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We consider a particle system in continuous time, discrete population, with spatial motion and nonlocal branching. The offspring's weights and their number may depend on the mother's weight. Our setting captures, for instance, the processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Bertrand Cloez

In this paper, we are interested in linear prediction of a particular kind of stochastic process, namely a marked temporal point process. The observations are event times recorded on the real line, with marks attached to each event. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-18 Maximilian Aigner , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

In this paper we establish a weak and a strong law of large numbers for supercritical superprocesses with general non-local branching mechanisms. Our results complement earlier results obtained for superprocesses with only local branching.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-10 Sandra Palau , Ting Yang

We construct a flow of continuous time and discrete state branching processes. Some scaling limit theorems for the flow are proved, which lead to the path-valued branching processes and nonlocal branching superprocesses over the positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-13 Hui He , Rugang Ma

The paper concerns itself with establishing large deviation principles for a sequence of stochastic integrals and stochastic differential equations driven by general semimartingales in infinite-dimensional settings. The class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Arnab Ganguly

We study the problem of exponential mixing and large deviations for discrete-time Markov processes associated with a class of random dynamical systems. Under some dissipativity and regularisation hypotheses for the underlying deterministic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-10-24 Vojkan Jaksic , Vahagn Nersesyan , Claude-Alain Pillet , Armen Shirikyan

The law of large numbers for the empirical density for the pairs of uniformly distributed integers with a given greatest common divisor is a classic result in number theory. In this paper, we study the large deviations of the empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-07 Behzad Mehrdad , Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper, we establish a large deviations principle for a multivariate compound process induced by a multivariate Hawkes process with random marks. Our proof hinges on showing essential smoothness of the limiting cumulant of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-29 Raviar S. Karim , Roger J. A. Laeven , Michel R. H. Mandjes

This paper introduces the Neural Network for Nonlinear Hawkes processes (NNNH), a non-parametric method based on neural networks to fit nonlinear Hawkes processes. Our method is suitable for analyzing large datasets in which events exhibit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-07 Sobin Joseph , Shashi Jain

We generalize multivariate Hawkes processes mainly by including a dependence with respect to the age of the process, i.e. the delay since the last point. Within this class, we investigate the limit behaviour, when n goes to infinity, of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Julien Chevallier

We prove a sharp large deviation principle concerning intervals shrinking with sub-exponential speed for certain models involving the Poincar\'e map related to a Markov family for an Axiom A flow restricted to a basic set $\Lambda$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Vesselin Petkov , Luchezar Stoyanov

We consider a collection of weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale locally periodic environment. We study the large deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Zachary Bezemek , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We prove a scaling limit theorem for discrete Galton-Watson processes in varying environments. A simple sufficient condition for the weak convergence in the Skorokhod space is given in terms of probability generating functions. The limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Fang Rongjuan , Li Zenghu , Liu Jiawei

Properties of strong mixing have been established for the stationary linear Hawkes process in the univariate case, and can serve as a basis for statistical applications. In this paper, we provide the technical arguments needed to extend the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Ousmane Boly , Felix Cheysson , Thi Hien Nguyen

This study explores the application of Hawkes processes to model high-frequency data in the context of limit order books. Two distinct Hawkes-based models are proposed and analyzed: one utilizing exponential kernels and the other employing…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Neal Batra

When the limiting compensator of a sequence of martingales is continuous, we obtain a weak convergence theorem for the martingales; the limiting process can be written as a Brownian motion evaluated at the compensator and we find sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Bruno Rémillard , Jean Vaillancourt

Let $(X_{k})_{k \in \mathbb Z }$ be a linear process with values in a separable Hilbert space $\mathbb{H}$ given by $X_{k} =\sum_{j=0}^{\infty} (j+1)^{-N}\varepsilon_{k-j}$ for each $k \in \mathbb Z$, where $N:\mathbb{H} \to \mathbb{H}$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Marie-Christine Düker

An extension of the Hawkes process, the Marked Hawkes process distinguishes itself by featuring variable jump size across each event, in contrast to the constant jump size observed in a Hawkes process without marks. While extensive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Sobin Joseph , Shashi Jain

In this paper we consider the Lagrangian Averaged Navier-Stokes Equations, also known as, LANS-$\alpha$ Navier-Stokes model on the two dimensional torus. We assume that the noise is a cylindrical Wiener process and its coefficient is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-07-27 Z. I. Ali , P. A. Razafimandimby , T. A. Tegegn

In this paper, we develop sample path large deviations for multivariate Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed mutual excitation rates. Our results address a broad class of rare events in Hawkes processes at the sample path level and, via the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Xingyu Wang , Bert Zwart
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