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Structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables. The causal structure underlying each such model is naturally represented by a directed graph whose edges indicate for each variable which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-15 David Strieder , Tobias Freidling , Stefan Haffner , Mathias Drton

Identifiability is a necessary condition for successful parameter estimation of dynamic system models. A major component of identifiability analysis is determining the identifiable parameter combinations, the functional forms for the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-10-07 Marisa C. Eisenberg , Michael A. L. Hayashi

In this project, identifiability, observability and uncertainty properties of the deterministic and Chain Binomial stochastic SIR, SEIR and SEIAR epidemiological models are studied. Techniques for modeling overdispersion are investigated…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-29 Jonas Hjulstad

Datasets encountered in scientific and engineering applications appear in complex formats (e.g., images, multivariate time series, molecules, video, text strings, networks). Graph theory provides a unifying framework to model such datasets…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2025-01-09 David L Cole , Victor M Zavala

Identifiability is a structural property of any ODE model characterized by a set of unknown parameters. It describes the possibility of determining the values of these parameters from fusing the observations of the system inputs and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Agostino Martinelli

Using the mathematical framework of information geometry, we introduce a novel method which allows one to efficiently determine the exact shape of simultaneous confidence regions for non-linearly parametrised models. Furthermore, we show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Rafael Arutjunjan , Bjoern Malte Schaefer , Clemens Kreutz

Causal inference in observational panel data has become a central concern in economics,policy analysis,and the broader social sciences.To address the core contradiction where traditional difference-in-differences (DID) struggles with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Yile Yu , Anzhi Xu , Yi Wang

We present EPITIME (EPidemic Integral models TIMe profile Explorer), a computational framework for the simulation of two classes of integral epidemic models: an age of infection model and an information dependent behavioural model. The…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-04 Bruno Buonomo , Eleonora Messina , Claudia Panico , Mario Pezzella , Gaetano Zanghirati

Recovering the structure of causal graphical models from observational data is an essential yet challenging task for causal discovery in scientific scenarios. Domain-specific causal discovery usually relies on expert validation or prior…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Taiyu Ban , Lyuzhou Chen , Derui Lyu , Xiangyu Wang , Qinrui Zhu , Qiang Tu , Huanhuan Chen

We developed a novel approach to identification and model testing in linear structural equation models (SEMs) based on auxiliary variables (AVs), which generalizes a widely-used family of methods known as instrumental variables. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-09 Bryant Chen , Daniel Kumor , Elias Bareinboim

In this paper, we introduce a new identifiability criteria for linear structural equation models, which we call regression identifiability. We provide necessary and sufficient graphical conditions for a directed edge to be regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Bohao Yao , Robin J. Evans

Linear compartmental models are a widely used tool for analyzing systems arising in biology, medicine, and more. In such settings, it is essential to know whether model parameters can be recovered from experimental data. This is the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Katherine Clemens , Jonathan Martinez , Anne Shiu , Michaela Thompson , Benjamin Warren

This paper studies causal discovery in irregularly sampled time series-a key challenge in risk-sensitive domains like finance, healthcare, and climate science, where missing data and inconsistent sampling frequencies distort causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Weihong Li , Baohong Li , Anpeng Wu , Zhihan Li , Ming Ma , Keting Yin , Kun Kuang

The Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model is the canonical model of epidemics of infections that make people immune upon recovery. Many of the open questions in computational epidemiology concern the underlying contact structure's…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-09 Petter Holme

In this review, we recall the concepts of Identifiability and Observability of dynamical systems, and analyse them in the framework of Mathematical Epidemiology. We show that, even for simple and well known models of the literature, these…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Nik Cunniffe , Frédéric Hamelin , Abderrahman Iggidr , Alain Rapaport , Gauthier Sallet

Recovering a unique causal graph from observational data is an ill-posed problem because multiple generating mechanisms can lead to the same observational distribution. This problem becomes solvable only by exploiting specific structural or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Ameya Rathod , Sujay Belsare , Salvik Krishna Nautiyal , Dhruv Laad , Ponnurangam Kumaraguru

InvertibleNetworks.jl is a Julia package designed for the scalable implementation of normalizing flows, a method for density estimation and sampling in high-dimensional distributions. This package excels in memory efficiency by leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Rafael Orozco , Philipp Witte , Mathias Louboutin , Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Bas Peters , Felix J. Herrmann

Structural identifiability is an important property of parametric ODE models. When conducting an experiment and inferring the parameter value from the time-series data, we want to know if the value is globally, locally, or non-identifiable.…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Natali Gogishvili

Given experimental data, one of the main objectives of biological modeling is to construct a model which best represents the real world phenomena. In some cases, there could be multiple distinct models exhibiting the exact same dynamics,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Cashous Bortner , John Gilliana , Dev Patel , Zaia Tamras

Causal identification of treatment effects for infectious disease outcomes in interconnected populations is challenging because infection outcomes may be transmissible to others, and treatment given to one individual may affect others'…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Xiaoxuan Cai , Eben Kenah , Forrest W. Crawford