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Variational inference with normalizing flows (NFs) is an increasingly popular alternative to MCMC methods. In particular, NFs based on coupling layers (Real NVPs) are frequently used due to their good empirical performance. In theory,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Daniel Andrade

In online advertising, uncertainty calibration aims to adjust a ranking model's probability predictions to better approximate the true likelihood of an event, e.g., a click or a conversion. However, existing calibration approaches may lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Quanyu Dai , Jiaren Xiao , Zhaocheng Du , Jieming Zhu , Chengxiao Luo , Xiao-Ming Wu , Zhenhua Dong

The increasingly wide use of deep machine learning techniques in computational mechanics has significantly accelerated simulations of problems that were considered unapproachable just a few years ago. However, in critical applications such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 David Gonzalez , Alba Muixi , Beatriz Moya , Elias Cueto

Bayesian neural networks (BNN) and deep ensembles are principled approaches to estimate the predictive uncertainty of a deep learning model. However their practicality in real-time, industrial-scale applications are limited due to their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , Zi Lin , Shreyas Padhy , Dustin Tran , Tania Bedrax-Weiss , Balaji Lakshminarayanan

Deep learning has been shown to be highly effective for automatic modulation classification (AMC), which is a pivotal technology for next-generation cognitive communications. Yet, existing deep learning methods for AMC often lack robust…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-03 Huian Yang , Rajeev Sahay

If Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is crucial to achieve trustworthy Machine Learning (ML), most UQ methods suffer from disparate and inconsistent evaluation protocols. We claim this inconsistency results from the unclear requirements the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-28 Victor Bouvier , Simona Maggio , Alexandre Abraham , Léo Dreyfus-Schmidt

Normalizing flows are a class of generative models that enable exact likelihood evaluation. While these models have already found various applications in particle physics, normalizing flows are not flexible enough to model many of the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-09-07 Rob Verheyen

In the era of big data, machine learning (ML) has become a powerful tool in various fields, notably impacting structural dynamics. ML algorithms offer advantages by modeling physical phenomena based on data, even in the absence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Wang-Ji Yan , Lin-Feng Mei , Jiang Mo , Costas Papadimitriou , Ka-Veng Yuen , Michael Beer

In this paper, we advance a recently-proposed uncertainty decoding scheme for DNN-HMM (deep neural network - hidden Markov model) hybrid systems. This numerical sampling concept averages DNN outputs produced by a finite set of feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-08 Christian Huemmer , Ramón Fernández Astudillo , Walter Kellermann

Inverse ellipsometry, i.e., reconstructing optical constants and film thickness from the measured phase difference $\Delta$ and amplitude ratio $\Psi$, is a fundamentally ill-posed problem. Traditional solutions rely on slow, expert-driven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Yiming Ma , Jianzhi Teng , Xinjie Li , Xin Sun , Zhiyong Wang , Yuzhou Song , Lionel Z. Wang , Bin Chen

Modern neural networks have proven to be powerful function approximators, providing state-of-the-art performance in a multitude of applications. They however fall short in their ability to quantify confidence in their predictions - this is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Alex J. Chan , Ahmed M. Alaa , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

Uncertainty quantification for full-waveform inversion provides a probabilistic characterization of the ill-conditioning of the problem, comprising the sensitivity of the solution with respect to the starting model and data noise. This…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-04-20 Gabrio Rizzuti , Ali Siahkoohi , Philipp A. Witte , Felix J. Herrmann

Model independent techniques for constructing background data templates using generative models have shown great promise for use in searches for new physics processes at the LHC. We introduce a major improvement to the CURTAINs method by…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-05-09 Debajyoti Sengupta , Samuel Klein , John Andrew Raine , Tobias Golling

The high energy physics unfolding problem is an important statistical inverse problem in data analysis at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) at CERN. The goal of unfolding is to make nonparametric inferences about a particle spectrum from…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-09 Mikael Kuusela , Philip B. Stark

Contrastive learning, commonly applied in large-scale multimodal models, often relies on data from diverse and often unreliable sources, which can include misaligned or mislabeled text-image pairs. This frequently leads to robustness issues…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Lijie Hu , Chenyang Ren , Huanyi Xie , Khouloud Saadi , Shu Yang , Zhen Tan , Jingfeng Zhang , Di Wang

Uncertainty estimation is critical for cost-sensitive deep-learning applications (i.e. disease diagnosis). It is very challenging partly due to the inaccessibility of uncertainty groundtruth in most datasets. Previous works proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Bolian Li , Zige Zheng , Changqing Zhang

We tackle unsupervised anomaly detection (UAD), a problem of detecting data that significantly differ from normal data. UAD is typically solved by using density estimation. Recently, deep neural network (DNN)-based density estimators, such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-14 Masataka Yamaguchi , Yuma Koizumi , Noboru Harada

Solving inverse problems involving measurement noise and modeling errors requires regularization in order to avoid data overfit. Geophysical inverse problems, in which the Earth's highly heterogeneous structure is unknown, present a…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-03-31 Ali Siahkoohi , Rafael Orozco , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

Many real-world applications require machine-learning models to be able to deal with non-stationary data distributions and thus learn autonomously over an extended period of time, often in an online setting. One of the main challenges in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Giuseppe Serra , Ben Werner , Florian Buettner

Aligning structured data is a fundamental problem in computer vision and machine learning, underlying tasks such as time series analysis, human action recognition, and visual representation learning. Existing alignment methods, including…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Lei Wang , Syuan-Hao Li , Yongsheng Gao , Piotr Koniusz