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In this paper, the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares (CLS) estimators of the offspring means $(\alpha,\beta)$ and of the criticality parameter $\varrho:=\alpha+\beta$ for a $2$-type critical doubly symmetric positively…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Márton Ispány , Kristóf Körmendi , Gyula Pap

In this somewhat didactic note we give a detailed alternative proof of the known result due to Wei and Winnicki (1989) which states that under second order moment assumptions on the offspring and immigration distributions the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Matyas Barczy , Dániel Bezdány , Gyula Pap

In this paper, we study precise deviations including precise large deviations and moderate deviations for discrete marked Hawkes processes for large time asymptotics by using mod-$\phi$ convergence theory.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Yingli Wang , Ping He

Given a super-critical Galton-Watson process $\{Z_n\}$ and a positive sequence $\{\epsilon_n\}$, we study the limiting behaviors of $P(S_{Z_n}/Z_n\geq\epsilon_n)$ and $P(S_{Z_n}/m^n\geq\epsilon_n) $ with sums $S_{n}$ of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Hui He

The large deviation principle in the small noise limit is derived for solutions of possibly degenerate It\^o stochastic differential equations with predictable coefficients, which may depend also on the large deviation parameter. The result…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-06 Alberto Chiarini , Markus Fischer

The problem of (pathwise) large deviations for conditionally continuous Gaussian processes is investigated. The theory of large deviations for Gaussian processes is extended to the wider class of random processes -- the conditionally…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Barbara Pacchiarotti , Alessandro Pigliacelli

Consider the critical Galton-Watson branching system with infinite variance of the offspring law. We provide an alternative arguments against what Slack~{\cite{Slack68}} did when it seeked for a local expression in the neighborhood of point…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-27 Azam A. Imomov

Looptrees have recently arisen in the study of critical percolation on the uniform infinite planar triangulation. Here we consider random infinite looptrees defined as the local limit of the looptree associated with a critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Jakob E. Björnberg , Sigurdur Örn Stefánsson

We are interested in the asymptotic behavior of critical Galton-Watson trees whose offspring distribution may have infinite variance, which are conditioned on having a large fixed number of leaves. We first find an asymptotic estimate for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-14 Igor Kortchemski

In this paper we study the genealogical structure of a Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations, where the initial population is large and mutation rate is small \cite{B2}. Namely, we extend in two directions the results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Airam Blancas Benítez , Víctor Rivero

We define a model of Galton Watson processes in dynamical environments where the environment evolves according to a dynamical system (X, T). Three behaviours are possible: uniformly subcritical, critical, and uniformly supercritical. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Thomas Morand

We consider the extinction events of Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. In particular, we construct truncated and augmented Galton-Watson processes with finite but increasing sets of types. A pathwise approach is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Peter Braunsteins , Geoffrey Decrouez , Sophie Hautphenne

Reinforced Galton--Watson processes describe the dynamics of a population where reproduction events are reinforced, in the sense that offspring numbers of forebears can be repeated randomly by descendants. More specifically, the evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

We present two iterative methods for computing the global and partial extinction probability vectors for Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. The probabilistic interpretation of these methods involves truncated…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Sophie Hautphenne , Guy Latouche , Giang Nguyen

We investigate Galton--Watson processes in varying environment, for which $\bar f_n \uparrow 1$ and $\sum_{n=1}^\infty (1-\bar f_n) = \infty$, where $\bar f_n$ stands for the offspring mean in generation $n$. Since the process dies out…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-27 Péter Kevei , Kata Kubatovics

Branching Processes in Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z_n:n\geq0)$ are the generalization of Galton-Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. In the supercritical case, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-17 Vincent Bansaye , Christian Boeinghoff

We consider a (sub) critical Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations (infinite alleles model), and decompose the entire population into clusters of individuals carrying the same allele. We specify the law of this allelic partition in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-28 Jean Bertoin

In this paper, we study a Galton-Watson process $(Z_n)$ with infinitely many types in a random ergodic environment $\bar{\xi}=(\xi_n)_{n\geq 0}$. We focus on the supercritical regime of the process, where the quenched average of the size of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Maxime Ligonnière

We show the existance of the stationary distributions of subcritical multitype Galton-Watson processes without any conditions on the mean matrix of the offspring distributions. Some additional properties of the stationary distribution are…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Gábor Szűcs

We examine the population growth system called Q-processes. This is defined by the Galton-Watson Branching system conditioned on non-extinction of its trajectory in the remote future. In this paper we observe the total progeny up to time…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-19 Azam A. Imomov , Zuhriddin A. Nazarov