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We introduce L\'evy-driven causal CARMA random fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$, extending the class of CARMA processes. The definition is based on a system of stochastic partial differential equations which generalize the classical state-space…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Viet Son Pham

A novel first-order moving-average model for analyzing time series observed at irregularly spaced intervals is introduced. Two definitions are presented, which are equivalent under Gaussianity. The first one relies on normally distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

Existing models for high-dimensional time series are overwhelmingly developed within the finite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) framework. However, the more flexible vector autoregressive moving averages (VARMA) have been much less…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Feiqing Huang , Kexin Lu , Yao Zheng

We present a re-parameterization of vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models that allows estimation of parameters under the constraints of causality and invertibility. The parameter constraints associated with a causal invertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-19 Anindya Roy , Tucker S. McElroy , Peter Linton

High-frequency sampled multivariate continuous time autoregressive moving average processes are investigated. We obtain asymptotic expansion for the spectral density of the sampled MCARMA process $(Y_{n\Delta})_{n \in \mathbb{Z}}$ as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-14 Peter Kevei

This article gives dual representations for convex integral functionals on the linear space of regular processes. This space turns out to be a Banach space containing many more familiar classes of stochastic processes and its dual can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-18 Teemu Pennanen , Ari-Pekka Perkkiö

The purpose of this paper is devoted to studying representation of measures of non generalized compactness, in particular, measures of noncompactness, of non-weak compactness, and of non-super weak compactness, etc, defined on Banach spaces…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-15 Xiaoling Chen , Lixin Cheng

In this paper, we consider a continuous-time autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (CARFIMA) model, which is defined as the stationary solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by a standard fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-10 Henghsiu Tsai

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

A new portmanteau diagnostic test for vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models that is based on the determinant of the standardized multivariate residual autocorrelations is derived. The new test statistic may be considered an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-03 Esam Mahdi , A. Ian McLeod

In the study of complex physical and physiological systems represented by multivariate time series, an issue of great interest is the description of the system dynamics over a range of different temporal scales. While information-theoretic…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-25 Luca Faes , Alessandro Montalto , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Giandomenico Nollo , Daniele Marinazzo

This paper is devoted to the characterization of an extended family of CARMA (continuous-time autoregressive moving average) processes that are solutions of stochastic differential equations driven by white Levy innovations. These are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Michael Unser , Pouya D. Tafti , Arash Amini , Hagai Kirshner

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Multivariate $\operatorname {COGARCH}(1,1)$ processes are introduced as a continuous-time models for multidimensional heteroskedastic observations. Our model is driven by a single multivariate L\'{e}vy process and the latent time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-24 Robert Stelzer

We give a new definition of a L\'{e}vy driven CARMA random field, defining it as a generalized solution of a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE). Furthermore, we give sufficient conditions for the existence of a mild solution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-08 David Berger

Vector AutoRegressive Moving Average (VARMA) models form a powerful and general model class for analyzing dynamics among multiple time series. While VARMA models encompass the Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) models, their popularity in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Marie-Christine Düker , David S. Matteson , Ruey S. Tsay , Ines Wilms

We construct and study branching Markov processes on the space of finite configurations of the state space of a given standard process, controlled by a branching kernel and a killing one. In particular, we may start with a superprocess,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-03 Lucian Beznea , Oana Lupascu

The spatio-temporal autoregressive moving average (STARMA) model is frequently used in several studies of multivariate time series data, where the assumption of stationarity is important, but it is not always guaranteed in practice. One way…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Yangyang Chen , Pedro Alberto Morettin , Chang Chiann

L\'evy processes, known for their ability to model complex dynamics with skewness, heavy tails and discontinuities, play a critical role in stochastic modeling across various domains. However, inference for most L\'evy processes, whether in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Bill Z. Lin , Simon Godsill

We prove new characterisations of exponential stability for positive linear discrete-time systems in ordered Banach spaces, in terms of small-gain conditions. Such conditions have played an important role in the finite-dimensional systems…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-19 Jochen Glück , Andrii Mironchenko