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Prediction of the future performance of academic journals is a task that can benefit a variety of stakeholders including editorial staff, publishers, indexing services, researchers, university administrators and granting agencies. Using…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2022-10-25 William Croft , Jörg-Rüdiger Sack

Predicting highly-cited papers is a long-standing challenge due to the complex interactions of research content, scholarly communities, and temporal dynamics. Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) raise the question of whether…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-21 Zhanshuo Ye , Yiming Hou , Rui Pan , Tianchen Gao , Hansheng Wang

Can AI systems trained on the scientific record up to a fixed point in time forecast the scientific advances that follow? Such a capability could help researchers identify collaborators and impactful research directions, and anticipate…

This work investigates the ability of open Large Language Models (LLMs) to predict citation intent through in-context learning and fine-tuning. Unlike traditional approaches relying on domain-specific pre-trained models like SciBERT, we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Paris Koloveas , Serafeim Chatzopoulos , Thanasis Vergoulis , Christos Tryfonopoulos

Citation count of a paper is a commonly used proxy for evaluating the significance of a paper in the scientific community. Yet citation measures are widely criticized for failing to accurately reflect the true impact of a paper. Thus, we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Ishan Kumar , Zhijing Jin , Ehsan Mokhtarian , Siyuan Guo , Yuen Chen , Mrinmaya Sachan , Bernhard Schölkopf

Thousands of new scientific papers are published each month. Such information overload complicates researcher efforts to stay current with the state-of-the-art as well as to verify and correctly attribute claims. We pose the following…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Ori Press , Andreas Hochlehnert , Ameya Prabhu , Vishaal Udandarao , Ofir Press , Matthias Bethge

With the growing number of published scientific papers world-wide, the need to evaluation and quality assessment methods for research papers is increasing. Scientific fields such as scientometrics, informetrics and bibliometrics establish…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Ali Abrishami , Sadegh Aliakbary

In an article written five years ago [arXiv:0809.0522], we described a method for predicting which scientific papers will be highly cited in the future, even if they are currently not highly cited. Applying the method to real citation data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-02-06 M. E. J. Newman

Prediction of the future citation counts of papers is increasingly important to find interesting papers among an ever-growing number of papers. Although a paper's main text is an important factor for citation count prediction, it is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Jun Hirako , Ryohei Sasano , Koichi Takeda

With the rapid growth of Web-based academic publications, more and more papers are being published annually, making it increasingly difficult to find relevant prior work. Citation prediction aims to automatically suggest appropriate…

Scientific research trends and interests evolve over time. The ability to identify and forecast these trends is vital for educational institutions, practitioners, investors, and funding organizations. In this study, we predict future trends…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Dan Ofer , Michal Linial

With the rapid growth in the number of scientific publications, year after year, it is becoming increasingly difficult to identify quality authoritative work on a single topic. Though there is an availability of scientometric measures which…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Dominique Mercier , Akansha Bhardwaj , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

Citation networks are critical in modern science, and predicting which previous papers (candidates) will a new paper (query) cite is a critical problem. However, the roles of a paper's citations vary significantly, ranging from foundational…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Qianyue Hao , Jingyang Fan , Fengli Xu , Jian Yuan , Yong Li

Background. Systematic reviews in comparative effectiveness research require timely evidence synthesis. Preprints accelerate knowledge dissemination but vary in quality, posing challenges for systematic reviews. Methods. We propose…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Rui Yang , Jiayi Tong , Haoyuan Wang , Hui Huang , Ziyang Hu , Peiyu Li , Nan Liu , Christopher J. Lindsell , Michael J. Pencina , Yong Chen , Chuan Hong

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to assist ideation in research, but evaluating the quality of LLM-generated research proposals remains difficult: novelty and soundness are hard to measure automatically, and large-scale…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Heng Wang , Pengcheng Jiang , Jiashuo Sun , Zhiyi Shi , Haofei Yu , Jiawei Han , Heng Ji

Citations in scientific papers not only help us trace the intellectual lineage but also are a useful indicator of the scientific significance of the work. Citation intents prove beneficial as they specify the role of the citation in a given…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Avishek Lahiri , Debarshi Kumar Sanyal , Imon Mukherjee

The academic literature of social sciences records human civilization and studies human social problems. With its large-scale growth, the ways to quickly find existing research on relevant issues have become an urgent demand for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Si Shen , Jiangfeng Liu , Litao Lin , Ying Huang , Lin Zhang , Chang Liu , Yutong Feng , Dongbo Wang

The impact of research papers, typically measured in terms of citation counts, depends on several factors, including the reputation of the authors, journals, and institutions, in addition to the quality of the scientific work. In this…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Adilson Vital , Filipi N. Silva , Osvaldo N. Oliveira , Diego R. Amancio

Trustworthy language models should provide both correct and verifiable answers. However, citations generated directly by standalone LLMs are often unreliable. As a result, current systems insert citations by querying an external retriever…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Yukun Huang , Sanxing Chen , Jian Pei , Manzil Zaheer , Bhuwan Dhingra

In recent years, many studies have been focusing on predicting the scientific impact of research papers. Most of these predictions are based on citations count or rely on features obtainable only from already published papers. In this…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Riccardo Vella , Andrea Vitaletti , Fabrizio Silvestri
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