Related papers: Holistic Multi-Scale Inference of the Leverage Eff…
Line spectral estimation (LSE) from multi snapshot samples is studied utilizing the variational Bayesian methods. Motivated by the recently proposed variational line spectral estimation (VALSE) method for a single snapshot, we develop the…
We investigate the finite sample performance of sample splitting, cross-fitting and averaging for the estimation of the conditional average treatment effect. Recently proposed methods, so-called meta-learners, make use of machine learning…
In high-dimensional data, structured noise caused by observed and unobserved factors affecting multiple target variables simultaneously, imposes a serious challenge for modeling, by masking the often weak signal. Therefore, (1) explaining…
We introduce the Meta Highly-Adaptive-Lasso Minimum Loss Estimator (M-HAL-MLE), a novel ensemble approach for estimating functional parameters of realistically modeled data distribution from independent and identically distributed…
Available works addressing multi-label classification in a data stream environment focus on proposing accurate models; however, these models often exhibit inefficiency and cannot balance effectiveness and efficiency. In this work, we…
Scaled sparse linear regression jointly estimates the regression coefficients and noise level in a linear model. It chooses an equilibrium with a sparse regression method by iteratively estimating the noise level via the mean residual…
Shrinkage estimation usually reduces variance at the cost of bias. But when we care only about some parameters of a model, I show that we can reduce variance without incurring bias if we have additional information about the distribution of…
A large empirical literature regresses outcomes on empirical Bayes shrinkage estimates of value-added, yet little is known about whether this approach leads to unbiased estimates and valid inference for the downstream regression…
We advocate for a practical Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) approach towards designing loss functions for regression and forecasting, as an alternative to the typical approach of direct empirical risk minimization on a specific target…
While the ordinary least squares estimator (OLSE) is still the most used estimator in linear regression models, other estimators can be more efficient when the error distribution is not Gaussian. In this paper, our goal is to evaluate this…
Suppose an $n \times d$ design matrix in a linear regression problem is given, but the response for each point is hidden unless explicitly requested. The goal is to sample only a small number $k \ll n$ of the responses, and then produce a…
The leverage effect refers to the well-established relationship between returns and volatility. When returns fall, volatility increases. We examine the role of the leverage effect with regards to generating density forecasts of equity…
The efficient estimation of an approximate model order is very important for real applications with multi-dimensional data if the observed low-rank data is corrupted by additive noise. In this paper, we present a novel robust method for…
This paper presents a score-based weighted likelihood estimator (SWLE) for robust estimations of generalized linear model (GLM) for insurance loss data. The SWLE exhibits a limited sensitivity to the outliers, theoretically justifying its…
In this paper, we propose Varying Effects Regression with Graph Estimation (VERGE), a novel Bayesian method for feature selection in regression. Our model has key aspects that allow it to leverage the complex structure of data sets arising…
Accumulated Local Effects (ALE) is a model-agnostic approach for global explanations of the results of black-box machine learning (ML) algorithms. There are at least three challenges with conducting statistical inference based on ALE:…
The Highly-Adaptive-LASSO Targeted Minimum Loss Estimator (HAL-TMLE) is an efficient plug-in estimator of a pathwise differentiable parameter in a statistical model that at minimal (and possibly only) assumes that the sectional variation…
We study a seemingly unexpected and relatively less understood overfitting aspect of a fundamental tool in sparse linear modeling - best subset selection, which minimizes the residual sum of squares subject to a constraint on the number of…
Accumulated Local Effects (ALE) is a widely-used explainability method for isolating the average effect of a feature on the output, because it handles cases with correlated features well. However, it has two limitations. First, it does not…
This paper contributes to the literature on treatment effects estimation with machine learning inspired methods by studying the performance of different estimators based on the Lasso. Building on recent work in the field of high-dimensional…