical models for collective risk with heavy-tails of the claims distributions that take also…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Pamela M. Chiroque-Solano , Fernando A. S. Moura

We consider the optimal risk transfer from an insurance company to a reinsurer. The problem formulation considered in this paper is closely connected to the optimal portfolio problem in finance, with some crucial distinctions. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Benjamin Avanzi , Hayden Lau , Mogens Steffensen

We study stochastic tree fluid networks driven by a multidimensional Levy process. We are interested in (the joint distribution of) the steady-state content in each of the buffers, the busy periods, and the idle periods. To investigate…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-06 K. Debicki , A. B. Dieker , T. Rolski

A quadratic discrete time probabilistic model, for optimal portfolio selection in (re-)insurance is studied. For positive values of underwriting levels, the expected value of the accumulated result is optimized, under constraints on its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Erik Taflin

We explicitly find the rate of exponential long-term convergence for the ruin probability in a level-dependent L\'evy-driven risk model, as time goes to infinity. Siegmund duality allows to reduce the pro blem to long-term convergence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Pierre-Olivier Goffard , Andrey Sarantsev

In this paper we study a spectrally negative L\'evy process which is refracted at its running maximum and at the same time reflected from below at a certain level. Such a process can for instance be used to model an insurance surplus…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-07 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

Important models in insurance, for example the Carm{\'e}r--Lundberg theory and the Sparre Andersen model, essentially rely on the Poisson process. The process is used to model arrival times of insurance claims. This paper extends the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Arun Kumar , Nikolai Leonenko , Alois Pichler

We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company combines the life- and non-life insurance businesses and invests its reserve into a risky asset with stochastic volatility and drift driven by a two-state Markov process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-10 Anastasiya Ellanskaya , Yuri Kabanov

We obtain the distribution of the maximal average in a sequence of independent identically distributed exponential random variables. Surprisingly enough, it turns out that the inverse distribution admits a simple closed form. An application…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Dimitris Cheliotis , Nickos Papadatos

We develop a class of non-life reserving models using a stable-1/2 random bridge to simulate the accumulation of paid claims, allowing for an essentially arbitrary choice of a priori distribution for the ultimate loss. Taking an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Edward Hoyle , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

In this article we consider the surplus process of an insurance company within the Cramer-Lundberg framework. We study the optimal reinsurance strategy and dividend distribution of an insurance company under proportional reinsurance, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Zakaria Aljaberi , Asma Khedher , Mohamed Mnif

The event of large losses plays an important role in credit risk. As these large losses are typically rare, and portfolios usually consist of a large number of positions, large deviation theory is the natural tool to analyze the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Vincent Leijdekker , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

This paper discusses Parisian ruin problem with capital injection for Levy insurance risk process. Capital injection takes place at the draw-down time of the surplus process when it drops below a pre-specified function of its last record…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-20 Budhi Surya , Wenyuan Wang , Xianghua Zhao , Xiaowen Zhou

A discrete time probabilistic model, for optimal equity allocation and portfolio selection, is formulated so as to apply to (at least) reinsurance. In the context of a company with several portfolios (or subsidiaries), representing both…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erik Taflin